Iphephandaba 5862-008
Unyaka Wesi-3 Womjikelezo WeSabatha Wesi-5
Unyaka wama-32 woMjikelezo weJubili we-120
I-29th wenyanga yesi-2, eminyakeni engu-5862 ngemva kokudalwa kuka-Adamu
Umjikelezo Wesabatha Wesihlanu ngemva Komjikelezo Wejubili Le-5
Umjikelezo WeSabatha Wokweshumi Kwabafelokazi Nezintandane
April 18, 2026
ISabatha leShalom emndenini kaJehova,
Usuku lwama-42 lokubala i-Omer.
Ngaleli Sabatha manje siseSuku 42. LiyiSabatha lesi-6 selokhu kwavunguzwa i-Omer ngoMashi 5, 2026. Izinsuku zokugcina eziyi-10 zalokhu kubalwa kwezinsuku ezingama-50 zaqala ngoLwesithathu kuleli sonto eledlule. Kuleli sonto ngizobheka zombili lezi zikhathi zezinsuku eziyishumi ngendlela ehlelekile futhi ngibone ukuthi yini engingayifunda. Ngichaza nencazelo yegama elithi “Shavuot” nokuthi lihlobene kanjani nomkhosi wezifungo nokuthi lokho kusho ukuthini.
Futhi ngenxa yokuthi u-Israyeli, zonke izizwe eziyi-12, akalaleli isivumelwano abavumelana ngaso eShavuot eNtabeni iSinayi, sizohlola nezinye zeziqalekiso ozibonayo manje zenzeka ezindabeni zasebusuku. Ukwenyuka kwamanani akho okudla kanye nendlala yakho ezayo eqala kuleli hlobo. Impi ne-Iran ithinta kanjani umhlaba wonke? Sizobheka lezi zinto futhi siqonde ukuthi sisondela kangakanani ekupheleni kwalesi sikhathi, futhi ngesikhathi esifanayo, njengoba sisondela ekupheleni kokubala amasonto ezinsukwini eziyi-7, eminyakeni eyi-7 nje kuphela, njengoba manje u-2026 usucishe ube yingxenye, umcimbi wangempela weShavuot usuzokwenzeka. Usulungele?
Ngifuna futhi ukuthi ukhumbule lokho ebesikuxwayisa ngakho ngoshintsho oluzayo lwenhlanhla oluzoqala kuleli hlobo lika-2026.
Njengoba ufunda imibiko yezindaba zezimali kuleli sonto khumbula umjikelezo weSabatha kaJosefa wamasonto ayi-7 enala kanye namasonto ayi-7 endlala. Isikhathi lapho kufanele bashintshele komunye yilesi sizini. Njengoba kwakunjalo ezinsukwini zikaNowa, futhi njengoba kwakunjalo ezinsukwini zikaLoti yilokho uYehshua akusho kuLuka. Akashongo lutho ngakho njengoba kwakunjalo ezinsukwini zikaJosefa. Yilokhu esikutholile.
Besingabantu ababekuxwayisa ngo-2020 no-2023, futhi manje ngo-2026. Mhlawumbe asazi lutho. Kodwa-ke mhlawumbe siyazi.
IzAga 25:2 Inkazimulo kaNkulunkulu is ukufihla into; kodwa udumo lwamakhosi is ukuphenya udaba.
Siyaphinda sikubuza ukuthi usukulungele yini?
Joyina Imihlangano Yethu Yesabatha
Joyina Imihlangano Yethu Yesabatha
Baningi abantu abadinga inhlanganyelo futhi abahlezi emakhaya ngeSabatha kungekho okhuluma naye noma abaphikisana naye. Ngifuna ukunikhuthaza nonke ukuthi nihlanganyele nathi ngeSabatha, futhi nimeme nabanye ukuba beze bazohlanganyela nathi futhi. Uma isikhathi singalungile ungalalela ukufundisa kanye ne-midrash ngemuva esiteshini sethu se-YouTube.
Senzani futhi kungani sifundisa ngale ndlela?
Sizoxoxa ngazo zombili izinhlangothi zodaba bese sikuvumela ukuthi ukhethe. Kungumsebenzi kaMoya (uMoya) ukuniqondisa nokunifundisa.
Umhlaziyi wenkathi ephakathi uRashi wabhala ukuthi igama lesiHeberu elisho ukubambana (avek) lisikisela ukuthi uJakobe “wayeboshwe”, ngoba igama elifanayo lisetshenziselwa ukuchaza amafindo eshali lomkhuleko lamaJuda, i-tzitzityot. URashi uthi, “injalo-ke indlela yabantu ababili abalwela ukuketulana, ukuthi omunye agone omunye futhi ambophe ngezingalo zakhe”.
Umkhalambazo wethu wobuhlakani usuthathelwe indawo wuhlobo oluhlukile lomzabalazo. Sibambana noJehova njengoba silwa neZwi lakhe. Kuyisenzo esijulile, esifanekisela ubuhlobo lapho mina nawe noJehova siboshwe ndawonye. Ukushikashikeka kwami kuwumshikashika wokuthola lokho uJehova akulindele kithi, futhi “siboshelwe” kuLowo osisizayo kulowo mzabalazo.
Namuhla, abaningi bathi i-Israel isho ukuthi "Iqhawe likaNkulunkulu", noma okungcono - "I-Wrestler of God".
Iseshini yethu yeTorah iShabbat ngayinye ikufundisa futhi ikukhuthaze ukuthi uhlale uphonsela inselelo, ubuze, uphikise, futhi ubuke eminye imibono nezincazelo zeZwi. Ngamanye amazwi, kufanele “sibambene neZwi” ukuze sifinyelele eqinisweni. AmaJuda emhlabeni wonke akholelwa ukuthi udinga ukulwa neZwi futhi uhlale uphonsela inselelo iDogma, Theology, kanye nemibono noma kungenjalo awusoze wafinyelela eqinisweni.
Asifani namasonto amaningi lapho “umshumayeli ekhuluma futhi wonke umuntu elalela.” Sikhuthaza wonke umuntu ukuba ahlanganyele, abuze futhi anikele ngalokho akwaziyo ngendaba okuxoxwa ngayo. Sifuna ukuba ube umnqobi weZwi likaJehova. Sifuna ukuthi ugqoke isihloko sika-Israyeli, wazi ukuthi awazi nje kuphela kodwa uyakwazi ukuchaza ukuthi kungani wazi ukuthi iTorah iyiqiniso ngokunengqondo namaqiniso.
Sinemithetho embalwa nokho. Vumela abanye bakhulume futhi balalele. Ayikho ingxoxo mayelana nama-UFO, amaNefili, Imithi yokugoma noma izihloko zohlobo lozungu. Sinabantu abavela emhlabeni wonke abanemibono ehlukene yomhlaba. Akuwona wonke umuntu onendaba nokuthi ubani uMongameli wanoma yiliphi izwe. Niphathane ngenhlonipho njengabangane bezwi. Ezinye zezifundo zethu zinzima ukuziqonda futhi zidinga ukuthi uvuthiwe futhi uma ungazi, lalela ukuze uzuze ulwazi nokuqonda futhi ngethemba ukuhlakanipha. Zona kanye izinto eniyalwe ukuba nizicele kuJehova futhi uyabapha abacelayo.
UJas 1: 5 Kepha uma kukhona kini oswela ukuhlakanipha, makacele kuNkulunkulu obapha bonke ngokuphana, engangcikivi, uyakuphiwa.
Sithemba ukuthi ungamema labo abafuna ukugcina iTorah ukuthi beze bazohlanganyela nathi ngokushaya isixhumanisi esingezansi. Kucishe kufane nohlelo lwezingxoxo lweTorah olufundisa inhlanganyelo nabantu abavela emhlabeni wonke ababamba iqhaza futhi babelane ngemininingwane yabo kanye nokuqonda kwabo.
Siqala ngomculo othile bese sithandaza futhi kuba sengathi uhlezi ekhishini emuva eNewfoundland uphuza inkomishi yekhofi futhi sonke sijabulela ukuba ndawonye. Ngethemba ukuthi uzosijabulela ngenkampani yakho ngolunye usuku.
Izinkonzo zeSabatha ziqala ngo 12:30 PM EDT lapho sizobe senza khona imikhuleko, amaculo kanye nokufundisa kusukela kuleli hora.
I-Shabbat midrash izoqala cishe ngo-1:15 ntambama eMpumalanga.
Sibheke ngabomvu ukuthi ujoyine umndeni wethu futhi usazi njengoba sijwayelana nawe.
U-Joseph Dumond ukumemela emhlanganweni we-Zoom ohleliwe.
Isihloko: Igumbi Lomhlangano Lomuntu Ka-Joseph Dumond
Joyina Umhlangano Wokusondeza
https://us02web.zoom.us/j/3505855877
I-ID Yomhlangano: 350 585 5877
Ukuthepha okukodwa okuhambayo
+13017158592,,3505855877# US (Germantown)
+13126266799,,3505855877# US (Chicago)
Shayela endaweni yakho
+1 301 715 8592 US (Germantown)
+1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago)
+1 346 248 7799 US (eHouston)
+1 669 900 6833 US (eSan Jose)
+1 929 436 2866 US (eNew York)
+1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma)
I-ID Yomhlangano: 350 585 5877
Thola inombolo yakho yangakini: https://us02web.zoom.us/u/kctjNqPYv0
Ingxenye yeTorah
Izingxenye zeTorah
Sifunda yonke iTorah kanye nabaProfethi kanye neTestamente Elisha kanye phakathi neminyaka emithathu nengxenye. Noma ngokusho koMjikelezo weSabatha okusho ukuthi siwufunda wonke kabili esikhathini seminyaka eyi-7. Lokhu kusenza sikwazi ukumboza ngokujulile kunokuba sisheshe simboze okuningi okumbozwa minyaka yonke. Sivumela bonke ukuba baphawule futhi bahlanganyele ezingxoxweni.
Ingxenye ye-Septennial Torah
Uma uya Ingxenye yeTorah esigabeni sethu esilondolozwe kungobo yomlando, usungakwazi ukuya onyakeni woku-1, okuwunyaka woku-1 Womjikelezo WeSabatha, lo esikuwo manje, njengoba sisho phezulu kuwo wonke ama-Newsletter. Lapho, ungaskrola wehle uye osukwini olufanele futhi ubone ukuthi leli Shabbat, singase simatasatasa ngalo:
Izinombolo 2
Hezekeli 43-46
I-1 John 5
I-2 John 1
SiseMjikelezweni weSabatha wokuQala ngo-2024-2025. Sifunda iBhayibheli lonke kabili emjikelezweni weminyaka eyi-7. Lokhu kusho ukuthi sihlanganisa iBhayibheli lonke kanye njalo eminyakeni emi-3 1/2. Kusinika isikhathi esengeziwe sokuxoxisana nokuxoxa ngengxenye ngayinye esiyifundayo.
Uma uphuthelwe yizinto ezijabulisayo ezitholwe ngesonto eledlule njengoba sifunda leyo ngxenye, ungahamba uyobukela okwedlule AmaSabatha ethu isigaba semidiya.
Ukubala i-Omer
Ukubala i-Omer
Umnotho wase-US kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2026
Lesi sihloko sithathwe njengengxenye yephephandaba ngu Indoda Yomhlaba Wonke kaDoug Casey lokho kwathunyelwa kimi ngesonto eledlule.
Izindleko Zempi Ne-Iran Sezivele Ziyichoboza I-US Nomnotho Womhlaba –
Futhi Kuyisiqalo Kuphela
Amalungelo (i-Social Security kanye ne-Medicare), ukuzivikela, kanye nenhlalakahle manje sekubusa isabelomali. Njengoba amashumi ezigidi zama-Baby Boomers ethatha umhlalaphansi eminyakeni ezayo, akekho usopolitiki ozothinta amalungelo. Ukusetshenziswa kwezimali kwezokuvikela kuyakhula ngenxa yempi yase-Iran. Inzalo esikweletini sezwe isendleleni yokuba yinto enkulu kunazo zonke yesabelomali.
Ngamafuphi, imizamo yokunciphisa izindleko ngeke ibe yize ngaphandle kokuthi kube okwamukelekayo kwezepolitiki ukunciphisa amalungelo, ukuvikela izwe kanye nenhlalakahle ngendlela efana ne-chainsaw ngenkathi kunciphisa isikweletu sezwe ukuze kwehliswe izindleko zenzalo.
Ngamanye amazwi, i-US ingadinga umholi—okungenani—obuyisela uhulumeni wobumbano kwiRiphabhulikhi yoMthethosisekelo elinganiselwe, avale izisekelo zamasosha eziyi-128 kwamanye amazwe, aqede amalungelo, abulale umbuso wezenhlalakahle, futhi akhokhe ingxenye enkulu yesikweletu sezwe—into engeke yenzeke.
Abezombusazwe bahlala bekhetha indlela elula: ukuboleka okwengeziwe. Ngisho nokuthatha u-100% wengcebo yezigidigidi zaseMelika ngeke kukhokhele ngisho nonyaka owodwa wokusetshenziswa kwemali. Ngisho nangemva kokuthatha yonke ingcebo yabaningi, uhulumeni wase-US kuzodingeka aboleke imali engaphezu kwamaRandi ayizigidigidi ezingama-200 ukuze akhokhele ukusetshenziswa kwemali ngonyaka wezimali ka-2025. Nasi isiphetho: ukwandisa intela, ngisho nasezingeni eliphezulu, ngeke kushintshe indlela yalo mkhuba ongenakunqandeka—ngisho nakancane. Iqiniso liwukuthi, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi kwenzekani, ukuntuleka kwemali ngeke kuyeke ukukhula, futhi isikweletu ngeke sidingeke ukuze sixhaswe. Izinga lokukhula ngeke linciphe. Lizokhula. Lokho kusho ukuthi izindleko zenzalo esikweletini sikahulumeni zizoqhubeka nokukhula kakhulu.
Intela ayikwazi ukuxazulula inkinga. Ukuntuleka kwemali kuzoqhubeka nokukhula, kanye nesikweletu esidingekayo ukuze kuxhaswe ngayo. Kulokhu, lokho kusho ukukhipha izikweletu eziningi kunokwenza izinqumo ezinzima zesabelomali noma ukungakhokhi ngokusobala.
Cabanga ngokukhohlisa okuphindaphindiwe kwesikweletu esiphezulu e-US Congress, okuye kwakhushulwa izikhathi ezingaphezu kwekhulu kusukela ngo-1944.
Cishe $ 10 isigidintathu Ama-Treasury ase-US avuthwa kulo nyaka kuphela, kanti ingxenye engaphezu kwengxenye yesikweletu sonke izokhokhwa ngo-2028. Iningi lazo yizikweletu zesikhashana ezidluliselwa emazingeni enzalo aphezulu kakhulu namuhla - cishe kabili lokho ezikubiza ngo-2022. Lokhu kuvala izindleko zenzalo ezintsha ezinkulu okumele zixhaswe ngezikweletu ezengeziwe.
Yonke ibhondi ekhokhwayo kufanele ixhaswe kabusha ngamanani aphezulu kakhulu anamuhla—ivale izindleko zenzalo ezinkulu kakhulu iminyaka eminingi. Lokho okwakuvame ukuguguleka buthule manje kungaguguleka cishe kabili kunezindleko zenzalo ezibonwe ngo-2022.
Yilokho okuboniswa yishadi elingezansi: isikhathi sokuthola imali kalula sesiphelile. Iqembu "lemali yamahhala" seliphelile, futhi manje ibhili lomjikelezo wokugcina we-stimulus kufanele lithwalwe—futhi likhokhwe.
Njalo uma isikweletu sase-US sixhaswa kabusha ngamanani aphezulu, senezela izindleko zenzalo ekwehleni kwemali engenayo—izindleko okumele zixhaswe ngokukhishwa kwezikweletu okwengeziwe, okwenza inkinga ibe nzima nakakhulu. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi cishe amaRandi ayizigidigidi eziyi-6.6 zamaRandi ayizigidigidi eziyi-9.6 ezivuthwa kulo nyaka—cishe ama-69%—ama-T-bill esikhashana.
Lokho kuyinto evamile enkingeni yezikweletu. Njengoba isidingo sezibopho zesikhathi eside sincipha, abatshalizimali bathambekela ezintweni zesikhashana ezifana nama-T-bills esikhundleni sama-note eminyaka eyi-10 kanye nama-bond eminyaka engama-30. Kuyindlela efanayo oyibona ezinkingeni zemakethe esafufusa. Imakethe ifinyeza ukuvuthwa njengoba izimo ziwohloka. Isiwula kuphela esingafuna ukuboleka uhulumeni ophelelwe yimali imali yesikhathi eside.
Inzalo yonyaka esikweletini sikahulumeni manje idlula $ 1.2 isigidintathu futhi isakhuphuka. Lokho kusho ukuthi imali engenayo yentela kahulumeni engaphezu kuka-23% iya kuphela ekukhokheleni inzalo esikweletini esikhona.
"Sisesigabeni lapho siboleka imali ukuze sikhokhele izikweletu."
Uma uqhubeka nokukhula kwezikweletu ngokushesha kunokukhula kwemali engenayo, lokho kusho ukuthi insizakalo yezikweletu iphazamisa ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwakho, futhi ufuna ukuqhubeka nokusebenzisa imali ngesikhathi esifanayo.
Njengoba lokho kwenzeka, kunesidingo sokufaka izikweletu eziningi kakhulu. Kuyashesha.
Sesifikile lapho kusheshiswa khona. Sesiseduze nalelo phuzu lokushintshashintsha."
Isimo sezezimali sikahulumeni wase-US besilokhu siwohloka kancane kancane amashumi eminyaka, ngakho akumangazi ukuthi abantu abaningi bayazethemba. Sekuyisikhathi eside bezwa ngenkinga yesikweletu, futhi akukho okwenzekile.
Kodwa-ke, manje sekufinyelele eqophelweni eliphezulu.
Lokho kungenxa yokuthi uhulumeni wase-US manje uboleka imali ukuze akhokhe inzalo yemali aseyibolekile kakade, njengoba uDalio ephawulile. Abezombusazwe banezela izikweletu ezengeziwe ukuze baxazulule izinkinga zezikweletu zangaphambilini. Kudala iluphu yokubhujiswa eqhubekayo.
Izindleko zenzalo zesikweletu sikahulumeni sezivele ziphakeme kunesabelomali sokuvikela. Sesisendleleni yokudlula i-Social Security ezinyangeni ezizayo futhi sibe yisabelomali esikhulu kunazo zonke sikahulumeni.
Ngamafuphi, izindleko zenzalo ezikhuphukayo seziphenduke usongo oluphuthumayo ekuxazululeni izinkinga zikahulumeni wase-US.
Izindleko zenzalo ezikhulayo zisongela ukuqina kukahulumeni wase-US futhi ziphoqelela i-Fed ukuthi inciphise amazinga enzalo, ithenge ama-Treasury, futhi isebenzise ezinye izindlela zokunciphisa imali ukuze izame ukulawula izindleko zenzalo.
Emakethe yamabhondi, lapho isidingo sebhondi sehla, izinga lenzalo liyakhuphuka ukuze likhange abathengi.
Kodwa-ke, isikweletu sikahulumeni sibi kakhulu kangangokuthi ukuvumela amazinga enzalo ukuba akhuphuke ngokwanele ukuze kukhange abathengi bemvelo abaningi kungabhidliza uhulumeni wase-US ngenxa yezindleko zenzalo eziphakeme.
Ngokomongo, lapho uPaul Volcker ephakamisa amazinga enzalo angaphezu kuka-17% ekuqaleni kwawo-1980, isilinganiso sesikweletu se-US kuya ku-GDP sasicishe sibe ngu-30%. Namuhla, sisenyakatho ye-123% futhi sikhuphuka ngokushesha.
Izindleko zenzalo eziphezulu zanamuhla kanye nezindleko zenzalo ezihambisana nazo yingakho amazinga enzalo aphezulu kakhulu engekho etafuleni; izindleko zenzalo ezikhulayo zingaholela ekuweni kombuso wase-US.
Yileso sizathu esikhulu uMongameli uTrump ehlanganise i-Fed nabantu abathembekile abazocindezela amazinga enzalo aphansi futhi balandele izinqubomgomo zemali elula.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, umhlaba awulambele izikweletu ezengeziwe zase-US njengamanje. Lesi yisikhathi esingesihle sokuswelakala kwezidingo ngoba ukunikezwa kwempahla kuyanda kakhulu.
Uma amazinga enzalo aphezulu engekho etafuleni futhi engenakuheha abathengi bemvelo abengeziwe, futhi abantu bakwamanye amazwe bengeke bathathe isinyathelo, ubani ozoxhasa lokhu kuntuleka kwesabelomali okukhulayo okungama-trillion dollar?
Inhlangano eyodwa kuphela ekwaziyo yiFederal Reserve, ethenga amaTreasury ngamadola ewadalayo emoyeni.
Ukuphela kwendlela yokugcina lolu hlelo luphila ukuthi i-Fed inyathelise imali eningi kakhulu. Lokho kusho ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo kanye nokwehla kwemali. Amanani aphezulu abe esephoqa uhulumeni ukuthi asebenzise imali eningi kakhulu ezintweni ezidingekayo, ezokuvikela kanye nenhlalakahle - okudinga ukunyatheliswa okwengeziwe. Kuyindlela yokuzibhubhisa eqhubekayo.
“Uyakukweleta, kodwa wena awuyikukweleta; yena uyakuba yinhloko, wena ube ngumsila.”
I-United States, iNdlu yanamuhla yakwa-Israyeli (u-Efraim), isiba umsila ngokushesha hhayi ikhanda. Izindleko zobudlova kanye nenkulumo ephikisana ne-NATO kuye kwahlukanisa iningi labangane bethu bangaphambili. Impi ne-Iran kanye nokuvalwa okungenzeka kweStrait of Hormuz kuqeda izinsiza zethu futhi kwenza buthaka isikhundla sethu somhlaba wonke ngokushesha okukhulu. Izindleko ezikhulayo zomanyolo kanye nokwenyuka kwamanani okudla emhlabeni wonke okuholela ekucindezelweni kwabantu abavamile.
Sesikhulume izikhathi ezimbalwa manje ngokusweleka kwezikhali phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine nokuthi i-US yayinempahla encane kuphela uma kufanele iye empini neChina. Lokhu kuntuleka kungena kanjani manje ngokumiswa kwezikhali kwamanje?
Lapho kwaba ukukhathazeka kwangempela ngesikhathi sempi (eyaqala ngoFebhuwari 28, 2026) mayelana nokuphela kwenqwaba yezikhali zase-US ngokushesha kunalokho obekulindelekile:
- I-US yashaqeka inani leminyaka kweminye imicibisholo ebalulekile (ikakhulukazi ama-interceptor okuvikela emoyeni njengalawo asetshenziswa kuma-drone/imicibisholo yase-Iran, kanye nezinye izinhlelo zokuhlasela ezifana ne-Tomahawks ne-JASSM-ER).
- IPentagon kanye nabahlaziyi abazimele baxwayise ngokuthi ukulwa isikhathi eside kunganciphisa inqwaba yezimpahla ezisezingeni eliphezulu (isib., ama-THAAD interceptors, ama-ATACMS, ama-PrSM).
- UTrump ngokwakhe waphikisa obala izimangalo zokushoda, esho ku-Truth Social ukuthi izibhamu eziphakathi nendawo neziphakathi “azikaze zibe sezingeni eliphezulu” nokuthi i-US “inokunikezwa okungenamkhawulo” kwezikhali ezithile. Uvumile ukuthi izimpahla eziphezulu “azikho lapho sifuna ukuba khona” kodwa wasola usizo lwangaphambilini nge-Ukraine nezinye izingxabano.
Nokho, UTrump kanye nezikhulu zikahulumeni baphika njalo ukuthi ukushoda kwaphoqa ukumiswa kwempi. Baphikelela ngokuthi i-US yayinezinqolobane ezanele zokuqhubeka uma kudingeka futhi babekhulisa umkhiqizo (kufaka phakathi ukuyala osonkontileka bezokuvikela ukuthi bandise umkhiqizo kane kwezinye izimo).
“Uyakukweleta, kodwa wena awuyikukweleta; yena uyakuba yinhloko, wena ube ngumsila.” (Duteronomi 28:44)
ULevitikusi 26 yisahluko esicacile kakhulu kulo lonke iBhayibheli esichaza okwenzekayo lapho isizwe (noma abantu) benqaba ukugcina amaSabatha kaNkulunkulu, iminyaka yeSabatha, kanye nemijikelezo yeJubili. Amavesi ayisihluthulelo agcwalisekayo njengamanje:
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ULevitikusi 26: 14-16 – “Kodwa uma ningangilaleli… ngizobeka ukwesaba phezu kwenu, isifo esiqeda amandla nomkhuhlane oshisayo… niyohlwanyela imbewu yenu ngeze, ngoba izitha zenu ziyakuyidla.”
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ULevitikusi 26: 19-20 – “Ngizophula ukuziqhenya kwamandla enu… amandla enu ayochithelwa ize; ngoba izwe lakini aliyikuthela izithelo zalo, nemithi yezwe ayiyikuthela izithelo zayo.”
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Levitikusi 26: 26 – “Lapho ngiphula umphako wesinkwa senu… abesifazane abayishumi bayakubhaka isinkwa senu kuhhavini owodwa, babuyise isinkwa senu ngesisindo, nidle ningasuthi.”
Lezi akuzona iziqalekiso ezingokomoya ezingacacile. Zingezomnotho, ezolimo, kanye nezempi.
- Izindleko ezikhuphukayo zomanyolo (ezihlobene ngqo namanani kagesi avela empini yase-Iran kanye nokuphazamiseka okungenzeka kweHormuz) sezivele zibikezela ukwehla kwesivuno sezitshalo emhlabeni jikelele.
- Amanani okudla ayakhuphuka.
- Izikweletu ezinkulu kanye nezinkokhelo zenzalo ziphula “ukuziqhenya kwamandla ethu.”
- Impi ne-Iran idla amakhulu ezigidigidi zamaRandi kuyilapho sesivele siboleka imali ukuze sikhokhe inzalo esikweletini sangaphambilini.
Konke lokhu kwenzeka ngoba iNdlu yanamuhla yakwa-Israyeli (i-United States kanye nezizwe ezivela ku-Efrayimi noManase wasendulo) yenqabe ikhalenda kanye nemithetho yeSabatha uNkulunkulu ayinikeza ukuze ahlonze abantu baKhe futhi ababusise.
Lezi akuzona izehlakalo ezihlukene. Ziwukugcwaliseka okuqondile kweziqalekiso ezifanayo zesiprofetho:
- Ukwanda kwezikweletu kuyinkulumo yezezimali ethi “uzoba ngumsila.”
- Impi ne-Iran kanye nosongo lwe-Hormuz yindlela yezempi/yezomnotho yokubonakaliswa kwezitha ezidla amandla ethu.
- Ukwanda komanyolo kanye nentengo yokudla kuwukubonakaliswa kwezolimo komhlaba ongakhiqizi umkhiqizo wawo.
Zonke ziyashesha ngoba siseminyakeni yokugcina yomjikelezo weSabatha wamanje futhi sisondela emjikelezweni olandelayo weJubili. Sisezinsukwini/eminyakeni yokugcina eyi-10 ye-Awe, sineminyaka eyi-8 kuphela ngaphambi kokuba uSathane avalelwe. UNkulunkulu usebenzisa lezi zenzakalo ukuze adonsele ukunaka kwethu futhi agcwalise izwi Lakhe.
Ngisho nakuLevitikusi 26, uNkulunkulu uthembisa ukubuyiselwa uma abantu bakhe bephenduka futhi bebuyela ezindleleni zakhe:
“Kepha uma bevuma ububi babo… ngiyakukhumbula isivumelwano sami noJakobe, nesivumelwano sami no-Isaka, nesivumelwano sami no-Abrahama ngiyakukhumbula…” (Levitikusi 26:40-42)
Iziqalekiso zingokoqobo. Zilapha. Kodwa futhi ziyibizo lokuphenduka. Yingakho siqhubeka sifundisa ikhalenda yeBhayibheli, iminyaka yeSabatha, kanye nemijikelezo yeJubili. Yingakho sininxusa ukuba niqale ukubala, nigcine amaSabatha, futhi nibuyele kuTorah. UNkulunkulu ofanayo ovumela lezi ziqalekiso nguyena uNkulunkulu ofanayo ozovikela futhi abusise labo ababuyela kuYe.
Abalimi baseMelika Babhekene Nenkinga Yokuthengeka Komanyolo
Abalimi base-US Babhekene Nenkinga Yokuthengeka Komanyolo Ngaphambi Kwesizini Yokutshala ka-2026
Ucwaningo olusha lukazwelonke oluvela ku- the I-American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) kwembula ukucindezeleka okukhulu kwezolimo zase-US: cishe Abalimi abangama-70%. babike ukuthi abakwazi ukuthenga wonke umanyolo abawudingayo ngonyaka wesivuno ka-2026.
The inhlolovo, eyenziwe ngo-Ephreli 3-11, 2026, kanye nabantu abangaphezu kuka-5,700 abaphendulile abavela kuzo zonke izifundazwe ezingu-50 kanye nePuerto Rico, kugqamisa indlela ukunyuka okukhulu kwamanani kamanyolo okuphoqa ngayo izinqumo ezinzima ngesikhathi sokutshala entwasahlobo. Umehluko wesifunda ucacile: 78% wabalimi baseNingizimu, 69% eNyakatho-mpumalanga, 66% eNtshonalanga, kanye no-48% eMidwest bathi abakwazi ukuthola wonke umanyolo odingekayo.
Amanani kamanyolo, ikakhulukazi imikhiqizo ye-nitrogen efana ne-urea, kuye kwanda ezinyangeni zamuva ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwezepolitiki ngenxa yengxabano ne-Iran kanye nezinkinga zokuthunyelwa kwemikhumbi e-Iran. I-Strait yaseHormuz — indlela ebalulekile cishe ingxenye eyodwa kwezintathu yokuhweba ngomanyolo olwandle emhlabeni wonke. Abakhiqizi baseGulf bahlinzeka ngengxenye enkulu ye-urea ne-ammonia emhlabeni, futhi imikhawulo yokunikezwa okubangelwa yilezi zinto iholele ekukhuphukeni kwentengo ngo-25-40% noma ngaphezulu ezimakethe ezibalulekile.
Ukwenyuka kwezindleko zikaphethiloli kwandisa ingcindezi, njengoba abalimi abaningi bebhekene nezindleko eziphezulu zedizili nezinye izinto ezisetshenziswayo. Lokhu kuza phakathi kwemingcele yezolimo evele inciphile kanye namanani aphansi ezimpahla kwezinye izitshalo.Imithelela Engaba Khona Emikhiqizweni Nokunikezwa KokudlaAbalimi abaningi baphendula ngokuthi:
- Ukunciphisa amazinga okufaka umanyolo
- Ukushintshela ezitshalweni ezingadingi umanyolo omningi (njengokutshala ubhontshisi omningi kanye nommbila omncane)
- Ukunciphisa amahektha atshaliwe kwezinye izimo
The Umbiko Wokutshala Okuzayo we-USDA (ekhishwe ngoMashi 31, 2026) isivele ikhombisa izinhloso zamahektare angama-95.3 million ommbila (phansi ngo-3% kusukela ngo-2025) kanye nokwanda kwamahektare kabhontshisi, okubonisa lezi zimo zomnotho.
Ochwepheshe baxwayisa ngokuthi ukusetshenziswa okuphansi komanyolo kunganciphisa isivuno sezitshalo ngo-2026, okungase kuholele ekuncipheni kokunikezwa kanye nokucindezela okuphezulu kwamanani okudla kamuva onyakeni kanye no-2027. Ngenkathi i-US inomkhiqizo oqinile wasekhaya wamanye ama-fertilizer, izimpawu zamanani omhlaba wonke kanye nokuthembela kwamanye amazwe kusathinta abalimi baseMelika.Akuyona yonke imisebenzi ethinteka ngokulinganayo — labo abathenge kusengaphambili noma abavale izimpahla ngaphambilini basesimweni esiqinile, kodwa abakhiqizi abaningi abancane noma abathenga kamuva bazizwa becindezelekile kakhulu.Imithombo Yokufunda Ngokuqhubekayo
- Ukukhishwa Kwezindaba Ze-American Farm Bureau Federation: Ucwaningo Lukazwelonke: Iningi Labalimi Alikwazi Ukukhokhela Umanyolo
fb.org
- Ukuhlaziywa kwe-Intel yeMakethe ye-AFBF: Ucwaningo Lwehhovisi Lezolimo Lwembula Umthelela Wangempela Wokutholakala Komanyolo kanye Nentengo Yawo
fb.org
- Umbiko Wokutshala Okungenzeka we-USDA (Mashi 2026): I-PDF Egcwele
Lesi simo sigcizelela ubuthakathaka bezindlela zokuhlinzeka ngogesi emhlabeni wonke ezimweni zezepolitiki kanye nezinselele eziqhubekayo kwezolimo zase-US. Abalimi, abenzi bezinqubomgomo, kanye namaqembu ezimboni bayaqhubeka nokuqapha intuthuko eduze njengoba isizini yokutshala iqhubeka.
Ngizofaka lonke leli sihloko kulabo kini abafuna ukusifunda.
Ucwaningo Lwehhovisi Lezolimo Lwembula Umthelela Wangempela Wokutholakala Komanyolo kanye Nentengo Yawo
Izitoreji Eziyinhloko
- Amanani okubhukha umanyolo ngaphambi kwesikhathi ayehluka kakhulu ngokwesifunda, nje 19% wabakhiqizi baseNingizimu ukubika ukuthengwa kukamanyolo okuqinisekisiwe ngaphambi kwesizini, uma kuqhathaniswa 30% eNyakatho-mpumalanga, 31% eNtshonalanga kanye no-67% eMidwest, okubonisa umehluko ezikhathini zokuthatha izinqumo zokutshala kanye ukuchayeka ekukhuphukeni kwentengo kwakamuva.
- Izinselelo zokuthengeka kukamanyolo zinzima kakhulu eNingizimu kanye I-Northeast kodwa kusalokhu kuyinkathazo kubalimi kulo lonke izwe zonke izifunda. Emhlabeni I-70% noma abaphendulayo umbiko wokuthi abakwazi ukukhokhela wonke umanyolo abawudingayod.
- Amanani kadizili wepulazi akhuphuke ngo-46% kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari, ukukhulisa izindleko ze umsebenzi wasensimini, ukuthuthwa komanyolo kanye nokunisela ngesikhathi sokutshala kanye nesokukhula.
- Abalimi abacishe babe yisithupha kwabayi-10 babika ukuthi ezezimali ziyawohloka, ukucabanga izindleko zomanyolo kanye nophethiloli ezikhuphukayo ngesikhathi sokutshala entwasahlobo futhi kugcizelela isidingo esiphuthumayo sokuthi usizo lwezomnotho olusheshayo ukugcina amasango amapulazi evulekile.
Izindleko zokufaka ezikhuphukayo ezihlobene nengxabano eMpumalanga Ephakathi zengeza ubunzima emnothweni wezolimo osuvele unzima. Ukuze kuqondwe kangcono ukuthi ukuphazamiseka kwemakethe kamanyolo womhlaba wonke kubathinta kanjani abakhiqizi ngesikhathi sokutshala kwentwasahlobo, i-American Farm Bureau Federation yenze Ucwaningo Lokutholakala Komanyolo lwabalimi nabafuyi ezweni lonke. Abalimi abangaphezu kuka-5,700 baphendule ocwaningweni, olwenziwa kusukela mhla zi-3 kuMbasa kuya kumhla ziyi-11 kuMbasa.
Umehluko Wesifunda Ubonisa Ukuxubana Kwezitshalo Nokuvezwa Kokunikezwa Kwazo
Izimpendulo zocwaningo zibonisa ukuthi ukuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz kuthinta izifunda kulo lonke elase-United States ngendlela ehlukile ngoba izinhlelo zokukhiqiza izitshalo nezidingo zomanyolo ziyahlukahluka.
Abakhiqizi baseMidwest - abavame ukuthembela ekujikelezweni kommbila nobhontshisi - babike amazinga aphezulu okubhukha ngaphambi kosuku, kanti umanyolo othola u-67% utholakala ekuqaleni kwesizini. Ngenxa yalokhu kujikeleza kwezitshalo, ukubhukha ngaphambi kosuku kuvame kakhulu eMidwest, lapho izidingo zomanyolo zivame ukuba zikhulu futhi izinqumo zokuthenga zivame ukwenziwa kusenesikhathi ngaphambi kokutshala. Ngenxa yalokho, ingxenye enkulu yabalimi baseMidwest ibike ukuthi ikwazile ukuthola okokufaka abakudingayo ngaphambi kokwenyuka kwentengo kwakamuva. Ngisho namanani aphezulu okubhukha ngaphambi kosuku, cishe oyedwa kwabathathu babalimi baseMidwest usabika ukuthi bangena esizini ngaphandle kokuthola zonke izidingo zabo zomanyolo.
Ngokuphambene nalokho, abakhiqizi kwezinye izifunda banamathuba amaningi okuthenga umanyolo eduze kokusetshenziswa, okwandisa ukuchayeka ekuguqukeni kwentengo ngesikhathi sonyaka ngezikhathi zokuphazamiseka kwemakethe. Amaphesenti ayishumi nesishiyagalolunye abalimi baseningizimu babhukhe umanyolo kusengaphambili kulo nyaka wezitshalo. Abakhiqizi baseningizimu bavame ukutshala izitshalo ezifana nekotini, ilayisi, ubhontshisi, ummbila kanye namakinati athembele kakhulu kwizakhamzimba ezisetshenzisiwe futhi angaba nomuzwa omkhulu ezinguqukweni zezindleko zomanyolo. Amanani okubhuka kusengaphambili nawo alinganiselwe kwezinye izifunda, kanti ama-30% kuphela abalimi eNyakatho-mpumalanga kanye nama-31% eNtshonalanga athola umanyolo ngaphambi kwesizini.
Amapulazi amancane abike amazinga aphansi kakhulu okubhukha umanyolo ngaphambi kokusetshenziswa kunemisebenzi emikhulu kuzo zonke izifunda, okuphakamisa ukuchayeka okukhulu ekuguqukeni kwentengo kwakamuva ngesikhathi sokuthenga kwentwasahlobo. EMidwest, amapulazi angama-49% anamahektare ayi-1-499 abhukelwe umanyolo kusengaphambili, uma kuqhathaniswa namapulazi angama-77% anamahektare angama-500-2,499 kanye namapulazi angama-76% anamahektare angaphezu kuka-2,500. Igebe lalibonakala kakhulu eNyakatho-mpumalanga, lapho amapulazi angama-24% kuphela amancane abhukelwe umanyolo kusengaphambili, uma kuqhathaniswa namapulazi angama-35% aphakathi nendawo kanye nama-67% emisebenzi emikhulu. Amaphethini afanayo avele eNingizimu (16% kumahektare ayi-1-499 uma kuqhathaniswa nama-28% kumahektare angaphezu kuka-2,500) kanye naseNtshonalanga (25% uma kuqhathaniswa nama-54%). Ngenxa yokuthi amapulazi amancane awanawo amathuba amaningi okuthola umanyolo ngaphambi kwesizini, achayeke kakhulu ekukhuphukeni kwentengo ngesikhathi sonyaka, okungenza kube nzima ukukhokhela amazinga okufaka aphelele futhi kwandise ingozi yokunciphisa isivuno kanye nemingcele eqinile ngo-2026.
Abalimi esifundeni saseNingizimu babike ubunzima obukhulu bokuthola umanyolo, njengoba u-78% engakwazi ukukhokhela zonke izinto ezidingekayo kule sizini. Abakhiqizi eNyakatho-mpumalanga naseNtshonalanga nabo babike izinselelo ezinkulu, lapho u-69% no-66%, ngokulandelana, bengakwazi ukukhokhela wonke umanyolo odingekayo, uma kuqhathaniswa no-48% eMidwest. Lapho abakhiqizi bengakwazi ukukhokhela amazinga aphelele okufaka umanyolo, bangase banciphise ukusetshenziswa kwezakhamzimba noma bashintshe izinqumo ze-acreage, kokubili okwandisa ingozi yesivuno esiphansi kanye nethuba lokukhiqiza elinciphile ngonyaka wesivuno ka-2026.
Umthelela Womanyolo Ngempahla
Ukuziphatha kokubhukha ngaphambi kokubhuka kuyahlukahluka kakhulu ngokwezimpahla. Cishe ingxenye yabakhiqizi besoya babike ukuthi babhukha ngaphambi kokuthenga umanyolo (49%), kulandelwe abalimi bebhali (47%), ummbila (44%), kanye nokolweni (42%). Amanani aphansi okubhukha ngaphambi kokuthenga phakathi kukakotini (13%) kanye namakinati (9%), kokubili okutshalwe eningizimu ye-US, abonisa ukuthi ipulazi libhekene nokuguquguquka kwentengo ngesikhathi sonyaka.
Ukukhathazeka ngokukwazi ukuthenga izinto ezingabizi kakhulu kusobala nakakhulu uma kubhekwa yimpahla. Abakhiqizi belayisi, ukotini kanye namakinati abangaphezu kuka-80% babike ukuthi abakwazi ukukhokhela wonke umanyolo odingekayo, okugqamisa ubuthakathaka balezi zinhlelo zokukhiqiza ekushaqekeni kwezindleko. Ingxenye engaphezu kwengxenye yazo zonke izinto zibika ukuthi azikwazi ukukhokhela zonke izidingo zomanyolo kulo nyaka.
Impilo Yezezimali Zasepulazini Isalokhu Ingaphansi Kwengcindezi
Ngokusho kocwaningo, ama-94% abaphendulile abike ukuthi isimo sabo sezezimali siye saba sibi kakhulu noma sisalokhu sinjalo kusukela ngonyaka odlule, kuyilapho ama-6% kuphela abike ukuthuthuka. Izimo zezimali ezimbi eziya kulesi sikhathi sokukhula zithinte izinqumo zokutshala nokuthenga, futhi ngenxa yalokho, ukushintshashintsha kwentengo kamanyolo kanye nophethiloli emakethe kuthinte abalimi ezweni lonke ngezindlela ezahlukene - njengoba kuqinisekiswe ucwaningo lwethu.
Izinqumo zokutshala entwasahlobo zincike kakhulu ekufinyeleleni umanyolo kanye nophethiloli wedizili, kokubili okuye kwathintwa yizingozi zezwe eziphazamise izimakethe zomhlaba. Selokhu kwanda ukungezwani eMpumalanga Ephakathi, amanani kamanyolo we-nitrogen akhuphuke ngaphezu kuka-30%, kuyilapho izindleko zikaphethiloli kanye nomanyolo ezihlanganisiwe zikhuphuke cishe ngo-20% kuya ku-40%. Amanani e-urea akhuphuke ngo-47% kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari, okubonisa ukwanda okukhulu kakhulu kwephesenti lenyanga nenyanga entengo ye-urea. Lokhu kunyuka kwenzeka lapho abakhiqizi abaningi base bevele bebhekene nakho. imingcele emincane iminyaka eminingi ilandelana.
Uphethiloli uyindleko enkulu yokusebenza ngesikhathi sokutshala entwasahlobo, okuthinta ukusebenza kwemishini, ukuthuthwa komanyolo kanye nokunisela. Njengoba izimakethe zamandla ziqina ngemuva kokuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz, amanani kadizili nophethiloli akhuphuke kakhulu, okuphakamisa izindleko cishe kuzo zonke izigaba zokukhiqiza. Amanani kadizili epulazini akhuphuke ngo-46% kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari, okubonisa ukwanda okukhulu kwamaphesenti entengo kadizili inyanga nenyanga phakathi naleso sikhathi.
Amanani aphezulu amandla nawo akhuphula izindleko zokukhiqiza umanyolo we-nitrogen, oncike kakhulu kugesi yemvelo njengokudla. Ngokubambisana, lokhu kwanda okuhambisanayo kwezindleko zikaphethiloli kanye nomanyolo kusiza ukuchaza ukuthi kungani abalimi abangaphezu kuka-90% ababuziwe babike ukuthi izimo zabo zezimali ziye zaba zimbi kakhulu noma zahlala zinjalo kusukela ngonyaka odlule.
Umugqa Ongezansi
Izimakethe zikaphethiloli nomanyolo zinokuguquguquka okukhulu kusukela iRussia yahlasela i-Ukraine, futhi isikhathi sokuphazamiseka eMpumalanga Ephakathi kanye nokuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz kuzogcina kunqume izindleko zokukhiqiza epulazini ezinyangeni ezizayo - okuguquguqukayo okuthinta kakhulu imingcele yepulazi uma kubhekwa amanani ezitshalo aphansi ngokomlando. Ngenkathi i-United States ingumkhiqizi omkhulu kunabo bonke emhlabeni kawoyela negesi yemvelo, izimakethe zikaphethiloli nomanyolo zisalokhu zixhumene emhlabeni jikelele.
Amazwe abhekene nokungazinzi ngaphakathi nangaphandle I-Persian Gulf ibangela cishe ama-49% okuthunyelwa kwe-urea emhlabeni jikelele kanye cishe no-30% we-ammonia ethunyelwa kwamanye amazwe emhlabeni jikelele. Ngenxa yokuthi le mikhiqizo ibalulekile ekukhiqizweni kwezitshalo, ukuphazamiseka esifundeni kungathinta ukutholakala kukamanyolo kanye namanani ngale kweMpumalanga Ephakathi.
Imiphumela yocwaningo iphakamisa ukuthi abalimi abaningi sebevele belungisa ukuthengwa kukamanyolo kanye nezinqumo zokufaka isicelo ngenxa yezindleko ezikhulayo. Uma ukuphazamiseka kuqhubeka, lokhu kulungiswa kungathinta isivuno, izinqumo ze-acreage kanye namathuba okukhiqiza jikelele ngonyaka wesivuno ka-2026. Ithuba lokuqala lokubona ukuthi abalimi basabela kanjani lizofika nombiko we-USDA we-May World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), olandelwa umbiko we-Acreage wangomhlaka-30 Juni.
Ukuphepha Kokukhiqiza Ukudla Kwasekhaya Kuwukuphepha Kwezwe
Uhulumeni umemezele izinhlelo zokusiza ukuqinisekisa ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kukaphethiloli kudlula ngokuphephile emizileni ebalulekile yokuthumela emhlabeni wonke. Ukwandisa lezi zivikelo ukuze zifake phakathi izinsiza zokufaka zezolimo njengomanyolo kufanele futhi kube yinto eza kuqala uma kubhekwa ukubaluleka kwayo ekukhiqizweni kokudla kanye nokuvikeleka kwezwe.
Njengoba izimo zezimali ziba zimbi kakhulu epulazini, kwakhiwa ukwesekwa kosizo olwengeziwe lwezomnotho kubalimi kunoma yimuphi umthetho ozayo ukusiza ekunciphiseni ubunzima bezomnotho obenziwe baba yinselele kakhulu ngenxa yokwenyuka kwamuva kwamanani kamanyolo kanye nophethiloli.
Ucwaningo Lukazwelonke: Iningi Labalimi Alikwazi Ukukhokhela Umanyolo
Iningi elikhulu labalimi baseMelika abaphendule ocwaningweni lukazwelonke bathi abakwazi ukuthenga umanyolo owanele ukuze baqhubeke nonyaka. Amaphesenti abantu abathenge umanyolo kusengaphambili ayahlukahluka kakhulu ngokwesifunda.
Ucwaningo olwenziwe yi-American Farm Bureau Federation kusukela ngo-Ephreli 3-11, lubonisa ukuthi ama-70% abaphenduli bathi umanyolo ubiza kakhulu kangangokuthi ngeke bakwazi ukuthenga wonke umanyolo abawudingayo.
Abalimi abangaphezu kuka-5,700, amalungu e-Farm Bureau kanye nabangewona amalungu, abavela kuzo zonke izifundazwe kanye nePuerto Rico bathathe lolu cwaningo. Izazi zezomnotho ze-Farm Bureau zihlaziye imiphumela ku-Market Intel yakamuva.
Ukuhlaziywa kwembula ukuthi cishe abalimi abayi-8 kwabayi-10 eningizimu ye-US bathi abakwazi ukukhokhela zonke izimpahla ezidingekayo kulo nyaka, kulandele iNyakatho-mpumalanga neNtshonalanga ngo-69% kanye no-66%, ngokulandelana, uma kuqhathaniswa no-48% wabalimi eMidwest.
Abalimi abangu-19% kuphela eNingizimu babhukhe kusengaphambili ukuthenga umanyolo ngaphambi kwesikhathi sokutshala. ENyakatho-mpumalanga, ama-30% kuphela abalimi abhukhe kusengaphambili, kulandele ama-31% eNtshonalanga, kanye nama-67% eMidwest. Ngisho noma amazinga aphezulu okubhukha kusengaphambili, cishe oyedwa kwabathathu abalimi baseMidwest usabika ukuthi bangena kule sizini ngaphandle kokuqinisekisa zonke izidingo zabo zomanyolo.
Ingxabano eMpumalanga Ephakathi ibangele ukuthi amanani kamanyolo kanye nophethiloli akhuphuke kakhulu. Ukuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz kuvimbela ukutholakala kukamanyolo obalulekile kanye nowoyela ongahluziwe ukuthi kungafiki ezimakethe zomhlaba wonke, okubeka ukuncipha kokutholakala emhlabeni wonke.
“Izinqumo zokutshala entwasahlobo zincike kakhulu ekufinyeleleni umanyolo kanye nophethiloli wedizili, kokubili okuye kwathintwa yizingozi zezwe eziphazamise izimakethe zomhlaba,” kusho i-Market Intel. “Selokhu kwanda ukungezwani eMpumalanga Ephakathi, amanani kamanyolo we-nitrogen akhuphuke ngaphezu kuka-30%, kuyilapho izindleko zikaphethiloli kanye nomanyolo ezihlanganisiwe zikhuphuke cishe ngo-20% kuya ku-40%. Amanani e-Urea akhuphuke ngo-47% kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari, okuphawula ukwanda okukhulu kakhulu kwephesenti lenyanga nenyanga entengo ye-urea. Lokhu kunyuka kwenzeka lapho abakhiqizi abaningi bebevele bebhekene nemingcele emincane iminyaka eminingi ilandelana.”
Iningi labalimi ababuzwe imibuzo bathi bazoyeka ukusebenzisa umanyolo kule ntwasahlobo benethemba lokuthi amanani azobuyela ezingeni elingabizi kamuva ngesikhathi sokulima.
UMengameli we-AFBF uZippy Duvall uthe, “Izindleko ezikhuphukayo zikaphethiloli nomanyolo zidala ubunzima obukhulu kwezomnotho kubalimi asebevele bebhekene nokulahlekelwa iminyaka eminingi. Ngaphandle komanyolo odingekayo, sizobhekana nesivuno esiphansi futhi abanye abalimi bazonciphisa amahektare ngokuphelele, okuzothinta ukudla kanye nokunikezwa kokudla. Kusenesikhathi kakhulu ukwazi ukuthi lokhu kuzothinta kanjani ukutholakala kokudla kanye namanani ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, kodwa kuyisixwayiso esabelana ngaso nabaholi eWashington. Silangazelela ukusebenzisana nabo ukuthola izixazululo ukuze abalimi baqhubeke nokondla imindeni kulo lonke elaseMelika.”
Ngokusho kocwaningo, abantu abangu-94% abaphendulile babike ukuthi isimo sabo sezezimali siye saba sibi kakhulu noma asikashintshi kusukela ngonyaka odlule, kuyilapho abangu-6% kuphela ababike ukuthi bathuthukile.
Thola imiphumela eminingi yocwaningo bese ufunda i-Market Intel ephelele lapha.
ICuba nePhilippines Zisenkingeni
Isimo Sikaphethiloli Nogesi sasePhilippines – Isibuyekezo Sika-Ephreli 2026
IPhilippines ingaphansi kwengcindezi enkulu ngenxa yempi eqhubekayo yase-Iran kanye nokuphazamiseka kokutholakala kukawoyela eStrait of Hormuz. Nasi isimo samanje esisekelwe ezitatimendeni zikahulumeni ezisemthethweni kanye nemibiko ethembekile kusukela maphakathi no-Ephreli 2026. Isimo Sikaphethiloli (Amafutha / Udizili / Uphethiloli) IPhilippines ingenisa cishe u-90–95% wamafutha ayo, kanti iningi lawo livela eMpumalanga Ephakathi. Ukuphazamiseka kweHormuz kuthinte kakhulu izwe.
- Izimali ezigciniwe zamanje (kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-Ephreli 2026):
- Uphethiloli: ~izinsuku ezingu-53–57 zokutholakala
- Udizili: ~izinsuku ezingu-46–50 zokutholakala
- Uphethiloli wejethi: ~izinsuku ezingu-39
- Isilinganiso esiphelele: ~izinsuku ezingu-45–50 zempahla kaphethiloli kazwelonke
- Izenzo zikahulumeni:
- On Mashi 24, 2026, uMongameli uMarcos umemezele isimo esiphuthumayo samandla kazwelonke—izwe lokuqala emhlabeni ukwenza kanjalo ngenxa yempi yase-Iran.
- Uhulumeni usethole ukuthunyelwa okuphuthumayo (isib. imiphongolo kadizili engu-329,000 evela eMalaysia ngo-Ephreli futhi usebenzisana neRussia, iShayina, iNdiya, iJapan, nabanye).
- Bavumela nokusetshenziswa kwesikhashana kwamafutha angcolile (i-Euro-II) ukuze kwelulwe izimpahla futhi kukhishwe imali evela esikhwameni segesi saseMalampaya.
- Kuseduze kangakanani nokuphela?
- Ngokwezinga lokusetshenziswa kwamanje, iPhilippines cishe ifinyelele Amaviki angu-6-7 uphethiloli osele uma kungafiki lutho olusha oluvela kwamanye amazwe.
- Njengoba kuqhubeka nokuthengwa kwempahla okuphuthumayo, izikhulu zithi zingasebenzisa izinsiza Juni–Julayi 2026, kodwa amanani asevele ephindwe kabili noma kathathu kwezinye izimo (udizili ufinyelele ku-P110–P170 ngelitha emasontweni amuva nje).
- Ukuntuleka sekuvele kubonakala kwezinye izindawo ezikude kanye namafutha athile (ikakhulukazi udizili wezokuthutha kanye namajeneretha).
Iphuzu elibalulekile ngophethiloli: Akuzona izinsuku ezisele ngaphambi kokuwa ngokuphelele, kodwa iqine kakhuluNgaphandle kokungeniswa okuqhubekayo kwempahla, ukuntuleka okukhulu kungaqala ekupheleni kukaMeyi kuya ekuqaleni kukaJuni 2026Uhulumeni umatasa futhi umemezele isimo esiphuthumayo sokubeka phambili ukuthengwa kwempahla.
Isimo Sikagesi: IPhilippines hhayi sekuseduze nokuphela kogesi ezweni lonke ngenxa yenkinga kawoyela.
- Kuphela okungu-1% kagesi wezwe okhiqizwa ezitshalweni ezisebenzisa uwoyela.
- Iningi livela ku- amalahle (~60–62%) kanye negesi yemvelo (evela ensimini yaseMalampaya, ~14%).
- Amalahle angeniswa kakhulu evela e-Indonesia nase-Australia (awathintwanga yi-Hormuz).
- Ukutholwa kwegesi yemvelo kwakamuva eMalampaya kulindeleke ukuthi kwandise ukutholakala kwayo futhi kulethe igesi entsha ku-inthanethi ngekota yesi-4 ka-2026.
Umbono wamanje:
- Ukuphakelwa kukagesi kwekota yesibili ka-2026 (Ephreli kuya kuJuni) kulindeleke ukuthi kube kwanele kodwa kubuthakathaka.
- Imingcele yokugcina incane, ikakhulukazi kugridi ye-Visayas.
- Ingozi yokubola kwezitshalo endaweni ethile ikhona ngenxa yokuphela kwezitshalo, isidingo esikhulu sasehlobo, kanye nemikhawulo yokudlulisela izitshalo — kodwa hhayi ikakhulukazi ngenxa yenkinga kawoyela.
- Amanani kagesi ayakhuphuka (kulindelwe ukuthi afike ku-16–20% ngo-Ephreli/Meyi) ngenxa yezindleko zokuthutha amalahle eziphakeme kanye nesidingo.
Iphuzu elibalulekile ngogesi: Izwe hhayi sekuzophela ugesi. Ukuphela kogesi kunganda ezindaweni ezisengozini (ikakhulukazi iziqhingi ezingaphandle kwegridi ezithembele kumajeneretha kadizili), kodwa igridi eyinhloko kufanele ihlale ihambisana nokuhlinzekwa kwamalahle negesi kwamanje. Ubuhlungu obukhulu obusheshayo bukhona izikweletu zikagesi eziphezulu kanye nokuntuleka okungenzeka kwendawo.
Isifinyezo Esiphelele sePhilippines (Ephreli 2026)
- Fuel: Okubalulekile futhi okuqinisayo ngokushesha — Amaviki angu-6-7 yezimpahla ezigciniwe ngamanani amanje, ngesikhathi sokuthenga izinto eziphuthumayo ezingeniswayo kuze kube uJuni/Julayi. Amanani asevele enyuke kakhulu.
- Ugesi: Kungaphathwa okwamanje, kodwa kubuthakathaka ngenxa yezindleko ezikhulayo kanye nengozi yokuwohloka kwesimo sezulu endaweni. Akuyona into eyenzeka ezweni lonke.
IPhilippines ingenye yamazwe ase-Asia abasengozini enkulu ukuphazamiseka kweHormuz ngenxa yokuthembela kwayo kakhulu ekuthengisweni kukawoyela eMpumalanga Ephakathi. Uhulumeni uyaqhubeka nokuthola ezinye izinto ezidingekayo, kodwa isimo sisalokhu sibi kakhulu. Ungathanda yini ukucaciswa okuningiliziwe (isib., umthelela emikhakheni ethile efana nezokuthutha, ezolimo, noma impilo yansuku zonke) noma izibuyekezo kunoma yisiphi isici esithile? Ngitshele.
Amalahle angeniswa kakhulu evela e-Indonesia nase-Australia (awathintwanga yi-Hormuz).
Kodwa ingabe banawo uphethiloli wemikhumbi ukuze ilethe amalahle ePhilippines?
Yebo — uphethiloli wemikhumbi eletha amalahle ePhilippines uyinkinga yangempela futhi ekhulayo njengamanje. Impendulo emfushane: Amalahle ngokwawo akuvinjiwe ngokuqondile ngesimo saseHormuz (ikakhulukazi sivela e-Indonesia nase-Australia), kodwa uphethiloli we-bunker (uphethiloli ofana nodizili onika amandla imikhumbi yezimpahla) is kuthinteke kakhulu. Izindleko zokuthumela zikhuphuke kakhulu, futhi ukutholakala kuyaqina. Lokhu sekuvele kubangela ukubambezeleka, amazinga aphezulu okuthutha impahla, kanye nengozi ethile yokuncipha kokulethwa kwamalahle emasontweni/ezinyangeni ezizayo.
Isimo Samanje (phakathi no-Ephreli 2026) Umzila Wokunikeza Amalahle
- IPhilippines ithenga amalahle amaningi avela kwamanye amazwe Indonesia (umthengisi omkhulu kunabo bonke emhlabeni) kanye Australia.
- Le mizila yenza hhayi ukudlula eStrait of Hormuz, ngakho-ke ukuphakelwa kwamalahle angokoqobo akunqanyuliwe ngqo.
- I-Indonesia iqinisekisile obala iPhilippines ngokuqhubeka nokuthunyelwa kwamalahle kwamanye amazwe (okuqinisekiswe ezitatimendeni zikaMashi 2026).
Inkinga Yangempela: Uphethiloli Wemikhumbi Engaphansi Kwendlu
- Imikhumbi yezimpahla iyasha uwoyela kaphethiloli wasolwandle (uphethiloli we-bunker), okuwumkhiqizo kaphethiloli ocolisisiwe.
- Inkinga yaseHormuz iphazamise kakhulu ukuhlinzekwa kukaphethiloli ocolisisiwe e-Asia.
- Izindawo eziyinhloko zase-Asia ezingaphansi komhlaba (eSingapore, eNingizimu Korea, eJapan, eChina) ziyabhekana ukushoda kanye nokwenyuka kwentengo ngoba ingxenye enkulu yochungechunge lwabo lokuhlinzekwa kukaphethiloli olucwengisisiwe yayixhunywe ku-crude kanye ne-refinery yaseMpumalanga Ephakathi.
- Imizila yokuthumela isivele ibika:
- Intengo kaphethiloli engaphansi kwendlu ikhuphuke kakhulu (eminye imizila ikhuphuke ngo-50–100%+ kusukela ngoFebhuwari).
- Abanye abathwali bayaphoqa izindleko ezengeziwe ze-bunker ngamalahle kanye neminye imithwalo eya ePhilippines.
- Ukubambezeleka kanye nokwehla kwezikhathi zokuhamba ngomkhumbi sekuqala ukubonakala ngoba abaqhubi bonga uphethiloli noma bashintsha indlela.
Umthelela Ekulethweni Kwamalahle EPhilippines
- Isikhathi esifushane (amasonto amabili kuya kwayisithupha alandelayo): Ukuthunyelwa kwamalahle kusafika, kodwa ngo- izindleko eziphakeme kanye nokubambezeleka okuthile. Uhulumeni uthole ukungeniswa kwedizili okuphuthumayo ukuze kugcinwe imikhakha ebalulekile isebenza, kodwa uphethiloli wasolwandle usalokhu uqinile.
- Isikhathi Esimaphakathi (Meyi–Julayi 2026)Uma ukuvinjelwa kweHormuz kuqhubeka noma kuba kubi kakhulu, izinkampani zokuthumela izimpahla zingase zinciphise ukuhamba ngomkhumbi ukuya ePhilippines noma zidlulisele izindleko eziphakeme nakakhulu. Lokhu kungaholela ekuswelekeni kwamalahle ezitshalweni zikagesi, kukhuphule amanani kagesi futhi kubeke engcupheni yokuphelelwa amandla kwamanzi.
- IPhilippines isivele imemezele ukuthi isimo esiphuthumayo samandla kazwelonke (Mashi 24, 2026) ngokwengxenye ngenxa yalokhu kusengozini.
Umugqa Ongezansi
- Amalahle uqobo lwawo: Akuvinjelwanga yiHormuz.
- Imikhumbi ephethe amalahle: Yebo — bathintwa yi ukushoda kukaphethiloli e-bunker kanye namanani akhuphukayoLesi yisixhumanisi esibuthakathaka.
- Umphumela uba izindleko zikagesi eziphezulu kanye nobunzima obungaba khona bokuhlinzekwa kwezitshalo zikagesi ezisebenzisa amalahle (ezikhiqiza ugesi wezwe ongama-60%).
Uhulumeni uzama ngenkuthalo ukuthola ezinye izindlela zokuthola uphethiloli futhi uvumele ukusetshenziswa kwesikhashana kukaphethiloli ongcolile (i-Euro-II) ukuze kwelulwe imikhawulo, kodwa isimo sisalokhu sibucayi.
I-Cuba Engenawo Ugesi Namanzi
Abantu baseCuba Babhekana Kanjani Nokungabikho (noma Okuncane Kakhulu) Kukagesi Ngo-Ephreli 2026? ICuba iphakathi kwenkinga enkulu kakhulu yamandla eminyakeni eminingi. Kusukela maphakathi no-Ephreli 2026, igridi kagesi kazwelonke ibuthakathaka kakhulu. Ukucima kukagesi kuyinkinga enkulu. hhayi ngezikhathi ezithile — ziyiqiniso lansuku zonke kubantu abaningi abacishe babe yizigidi ezingu-11 kulesi siqhingi.
Isimo Samanje (Ephreli 2026)
- Isilinganiso sokucima kokukhanya kwansuku zonke 16–20+ amahora ezindaweni eziningi, kanti ezinye izifunda zibhekene nokungasebenzi kahle cishe izinsuku eziningi ngesikhathi.
- Isidingo esiphezulu singama-MW angu-3,000, kodwa ukukhiqizwa kwangempela kuvame ukuba ngaphansi kwama-MW angu-1,300 - okusho ukuntuleka okukhulu.
- Inkinga iqhutshwa yi:
- Izitshalo zikagesi ezigugile neziphukile (amayunithi amaningi kagesi asebenzisa i-thermoelectric angaxhunyiwe ku-inthanethi).
- Ukuntuleka okukhulu kukaphethiloli (okwandiswe kakhulu ukuvinjelwa kukawoyela wase-US kanye nokungeniswa okulinganiselwe okuvela eRussia/Venezuela).
- Ukwehluleka njalo kokuwa kwesitshalo esisodwa lapho isitshalo siwela phansi.
Ugesi uyabuyiselwa ngezigaba ngemva kokuwa ngakunye okukhulu, kodwa awuqinile futhi awuthembekile. Izibhedlela neziteshi zokupompa amanzi zithathwa njengezibalulekile, kodwa nazo ziyathinteka.
Indlela Abantu BaseCuba Abavamile Ababhekana Ngayo Nansuku Zonke
Abantu baye bazivumelanisa nezimo ngenxa yesidingo, kodwa isimo siyakhathaza futhi siyawohloza izinga lokuphila:
- Impilo Yansuku Zonke Nomkhuba:
- Imindeni ihlela usuku lwayo lonke ngesikhathi ugesi ungabuya ngaso. Abantu bavuka ekuseni ukuze bapheke, bashaje amafoni, noma bawashe izingubo ngesikhathi samafasitela amafushane kagesi.
- Abaningi balala ngesikhathi sosuku esishisa kakhulu futhi bahlala belele kuze kube sebusuku uma kupholile futhi kungenzeka ukuthi ugesi uvuliwe.
- Imigwaqo imnyama ebusuku; abantu basebenzisa amathoshi ocingo, amakhandlela, noma izibani ezincane zelanga.
- Ukudla & Ukupheka:
- Amafriji ayaphela ngokushesha — ukudla kuyaphela ngokushesha. Abantu badla lokho abangakwazi ukukudla ngokushesha noma bapheke ukudla okuhlanganyelwe ngaphandle besebenzisa izitofu zokhuni, amalahle, noma ama-propane amancane.
- Abaningi bathembele ezintweni ezisemathinini, ilayisi, ubhontshisi, nanoma yimiphi imikhiqizo emisha esatholakala (ngokuvamile incishisiwe ngenxa yokushoda kukaphethiloli okuthinta ezokuthutha).
- Water:
- Ukungabikho kukagesi kusho ukuthi akukho maphampu amanzi → amafulethi amaningi kanye nezindawo ezizungezile azinawo amanzi agelezayo izinsuku eziningi.
- Izakhamuzi zithwala amanzi komakhelwane abanemithombo, ophahleni, noma izinto ezigciniwe. Ukugeza nokuhlanza izindlu zangasese kuba yizinselele ezinkulu.
- Impilo Nenhlanzeko:
- Izibhedlela zisebenza ngamajeneretha anophethiloli olinganiselwe.
- Ukukhathala kokushisa kuvamile (ikakhulukazi esimweni sezulu esinomswakama saseHavana).
- Ukuntuleka kwefriji kwandisa ingozi yezifo ezibangelwa ukudla.
- Abanye abantu asebekhulile nabasengozini bahlupheka kakhulu.
- Imibhikisho Nokukhungatheka:
- Kuye kwaba nemibhikisho yomphakathi engavamile (abantu beshaya amabhodwe namapani, imibhikisho emincane yasemgwaqweni).
- Abantu abaningi baseCuba baveza ukukhathala okukhulu: “Kumelwe sijwayele ukusinda” kuyinto evamile.
- Ukuguqulwa Kokudala:
- Amaphaneli elanga ophahleni kanye nama-solar kit amancane aya ngokuya evame kakhulu (nakuba ebiza kakhulu futhi elinganiselwe).
- Amabhayisikili kagesi/izithuthuthu (uma zingashajwa) asetshenziselwa uhambo olufushane.
- Omakhelwane babelana ngezinsiza kanye namandla uma kutholakala.
Isimo Sengqondo Esiphelele
Abantu baseCuba bayakwazi ukumelana nogesi futhi bebelokhu bebhekene nokucima kukaphethiloli iminyaka eminingi, kodwa inkinga yamanje (eye yanda ngenxa yokushoda kukaphethiloli kanye nokuwohloka kwengqalasizinda) icindezela abaningi ukuba bafinyelele emkhawulweni wabo. Kukhona ukukhungatheka okukhulayo, ukuphelelwa yithemba okuthule, futhi kwezinye izimo intukuthelo eqondiswe kokubili kuhulumeni kanye nezingcindezi zangaphandle (kufaka phakathi ukuvinjelwa kukawoyela wase-US).Isimo asikho “ugesi nhlobo” yonke indawo amahora angama-24 ngosuku, izinsuku eziyi-7 ngesonto, kodwa ukucima njalo isikhathi eside okwenza impilo evamile ibe nzima kakhulu.
Abaholi baseNtshonalanga Yurophu Bakhaphela iNtshonalanga
Abaholi baseNtshonalanga Yurophu Bakhaphela iNtshonalanga
by Guy Millière
Lonke izwe laseNtshonalanga lidinga ukuthatha ukuma okucacile.
Umbuso wase-Iran — akufanele udidaniswe nabantu bawo abahlukunyeziwe, abaningi babo abaye ukunikela ngezimpilo zabo kusukela ngo-1999 bezama ukuyisusa — kusukela yamiswa ngo-1979, isongela “Ukufa eMelika” (“uSathane Omkhulu”) kanye “noKufa ku-Israyeli” (“uSathane Omncane”).
“Uma uhlabelela ‘Ukufa eMelika!’ akusona nje isiqubulo,” kusho uMholi Ophakeme wase-Iran ongasekho u-Ali Khamenei. kumemezela ngo-2023, “kuyinqubomgomo.” Ngonyaka odlule, kwabikezelwa:
"Ukufa eMelika kuzokwenzeka. Kulolu hlelo olusha engikhuluma ngalo, iMelika ngeke isaba nendima ebalulekile."
Ngo-2008, uMongameli wase-Iran ngaleso sikhathi uMahmoud Ahmadinejad ethembisiwe ukuthi u-Israyeli “uzosuswa [emephini].”
Lokho okubizwa ngokuthi "olinganiselayo" owayenguMongameli wase-Iranian u-Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, "ngoSuku lwe-Al Quds," ngoDisemba 14, 2001, wathi:
"Ukusetshenziswa kwebhomu elilodwa lenuzi ngaphakathi kwa-Israyeli kuzobhubhisa yonke into .... Akuyona into engenangqondo ukucabanga ngesiphetho esinjalo."
Uhulumeni wase-Iran, ngemuva ukudala iqembu layo lamaphekula elimele i-Hezbollah in 1982, ngokushesha yaguqula iLebhanoni elihle laba yizwe elihlulekile. Sekuyiminyaka eminingi, i-Iran ibilokhu iphakathi kwe- umxhasi oyinhloko yeHezbollah, amaHouthi aseYemen kanye nePalestine Islamic Jihad, kanye nokunikeza ukwesekwa kwezinto ezibonakalayo kweHamas eGaza Strip. I-Iran nayo yayikhona uhileleke ngokujulile ekuhleleni ukuhlasela kwe-Hamas kwa-Israyeli ngomhlaka-7 Okthoba 2023.
Iminyaka engama-39 ilandelana, i-Iran ibilokhu iziqhenya ngedumela layo elihloniphekile ilebula, enikezwe yi-US State Department, “umxhasi wobuphekula ohamba phambili emhlabeni.” I-Iran, kanye neQatar, kubikwa ukuthi iyi- umgcinizimali oyinhloko ubuphekula bamaSulumane bamazwe ngamazwe kanye ne-ejenti ehamba phambili yokuwohloka komhlaba wonke.
Uhulumeni wase-Iran unesibopho sokubulala amasosha aseMelika angu-241 ngo-1983 ukuhlasela emakamu ase-US Marines eBeirut, kanye amakhulu amasosha aseMelika e-Iraq phakathi kuka-2003 no-2011. Iphinde yahlela ukuhlaselwa kwamaphekula kanye nokuzama ukubulala ngaphakathi e-United States, okuhlanganisa ne- Ukuhlaselwa kukaSepthemba 11, 2001.
Iminyaka eminingi, naphezu kokuphindaphinda ukuphika futhi ngokuziqhenya ukugwema ukuhlolwa kwamazwe ngamazwe, umbuso wase-Iran ubulokhu uzama ukuthola izikhali zenuzi. Isithunywa Esikhethekile sase-US uSteve Witkoff okuningiliziwe ukuthi abameleli be-Iran empeleni bavule izingxoxo ngu ukumemezela ukuthi babene-uranium eyanele ecebile ku-60% - izinsuku ezisele ukuthi iguqukele ezingeni lezikhali elingu-90% - ngamabhomu enuzi ayi-11 "ngesonto elilodwa, mhlawumbe izinsuku eziyi-10 ngaphandle."
Nakuba i-United States ne-Israel iziteleka ezenziwe ezikhungweni ezinkulu zenuzi zase-Iran ngoJuni 2025, i-Iran yathi isasebenza isilawuli cishe amakhilogremu angu-460 e-uranium enothe ngama-60%.
Kubonakala sengathi i-Israel ne-United States sebephethe ngokuthi, njengoba uMongameli wase-US uFranklin Roosevelt wayenakho mayelana ne-Third Reich ngo-1941, ukuthi, “Uma ubona inyoka eqhumayo isilungele ukushaya, awulindi ize ishaye ukuze iyichoboze.”
“Isonto elilodwa kuya ezinsukwini eziyi-10” zombuso wase-Iran kumelwe ukuthi kwazwakala ngokwanele “njengosongo oluseduze” kanye “nengozi ecacile nekhona” ukuze uHulumeni kaTrump anqume ukuthi kungcono ukumisa umbuso ngaphambi kokuba umbuso umise i-United States.
Impi, eyaqalwa ngo- Februwari 28, bekufanele ngabe isekelwe yiFree World yonke. Ayizange isekelwe.
E-United States, ngaphambi kokukhethwa kukaMengameli uDonald Trump, omongameli abane abakhona - uBill Clinton, uGeorge W. Bush, uBarack Obama noJoe Biden - kanye nezikhulu eziningi ezivela ezinhlangothini zombili zendlela, bamemezele ukuthi i-Iran akumelwe ivunyelwe ukuthola izikhali zenuzi, kodwa ayikaze yenze lutho ngakho.
Okubi nakakhulu, u-Obama kanye I-Biden Ohulumeni, ngokuzama ukufumbathisa uhulumeni wase-Iran ukuze wehlise intuthuko yawo yezikhali zenuzi, esikhundleni salokho ngempumelelo Uxhaswe ngemali futhi inikwe amandla it — ephelele ngo “izigaba zokushona kwelanga"esivumelwaneni sika-Obama se-JCPOA sika-2015," esasizokwenza i-Iran ikwazi ngokusemthethweni ukuba nezikhali zenuzi eziningi ngangokunokwenzeka ngo-Okthoba 2025. Lapho uTrump ikhanseliwe i-JCPOA ngo-2018, lelo kwakuyihlamvu aligwema ngobuhlakani.
Uhlobo olufanayo lokufumbathisa lwase luvele luphumele obala ngaphambilini eNorth Korea. Ngo-1994, uClinton waxoxisana "ngoHlaka Oluvunyelwene Ngalo" neNorth Korea ukuze kumiswe bese kuqedwa uhlelo lwayo lwezikhali zenuzi olukhona. UClinton wabe eseqinisekisa ukuthi iJapan neSouth Korea enikeziwe Umholi waseNyakatho Korea, uKim Jong II, uphethe imali engaphezu kwezigidigidi ezine zamaRandi — okubonakala sengathi wayisebenzisa ngokushesha ukuqedela uhlelo lwakhe lwenuzi. Akekho owamvimba.
Kwakuseminyakeni embalwa edlule lapho uHulumeni kaBiden ethi i-Iran imele ingozi enkulu. UNobhala Wezwe u-Antony Blinken wabe esememezela ngo-Okthoba 2021 ukuthi isikhathi “ukugijima kufushane"Namuhla, uMholi weMinority Senate wase-US uChuck Schumer, owakhuluma kahle kakhulu wabhala ngokumelene nokusekela isivumelwano sika-Obama senuzi, uthi ukuthi ukuhlasela i-Iran ngaphambi kokuba ihlasele iNtshonalanga “kuyimpi yokuzikhethela, hhayi isidingo”.
Kwakungekho sizathu sokuvumela i-Iran ukuthi ibe enye iNyakatho Korea. "Ufuna ukubona imakethe yamasheya iwa?" Trump Ebuzwa ku-Fox News. "Makuphonswe amabhomu enuzi ambalwa kithi."
Abanye osopolitiki baseMelika basole uhulumeni kaTrump ngokungafanele ngokwephula umthetho ocatshangelwayo ukungahambisani nomthethosisekelo UMthetho Wamandla Empi ka-1973. Isigaba 2(c) iyaqaphela igunya likamongameli lokuthumela amabutho ahlomile ngaphandle kwemvume yangaphambilini yeCongress ngemuva “kokuhlaselwa kwe-United States… noma amabutho ayo ahlomile” izinsuku ezingafika kwezingama-60 ngaphandle kwemvume yeCongress, kanye nokwandiswa okungenzeka kwezinsuku ezingama-30. I-Iran inomlando omude wokuhlasela amabutho ahlomile ase-US.
UTrump akazange acele amabutho noma ngisho nempahla kubangane baseMelika. Wamane nje kuceliwe ukusetshenziswa kwezisekelo zempi - ezinye zazo, njengoDiego Garcia oLwandlekazi i-Indian, ezabelwana yi-UK kanye ne-US - noma amalungelo okundiza.
Ukusabela kwabaholi abaningi baseNtshonalanga Yurophu, ngokwe-diplospeak, “kwakudumaza” — ukuxosha futhi ngobugwala — futhi kusalokhu kunjalo kuze kube namuhla.
Ngemva kwamahora ambalwa nje kokususwa kukaKhamenei, uMengameli waseFrance u-Emmanuel Macron kusho ukuthi imisebenzi yezempi ngokumelene ne-Iran “iyingozi kubo bonke” futhi kwadingeka imiswe ngokushesha. Ngesikhathi “edabuka” ngokuhlasela kwamaphekula kwe-Hezbollah kwa-Israyeli, uMacron wanxusa I-Israel izoyeka ukusebenza kwayo kwezempi eLebanon futhi kubonakala sengathi ifuna ukusindisa iHezbollah. UMacron wanezela ngokuthi iFrance izogcina "isenzo sokuvikela abalingani bayo” – ngaleyo ndlela ngokusobala ikhipha u-Israyeli kanye ne-United States kubangane baseFrance.
Ngemva kwamahora ambalwa, uNdunankulu waseBrithani uKeir Starmer wamemezela ukuthi uzoqhubeka. ukwesekwa kuphela "isixazululo esinokuthula, esixoxiswane ngaso."
IShansela laseJalimane uFriedrich Merz kugcizelelwe ukuthi “iJalimane ayilona iqembu lale mpi” – enganaki, njengoba uTrump engachithanga sikhathi ukukhomba, ukuthi i-US, ebilokhu ixhasa ukuzivikela kweYurophu cishe yodwa kusukela ekupheleni kweMpi Yezwe II nge-NATO, yayingeyona ingxenye yempi yaseRussia ne-Ukraine.
Ngesikhathi, ngoMashi 15, uTrump ubizelwe Abaholi baseYurophu bazohlanganyela ekuvikeleni iStrait of Hormuz, njalo ngemuva kokuphela wenqabile, naphezu kokuba ziningi kakhulu othembekile ku-oyela negesi ezithunyelwa nge-Strait of Hormuz kune-US.
UTrump uxwayise amazwe aseYurophu ukuthi ukwehluleka ukulalela isicelo sakhe kungadala imiphumelaNgemva kokuba uNobhala Jikelele we-NATO uMark Rutte enxuse abaholi baseYurophu ukuthi bacabange kabusha ngempendulo yabo, abaningana, kanye neJapane, bakhiphe isitatimende isitatimende esihlangene ngoMashi 19, beveza “ukulungela kwabo ukufaka isandla.”
UMacron wabe “esecacisa” isikhundla sakhe. IFrance, yena kusho, izikhwepha vuma ukungenelela kuphela ngemva kokuba “isigaba esinzima sengxabano sesiphelile” — lapho ukungenelela kwamaFulentshi kungaba yize.
UNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela waseJalimane uBoris Pistorius kusho ukuthi iJalimane izothatha isinyathelo kuphela ngemva kokumenyezelwa kokumiswa kwempi - lapho impi isiphelile.
UStarmer, ngenkathi eqhubeka nokwenqaba kwakhe, wahlela esikhundleni salokho i- umhlangano obonakalayo nezikhulu ezivela emazweni angaphezu kuka-40 ukuthola “isixazululo sezombusazwe” kule nkinga. Okumelwe ukuba kwaba ukumangala okukhulu komuntu wonke, akukho sixazululo sezombusazwe esatholakala.
UMacron, ezidlula yena, i-airspace yaseFrance evaliwe ezindizeni zempi zaseMelika nezakwa-Israyeli ezihilelekile emisebenzini yezempi emelene nombuso wase-Iran kanye ne-Hezbollah. UNdunankulu waseSpain uPedro Sánchez, ngu ukuphika Ukufinyelela kwezindiza zamasosha ase-US ezisekelweni ze-NATO eSpain kusukela ngosuku lokuqala lwempi, kwase kuvele kwenze isinqumo esifanayo. Okudumazayo kakhulu ukuthi uNdunankulu wase-Italy ongavamile uGiorgia Meloni wenqatshelwe ukufinyelela esikhungweni se-NATO eSigonella, eSicily. I-Austria, okungafanele ishiywe ngaphandle, yasebenzisa “ukungathathi hlangothi” kwayo okusobala futhi ivale isikhala sayo somoya ezindizeni zempi zaseMelika.
I-United Kingdom kufanele ivumele izindiza zamabhomu zase-US ukuthi zisebenzise izisekelo zempi endaweni yayo okungenani “imisebenzi yokuzivikelaEkuqaleni, uStarmer wenqabile ukuvumela izindiza zaseMelika ukuthi zisebenzise isikhungo sezindiza esihlangene sase-US-UK uDiego Garcia; ekugcineni wavumela ukungena, ngemuva kokuthi ukuhlasela kwezindiza sekuphelile, kodwa kuphela "ngemisebenzi yokuzivikela." EJalimane, kuze kube manje, isikhungo sezindiza saseRamstein ngokwemfundiso sisatholakala ukuthi sisetshenziswe yi-US Air Force. Okudabukisayo ukuthi, izisekelo ezixhumene ne-NATO noma ezihlangene - lapho i-US ihlanganisa khona inqwaba yezindiza. iningi izindleko zokusebenza kanye nokugcinwa kwazo — zavalwa izindiza zempi zase-US yiwona kanye amazwe azisingathayo. “Abangane” base-United States, bevimba imisebenzi yayo yezempi, babephoqa izindiza zempi zase-US ukuba zithathe izindlela ezinde nezibizayo.
UTrump, naye, unjalo ukubukeza Ubudlelwano beMelika ne-NATO.
UMacron, evakashele eJapan ngomhlaka-1 kuMbasa, wazama ukunxenxa uNdunankulu uSanae Takaichi ukuba ayeke ukuthembela eWashington kuphela. UMacron wabe eseya eNingizimu Korea, lapho afike khona wanxusa Amazwe “amandla aphakathi” azohlangana ngokumelene ne-US ne-China. Kubonakala sengathi akabonanga mehluko phakathi kwe-United States, intando yeningi elwa nombuso omubi, kanye ne-China, izwe elibusayo elisekela umbuso we-Iran.
Ngo-Ephreli 2, iFrance, kanye neRussia kanye neChina - abalingani be-Iran - veto Isinqumo se-UN Security Council, esabhalwa amazwe ase-Arab futhi sasekelwa yi-US, esasigxeka izenzo ze-Iran ngokumelene namazwe ase-Arab asePersian Gulf futhi sacela ukusetshenziswa kwamandla ukuvula iStrait of Hormuz. Ngosuku olulandelayo, iFrance atholakale "isivumelwano esihlukile" noma imvume ethule ngemigudu yezokuxhumana yomkhumbi wenkampani, i-CMA CGM, ephethwe usomabhizinisi waseFrance-eLebanese uRodolphe Saadé, ukuba udlule eStrait.
Sekungamashumi eminyaka amazwe aseNtshonalanga Yurophu elokhu ukuphila mahhala ngaphansi kwesambulela sokuzivikela saseMelika. Esikhundleni sokuchitha imali emabuthweni ukuqinisekisa ukuphepha kwawo, abaholi baseYurophu bakhe izifundazwe zenhlalakahle ezibizayo futhi wakhushulwa umqondo ukuthi cishe zonke izingxabano zingaxazululwa ukuthulisa isitha futhi wavuma izimfuno zakhe. Lo mbono wakhula ngamandla amakhulu ngemva kokuwa kweSoviet Union, “iholide emlandweni,” lapho izabelomali zempi kulo lonke elaseNtshonalanga kwehla kakhulu. Phakathi naleso sikhathi, abaholi baseNtshonalanga Yurophu base beqalile ukukhuluma ngomongameli baseMelika bevikela i-United States ngendelelo.
Ukufudukela eNtshonalanga Yurophu kwabantu abaningi abangamaSulumane, abafudukela eNtshonalanga Yurophu akukaze kuhlanganiswe futhi kubonakala sengathi bazinikele kakhulu ku- inzondo ngo-Israyeli namaJuda — kanye ne- AmaKristu — kube negalelo ekuvukeni kabusha kobutha ngamaJuda phakathi kwabaholi bezombusazwe abafuna amavoti kulo lonke elaseNtshonalanga Yurophu.
Ngenkathi bonke abaholi baseNtshonalanga Yurophu bezwakalisa ukwethuka kwabo ngemuva kokubulawa kwabantu abaningi yiHamas ngo-Okthoba 7, 2023, abaningi ngokushesha wasola u-Israyeli ngonya, kanti empeleni, ibutho layo lalingagcini nje ngokuzivikela kodwa futhi nokuqeda izinsongo ngokumelene EuropeAbanye abaholi baze baqambe amanga umsolwa u-Israyeli ka-“uhlanga"kanti empeleni kuyiHamas, ku-Article 7 yayo." Isivumelwano sika-1988, lokho kubiza ukubhujiswa kwawo wonke amaJuda – okufana nomoya wobugebengu wokuhlambalaza igazi owawuvame kakhulu ngezikhathi ezimbi kakhulu zesikhathi esidlule saseYurophu.
Iningi lalaba bezombusazwe eYurophu alikaze ligxeke amashumi eminyaka obudlova obenziwa umbuso wase-Iran. NgoJanuwari 9, 2026 — ngaleso sikhathi umbuso wase-Iran wawubulala abantu bawo abangaphezu kuka-30,000 abangenazo izikhali emigwaqweni — uStarmer, uMacron noMerz bashicilele isitatimende esihlangene ngobuqhawe ukuveza "ukukhathazeka okujulile." Kwaba yilokho kuphela.
UTrump usebenzise igama elilodwa ukuchaza abaholi bamazwe aseNtshonalanga Yurophu: “amagwala. "
"INtshonalanga Yurophu ihlushwa kakhulu yisifiso sokufa sezepolitiki nesezenhlalo," wabhala Conrad Black ngenyanga edlule. "I-United States ngeke ibasindise kulokho; yibo kuphela abangakwenza."
Ithemba "lokuqedwa kwempucuko" nalo laphakanyiswa yi- Isu Lokuphepha Kwezwe Lase-US lika-2025.
I-Israel — okuyinto iningi labaholi baseNtshonalanga Yurophu abasemandleni ababonakala beyidelela — ngokusobala iyona umngane othembekile kakhulu ye-United States; yilaba baholi baseNtshonalanga Yurophu abafanelwe ukudelelwa. Ngaphansi kobuholi babo obubi nobungenazimiso, kanye nokuzinikela kwabo ngokungazi lutho kubantu abasha abafuna izinto ezintsha, iNtshonalanga Yurophu njengoba siyazi ingase ibe njalo ukuya ekuweni.
UDkt. Guy Millière, uprofesa eNyuvesi yaseParis, ungumbhali wezincwadi ezingu-27 ezikhuluma ngeFrance neYurophu.
Ingabe Ukulungele Ukuvunwa Kukakolweni?
I-Shavuot 2026:
Ingabe Wena Ready ngoba the Ngokolweni Harvest
futhi the Olandelayo Great Ukuthululwa?
I-Shavuot inokuxhumana kolimi lwesiHebheru, futhi isekelwe ngqo olimini ngokwalo:
- I-Shavuot (שבועות) ubuningi be shavu'a (שבוע) — “isonto” (inkathi eyisikhombisa).
- I-Shevuot (שבועות) ubuningi be shevu'ah (שבועה) — “isifungo” noma “isivumelwano esifungelwe.”
La magama amabili apelwa futhi aphinyiselwa cishe ngendlela efanayo. Leli yigama lesiHebheru elivamile (i-paronomasia) eliphawulwa yimithombo yorabi maqondana nesivumelwano saseSinayi (isib., abantu abafunga bathi “Konke uJehova akukhulumile sizokwenza” ku-Eksodusi 19:8 no-24:3,7). I-Talmud (Shabbat 86b–88a) kanye nezincazelo zakamuva ziqokomisa lo mdlalo wamagama ukuchaza ukuthi kungani uShavuot ahlotshaniswa nokuvuselelwa kwesivumelwano eSinayi (1379 BC ohlelweni lwakho lokulandelana kwezikhathi).
“Ngenyanga yesithathu emva kokuphuma kwabantwana bakwa-Israyeli ezweni laseGibhithe, ngalona lolo suku, bafika ehlane laseSinayi.” (Eksodusi 19:1)
Abantu bafika, bazihlanza izinsuku ezintathu, futhi ngosuku lwama-50 kusukela esithungwini sokuzuliswa (ngokukaLevitikusi 23:15-21), bafunga isifungo esikhulu:
“Konke uJehova akukhulumile sizokwenza!” (Eksodusi 19:8; 24:3, 7)
Lokhu kwakuwukuqinisekiswa okusemthethweni kwesivumelwano somshado (ketubah) phakathi kukaJehova no-Israyeli — ngokuduma kwezulu, umlilo, umusi, kanye nokunikezwa kweMiyalo Eyishumi (kanye nemiyalelo egcwele yeTorah). Ngakho-ke iShavuot iyisikhumbuzo saminyaka yonke salokhu kuthathwa kwesifungo nokuvuselelwa kwesivumelwano. Isiko lamaRabi kamuva lasibiza kanjalo Z'man Matan Torateinu (“isikhathi sokunikezwa kweTorah yethu”), kodwa iTorah ngokwayo iyibopha ekuvuneni kanye nomhlangano eSinayi. Lokhu kusetha ithempulethi: I-Shavuot = usuku lwesifungo sesivumelwano + ukuvuselelwa ngemva kwesikhathi sokukhululwa noma sokwahlulelwa.
I-Shavuot — Ukuvunwa Kokolweni Kufikile (Umyalo Wezolimo)
Ake siqale lapho uJehova eqala khona — ngomyalo ocacile kuTorah Yakhe Ebhaliwe.
“Kumelwe nizibalele kusukela ngosuku olulandela iSabatha, kusukela ngosuku enaletha ngalo isithungu somnikelo wokuzuliswa: amasabatha ayisikhombisa azoqedwa. Balani izinsuku ezingamashumi amahlanu kuze kube usuku olulandela iSabatha lesikhombisa; bese ninikela ngomnikelo omusha wokusanhlamvu kuJehova. Niyoletha ezindlini zenu izinkwa ezimbili zokuzuliswa ezinezingxenye ezimbili kweshumi ze-efa. Ziyoba ngefulawa ecolekileyo; ziyobhakwa ngemvubelo. Ziyizithelo zokuqala kuJehova.” (Levitikusi 23:15-17)
Lokhu UChag HaKatzir — uMkhosi Wokuvuna (Eksodusi 23:16). Phawula imininingwane uJehova ayigcizelelayo. Ukubala akuqali ngosuku olunqunyiwe. Kuqala ngosuku ibhali le-aviv — izikhwebu eziluhlaza okumele zivuthwe ngokwanele ukuze zilungele isithungu sokuzuliswa ngosuku olulandela iSabatha lamasonto onke elilandela iPhasika. Kulapho-ke kuphela lapho sibala khona amasonto ayisikhombisa aphelele (izinsuku ezingu-49) kanye nosuku olulodwa ukuze sifinyelele usuku lwama-50 — iShavuot.
I-Shavuot — Umkhosi Wezifungo Nokuvuselelwa Kwesivumelwano
Orabi babiza uShavuot ngokuthi Z'man Matan Torateinu — isikhathi sokunikezwa kweTorah. Lokho kuyiqiniso, kodwa kuyingxenye nje yendaba. Kubizwa nangokuthi Umkhosi Wezifungo ngenxa yesifungo esiqinileyo abantu abasenza eSinayi.
Ngalo kanye usuku olwaluzoba yiShavuot kamuva, abantwana bakwa-Israyeli bema phansi kwentaba bafunga:
“Konke uJehova akukhulumile sizokwenza!” (Eksodusi 19:8; 24:3, 7)
Bangena esivumelwaneni somshado noMdali wendawo yonke. Ukuduma, umbani, umlilo, kanye nomusi kwakuyisivikelo somshado. Imithetho Eyishumi yayiyi-ketubah - isivumelwano somshado. Ngakho-ke i-Shavuot iyisivumelwano sonyaka ukuvuselelwa kwalezo zifungo.
Yingakho ukufundwa kwendabuko kweShavuot kuyiNcwadi kaRuthe. URuthe, oweZizwe wakwaMowabi, wenza isifungo sakhe sokwethembeka:
“Lapho uya khona, nami ngiyakuya khona; lapho uhlala khona, nami ngiyakuhlala khona; abantu bakho bayakuba ngabantu bami, noNkulunkulu wakho abe nguNkulunkulu wami.” (Ruthe 1:16)
Waxhunyelelwa emphakathini wakwa-Israyeli ngokwethembeka esivumelwaneni futhi waba ugogo-mkhulu weNkosi uDavide — ozalo lwakhe luholela ngqo kuMesiya. URuthe ufanekisa amagatsha omnqumo wasendle (thina) exhunyelelwa emthini womnqumo otshaliwe (KwabaseRoma 11). I-Shavuot umkhosi walokho kuxhunyelelwa.
UShavuot usibiza ukuthi sibuyele ku- ITorah Ebhaliwe eyanikezwa eSinayi kanye uMoya lokho kusinika amandla okuwugcina. Lo mkhosi awuphathelene nokwengeza izendlalelo ze-takanot ezenziwe ngabantu; umayelana nokubuyela esivumelwaneni esilula nesinamandla uJehova asenza nathi.
Iphethini Yokuvuselelwa Kwesivumelwano Esikhathini Senyanga Yesithathu
Nakuba iTorah inganikeli usuku lwesivumelwano ngasinye ngosuku lwama-50 oluqondile, kuvela iphethini ecacile yesizini ngenyanga yesithathu - yona kanye inkathi lapho uShavuot ewela khona futhi lapho isenzakalo saseSinayi sibekwe khona ngokusobala (Eksodusi 19:1).
Ngemva kukazamcolo, ukulandelana kwezikhathi kubeka izikhathi ezibalulekile esikhathini ngemva kokuba amanzi ehlile. Umkhumbi wahlala ezintabeni zase-Ararati ngenyanga yesikhombisa (Genesise 8:4). Ngenyanga yokuqala yonyaka olandelayo, umhlaba wawusomile (Genesise 8:13). UNowa wabe esephuma emkhunjini, wakha i-altare, wanikela ngemihlatshelo, futhi wathola izithembiso zesivumelwano:
IGen 8: 13 Kwathi ngomnyaka wamakhulu ayisithupha nanye, ekuqaleni, ngolokuqala lwenyanga, amanzi abesetsha emhlabeni. UNowa wasusa isembozo somkhumbi, wabheka. bheka, ubuso bomhlaba base bomile.
IGen 8: 14 Ngenyanga yesibili ngosuku lwamashumi amabili nesikhombisa lwenyanga umhlaba wawusomile.
IGen 8: 15 UNkulunkulu wakhuluma kuNowa, wathi:
IGen 8: 16 Phuma emkhunjini, wena nomkakho, namadodana akho, nabafazi bamadodana akho kanye nawe.
IGen 8: 17 Phuma nawe konke okuphilayo okunawe, kuyo yonke inyama, izinyoni, nezinkomo, nazo zonke izinto ezinwabuzelayo ezinwabuzelayo emhlabeni, ukuze zande kakhulu emhlabeni, zizale, zande emhlabeni.
IGen 8: 18 UNowa waphuma, namadodana akhe, nomkakhe, nabafazi bamadodana akhe kanye naye.
IGen 8: 19 Zonke izilwane, zonke izinyoni, nazo zonke izilwane ezinwabuzelayo, konke okuhamba emhlabeni ngemindeni yazo, kwaphuma emkhunjini.
Isivumelwano sikaNkulunkulu noNowa
IGen 8: 20 UNowa wamakhela uJehova i-altare, wathatha kuzo zonke izilwane ezihlanzekileyo, nakuzo zonke izinyoni ezihlanzekileyo, wanikela ngeminikelo yokushiswa e-altare.
“UJehova wezwa iphunga elimnandi. UJehova wathi enhliziyweni yakhe: “Angisoze ngisawuqalekisa umhlaba ngenxa yomuntu, ngokuba imicabango yenhliziyo yomuntu mibi kwasebusheni bakhe. Angisayikuphinda ngibhubhise konke okuphilayo njengami. Umhlaba usekhona, ukuhlwanyela nokuvuna, amakhaza nokushisa, ihlobo nobusika, imini nobusuku akuyikuphela.” (Genesise 8:21-22)
Isivumelwano sihlanganisa ukuzibophezela okuhlangene: isintu kumele sihloniphe impilo (ukungadli igazi), futhi uJehova ufunga ukuthi ngeke aphinde agcwalise umhlaba. Lesi kwakuyisifungo sesivumelwano esicacile esenziwa ngemva kwesahlulelo somhlaba wonke, esinesiqalo esisha sesintu. Isikhathi senyanga yesithathu sihambisana nesikhathi sezolimo nesemikhosi kamuva esiyalelwe uShavuot. Amazwi aseBhayibhelini kamuva, njengokuvuselelwa kwesivumelwano ngaphansi kweNkosi u-Asa ngenyanga yesithathu (2 IziKronike 15:10–15), abonisa lokhu njengesikhathi esiphindaphindayo sokuzibophezela kuJehova.
U-Abrahama kanye nokuqinisekiswa kwesivumelwano enyangeni yesithathu
ITorah iphinde ixhumanise u-Abrahama nezindikimba zolibo kanye nezikhathi zesivumelwano ngenyanga yesithathu kanye nesizini yokuqala yehlobo. UGenesise 15 ubhala ngesivumelwano sezingcezu, kanye nokuqinisekiswa kwaso okumangalisayo okufana nesifungo - imbiza yomlilo ebhemayo kanye nesibani esivuthayo esidlula phakathi kwezilwane ezihlukene. UGenesise 17 ubhala ngesivumelwano sokusoka njengesibonakaliso enyameni, kanye nesithembiso senzalo eyandisiwe kanye nezizwe. Lokhu kwenzeka lapho u-Abrahama eneminyaka engu-99, futhi isikhathi semicimbi ehlobene (kufaka phakathi ukuzalwa kuka-Isaka ngonyaka olandelayo) siwela ngaphakathi kwefasitela lokuvuna kanye nelibo lokuqala.
Impilo ka-Abrahama igcwele ukwakhiwa kwe-altare, imihlatshelo, nezifungo (isibonelo, umthombo wesifungo eBerisheba kuGenesise 21:31, lapho amawundlu ayisikhombisa afanekisela isifungo futhi ephinda “amasonto”/izifungo zikaShavuot). Nakuba iTorah ingaxhumanisi yonke imininingwane nosuku lwama-50 oluqondile, isizini yenyanga yesithathu ivele ngokuphindaphindiwe ukuze kuqinisekiswe isivumelwano kanye nezindikimba zokuqala. Ukwethembeka kuka-Abrahama kuyisibonelo sokugcina isifungo uShavuot asibizela ukuba sisivuselele minyaka yonke.
Uma zihlanganiswa, lezi zibonelo zembula isigqi seTorah esihambisanayo: ngemva kokwahlulela noma ukuhlolwa kuza inkathi yokuqinisekiswa kwesivumelwano, isifungo, kanye nokuqala okusha. Lesi sigqi sifinyelela ekubonakalisweni kwaso okucacile nokuningiliziwe eSinayi ngo-1379 BC futhi siyaqhubeka ekuthululweni kweSivumelwano Esisha kuShavuot ngo-31 CE
Ukugcwaliseka Kwesivumelwano Esisha — IzEnzo 2 kanye Nombhalo Osenhliziyweni
Qhubeka ngokushesha cishe iminyaka eyi-1,500 uye eJerusalema ngalo kanye usuku olufanayo - uShavuot.
Abafundi babuthana, bebala i-Omer njengoba nje uLevitikusi eyala. Ngokungazelelwe:
“Kwavela umsindo ezulwini, njengomoya onamandla ovunguzayo, wagcwalisa indlu yonke ababehlezi kuyo. Kwase kubonakala kubo izilimi ezahlukanayo, njengokungathi ezomlilo, zahlala phezu kwalowo nalowo kubo. Bonke bagcwala uMoya oNgcwele…” (IzEnzo 2:2-4)
Kwanezelwa imiphefumulo eyizinkulungwane ezintathu ngalolo suku. Okwenzeka kwaba ukugcwaliseka okuqondile kwesithembiso esikuJeremiya 31:31-34 nakuHezekeli 36:26-27: iTorah yayingeke isabe sezibhebheni zamatshe kuphela kodwa yayibhalwe ezinhliziyweni zenyama. UMoya oNgcwele akazange ayiqede iTorah — Wasinika amandla okuhamba kuyo.
Lesi “yisivumelwano esingcono” esiqondiswe nguYeshua (Hebheru 8:6). Umlilo ofanayo owehlela eSinayi manje wehlela ezinhliziyweni zabantu. Isifungo esifanayo esafunga ngaso entabeni manje sesibekwe uphawu ngegazi leWundlu namandla kaMoya.
Ubukhulu Besiprofetho — Isivuno Sokugcina kanye neJubili Le-120
I-Shavuot ayibheki emuva kuphela; ibheka phambili ngamandla. Umphostoli uPawulu uyixhumanisa ngqo novuko:
“Kodwa manje uMesiya uvukile kwabafileyo, futhi useyizithelo zokuqala zalabo abalele… Kodwa yilowo nalowo ngokwesigaba sakhe: uMesiya ulibo lokuqala, bese kuba yilabo abangabakaMesiya ekufikeni kwakhe… Ngesikhashana, ngokuphazima kweso, ngecilongo lokugcina.” (1 Korinte 15:20-23, 51-52)
Izinkwa ezimbili ezizuliswa eShavuot ziyizithelo zokuqala zesivuno esikhulu esizokwenzeka lapho icilongo lokugcina likhala. Siphila eminyakeni yokugcina yomjikelezo weJubili le-120. IJubili le-120 yilona eliletha ukubuyiselwa kokugcina. Izinhlungu zokubeletha azinakuphikwa: izizwe zivukela izizwe, iStrait of Hormuz ivinjiwe, ukushoda komanyolo okusongela ukutholakala kokudla emhlabeni wonke ngo-2026 nangale kwalokho, ukuzamazama komnotho, kanye nezibonakaliso emazulwini nasemhlabeni. Lezi yizinto kanye uYeshua asitshele ukuthi siziqaphele kuMathewu 24 noLuka 21.
Amasimu kakolweni amhlophe ukuze avunwe. UJehova ufuna okusanhlamvu okuvuthiwe — abantu abavumele izilingo zalezi zinsuku zokugcina ukuba ziveze izithelo zoMoya: uthando, injabulo, ukuthula, ukubekezela, umusa, ubuhle, ukwethembeka, ubumnene, ukuzithiba (KwabaseGalathiya 5:22-23). Ukolweni ovuthiwe kuphela ongagaywa ube yisinkwa esondla izizwe.
U-Israyeli — Ulibo LukaJehova
UJehova ngokwakhe ubiza u-Israyeli Ulibo lwakhe lokuqala — ingxenye engcwele, ezinikele yesivuno Sakhe.
“U-Israyeli wayengcwele kuJehova, izithelo zokuqala zesivuno sakhe [noma “ulibo lwesivuno Sakhe”]: bonke abamdlayo bayakucasuka; ububi buyakubehlela, usho uJehova.” (Jeremiya 2:3)
NgesiHebheru, lesi sisho sithi reishit tevuatoh — ingxenye yokuqala yesivuno Sakhe. Njengoba nje iminikelo yokuqala kuLevitikusi yayibekelwe uJehova kuphela futhi yayingenakudliwa ngabanye ngaphandle kwecala (Levitikusi 22:10, 16; 23:10-14), kanjalo u-Israyeli wayengcweliswe kuYe kuphela ezinsukwini zokuqala ngemva koFuduko.
Lesi simemezelo esikuJeremiya 2:3 asisona isingathekiso esidlulayo. Sikhanyisa ngqo uphawu oluyinhloko lukaShavuot — izinkwa ezimbili zokuzuliswa zesinkwa sikakolweni esivutshelweyo. ULevitikusi 23:17 usho ngokucacile: “Ziyizithelo zokuqala kuJehova.” Lezi zinkwa ezimbili, ezibhakwe ngemvubelo ngoba zimele abantu abahlengiwe kodwa abangaphelele, zizuliswa phambi kukaJehova kulo mkhosi. Esinye isinkwa sibonisa uJuda; esinye sibonisa u-Efrayimi (indlu ka-Israyeli ehlakazekile). Ndawonye zakha iqembu lezilimo zokuqala - sona kanye isizwe uJehova asibiza ngokuthi “izilimo zokuqala zesivuno Sakhe” kuJeremiya 2:3.
ESinayi ngo-1379 BC, u-Israyeli wonke wahlukaniswa waba ngcwele futhi wafunga isifungo sesivumelwano, waba yiziqalo zikaJehova ezizinikele. Izinkwa ezimbili zazuliswa yiShavuot ngayinye zisikhumbuza ngalokho kugcotshwa futhi zikhomba phambili ekugcwalisekeni okukhulu: abahlengiwe kuzo zombili izindlu zakwa-Israyeli, kanye nalabo abaxhunyelelwe ezizweni, bethulwa njengesivuno sokuqala ngaphambi kokuqoqwa okuphelele ekupheleni kwesikhathi.
Lokhu kuxhumana kuqinisa ukuphuthuma kokulungiselela kwethu. Uma u-Israyeli wasendulo wake waba yizithelo zokuqala ezingcwele zikaJehova, khona-ke kule minyaka yokugcina yomjikelezo weJubili le-120 kumelwe siphile njengokolweni ovuthiwe — ohlukanisiwe, olalelayo, futhi oveza izithelo zikaMoya. Kungaleso sikhathi kuphela lapho sizobe sesilungele ukuzuliswa njengengxenye yeqembu lezithelo zokuqala zokugcina lapho icilongo lokugcina likhala.
UJehova ubiza u-Israyeli ngokuthi indodana yakhe eyizibulo (Eksodusi 4:22), ephethe umqondo ofanayo “wokuqala nongcwele”. ITestamente Elisha lakhela phezu kwalesi sisekelo: UJakobe 1:18 ukhuluma ngabakholwayo “njengohlobo lolibo lwezidalwa zaKhe,” kanti isAmbulo 14:4 sichaza abangu-144,000 “njengolibo kuNkulunkulu naseWundlwini.” Lezi zingxenye ziphinda umfanekiso kaJeremiya futhi ziyandisa emndenini omkhulu okhululiwe.
Leli qiniso liqinisa umlayezo wethu weShavuot ngamandla: UJehova ubelokhu ebheka abantu baKhe besivumelwano njengolibo olungcwele olungolwaKhe kuphela. Kuleli sonto lokugcina le-Omer, umbuzo usalokhu ukhona - ingabe siphila njengolibo olungcwele, oluzinikele olulungele isivuno esikhulu?
Okumele Ukwenze Kuleli Sonto Lokugcina Lase-Omer
Sisele nezinsuku eziyisikhombisa. Zisebenzise ngokuhlakanipha.
- Hlola inhliziyo yakho. Cela uMoya ukuba akuhlole. Ingabe uhamba ngokulalela? Ingabe ukhiqiza ukolweni noma amakhoba nje?
- Vuselela isifungo sakho. Funda u-Eksodusi 19-24 ngokuzwakalayo. Yima ekamelweni lakho lokuthandaza bese ufunga futhi: “Konke uJehova akukhulumile, ngizokwenza — ngoMoya wakho.”
- Funda uRuthe kanye neZenzo 2 eceleni. Bona iphethini enhle yokuhlengwa.
- Thandazela isivuno. khulekela izimvu zakwa-Israyeli ezihlakazekile kanye nalabo abasengaphandle kwesivumelwano.
- Gcina idili ngokwenyanga ebonwayo. Qinisekisa inyanga entsha kanye nebhali le-aviv. Ungalandeli amasiko aphula isixhumanisi sezwe.
- Lungiselela ngokoqobo. Thenga lokho ongakwenza ngenxa yokungaqiniseki okuzayo, kodwa ngaphezu kwakho konke gcina inhliziyo yakho ngeZwi.
Bazalwane, ukuvunwa kukakolweni kuyeza. UJehova ulungiselela izithelo zakhe zokuqala. Amasimu amhlophe futhi alungile. Isikela lisesandleni saLowo omi elungele ukubutha.
Ingabe uzobalwa phakathi kwalabo abazoma bekulungele lapho icilongo lokugcina likaShavuot likhala?
I-Chag Shavuot Sameach ngaphambili!
Kwangathi sonke singatholakala sikulungele njengoMlobokazi ezihlambululela uMyeni.
Izinsuku Eziyishumi Ngemva Kokwenyuka Kwezulu Nezinsuku Eziyishumi Zokumangala
Izinsuku Eziyishumi Ngemva Kokwenyuka Kwezulu Nezinsuku Eziyishumi Zokumangala
Manje sesisesontweni lokugcina lokubalwa kwama-Omer ngo-2026, izinsuku ezimbalwa nje ngaphambi kokuba I-Shavuot. UJesu, uMesiya wethu, wavuka kwabafileyo ngosuku lwesithungu sokugawulwa wahlala nabafundi bakhe izinsuku ezingu-40, ebafundisa ngoMbuso. Ngosuku lwama-40 wenyukela kuBaba. Ngosuku olulandelayo izinsuku eziyishumi abafundi babuthana ekamelweni eliphezulu eJerusalema, beqhubeka “nganhliziyonye emthandazweni nasekunxuseni” (IzEnzo 1:14). Ngosuku lwama-50 — uShavuot — uRuach HaKodesh wathululwa ngamandla, iTorah yabhalwa ezinhliziyweni, kwaqala ukuvunwa kokuqala kweSivumelwano Esisha.
Leli fasitela lezinsuku eziyishumi ngemva kokwenyuka akulona isikhathi esingenalutho. Yisikhathi esihleliwe sokulinda ngokulindela, ubunye, nokulungiselela. Uma sikubeka eceleni Izinsuku Eziyi-10 Zokuzijabulisa (Yamim Noraim) ekwindla — kusukela eMkhosini Wamacilongo (Yom Teruah) kuya kuYom Kippur — kuvela ukufana okuphawulekayo. UJehova wakhe amaphethini afanayo ekhalendeni Lakhe asifundisa indlela yokuphila kulezi zinsuku zokugcina.
Iphethini Yentwasahlobo: Izinsuku Eziyishumi Zokugcina Ngemva Kokwenyuka
- Usuku lwe-40th — Yeshua uyakhuphuka (IzEnzo 1:9).
- Izinsuku eziyishumi ezizayo — abafundi balinda ndawonye emthandazweni, bethatha indawo kaJuda, behlola imiBhalo, futhi belungisa izinhliziyo zabo.
- Usuku lwama-50 (Shavuot) — umoya onamandla ovunguzayo, izilimi zomlilo, ukuthululwa kukaMoya oNgcwele, kanye nemiphefumulo engu-3,000 eyengeziwe ngosuku olulodwa (IzEnzo 2).
Leli yibhuloho elisuka ekubeni khona okubonakalayo kweNkosi liye emandleni kaMoya angaphakathi—kusukela ekufundiseni komuntu siqu kuya ekunikeni amandla ebhizinisi ukuze kuvunwe.
Iphethini Yokuwa: Izinsuku Eziyishumi Zokwesaba
- Umkhosi wamaCilongo (Yom Teruah) — i-shofar ikhala ngokuzumayo, njengesela ebusuku. Abaningi babona lokhu njengosuku olufanekisela ukubuya koMpristi wethu Omkhulu neNkosi, uYeshua. Asimboni eza ngendlela efanayo nezwe eliyilindele; Uza ngokungalindelekile, njengesela (1 Thesalonika 5:2; IsAmbulo 16:15; Mathewu 24:36 — “Ngalolo suku nalelo hora akekho owaziyo,” inkulumo ehlanganiswe abaningi nokungaqiniseki kokubonakala kwenyanga entsha kwamaCilongo).
- Izinsuku eziyishumi ezizayo (Izinsuku Zokumangala) — isikhathi sokuzihlolisisa ngokujulile, ukuphenduka (teshuvah), umthandazo, ukuzila ukudla, ukufuna ubuso bukaNkulunkulu, nokulungisa izinto. Yisikhathi sokwesaba okungcwele nokwesaba iNkosi.
- I-Yom Kippur — isiphetho: ukubuyisana sekwenziwe, iziphetho zivaliwe, abantu bayahlanzwa, futhi ukulungiselela kuqediwe ukuze kujabule iSukkot.
Amaphethini Ashisayo Nanezibuko Esingawaqoqa
Uma siqhathanisa izikhathi ezimbili zezinsuku eziyishumi eceleni, isakhiwo se-chiastic (esibukwayo) kuvela — ABBA — okwembula indlela kaJehova engaguquki yokulungiselela abantu Bakhe:
A — Ukuhamba Okungazelelwe / Ushintsho Olungabonakali
Ukwenyuka: UYeshua uhamba ngokubonakalayo ngosuku lwama-40 bese ebuyela kuBaba. Kusele izinsuku eziyi-10 ngaphambi kukaShavuot.
Amacilongo: UYeshua ubuya njengoMpristi Ophakeme neNkosi “njengesela ebusuku” — ngokuzumayo, okungalindelekile, nokungabonakali yizwe elilele. Kusele izinsuku eziyi-10 ngaphambi kokwahlulelwa kokugcina ku-Yom Kippur
B — Izinsuku Eziyishumi Zokulinda, Umthandazo, Nokulungiselela Inhliziyo
Intwasahlobo: Abafundi balinda ngomthandazo kanye nokunxusa okuhlangene.
Ukuwa: Abantu balinda ngokwesaba, ukuphenduka, ukuzihlola, nokufuna ubuso bukaJehova.
B' — Isiphetho Ekuthululweni Kwaphezulu / Ukuvalwa Nokuhlanzwa
Intwasahlobo: I-Shavuot — i-Ruach HaKodesh ithululwa, iTorah ibhalwe ezinhliziyweni, futhi amandla akhululwa njengesivuno sokuqala. Isivumelwano siyavunyelwana ngaso.
Ukuwa: I-Yom Kippur — ukubuyisana kuqediwe, ukuhlanzwa kwenzeka, futhi iziphetho zivaliwe ngaphambi kokubuthwa okukhulu. Labo abangagcini iSivumelwano bayasuswa.
A' — Ukunika Amandla / Ukubuyiselwa Kwesivuno Esigcwele
Intwasahlobo: Iqembu elinamandla lolibo (izinkwa ezimbili) lithunyelwa ukuyoqoqa isivuno esikhulu.
Ukuwa: Ngemva kwe-Yom Kippur kufika injabulo ye-Sukkot — ukuhlala noNkulunkulu, ukuqoqwa kokugcina, kanye nokugcwala koMbuso.
Lesi sibuko esishisayo sibonisa ukuthi uJehova usebenzisa izinkathi zokulungiselela zezinsuku eziyishumi entwasahlobo nasekwindla ukuze alungiselele abantu baKhe isenzo esikhulu saphezulu. Umuntu ulungiselela ukuthululwa kolibo (Shavuot); omunye ulungiselela ukubuyisana kokugcina kanye nokubuthwa (Yom Kippur noSukkot). Ndawonye bakha isigqi sekhalenda esisodwa esivumelanayo: ukuba khona → ukuhamba/ukuvuka → ukulinda/ukufuna → ukuthululwa/ukuvalwa → ukuvuna/ukubuyiselwa.
Lokhu Kusho Ukuthi Kusho Ukuthini Kithi Ngo-2026 Nangemuva Kwayo
Siphila eminyakeni yokugcina yomjikelezo weJubili le-120. Izinhlungu zokubeletha ziyanda — izimpi, ukuvinjelwa eStrait of Hormuz, ukushoda komanyolo okusongela ukutholakala kokudla, kanye nokuzamazama komhlaba. Lezi yizibonakaliso uYeshua asitshele ukuthi siziqaphele.
Izinsuku eziyishumi ngemva kokwenyuka kweNkosi entwasahlobo kanye nezinsuku eziyishumi zokwesaba ekwindla zombili zisifundisa isifundo esifanayo esiphuthumayo: Ungalali usemsebenzini. Hlalani niphapheme, hlalani niqaphile, vuselelani isifungo senu (“Konke uJehova akushilo, sizokwenza”), futhi nilungise izinhliziyo zenu ngomthandazo nangokulalela. UmPristi Ophakeme uyeza — kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ufanekiselwa ngendlela yasentwasahlobo yokwenyuka nokuthululwa noma ngendlela yasekwindla yecilongo kanye nokubuyisana. Kuzo zombili izimo ubizo lucacile: yibani phakathi kwalabo ababukele futhi abasebenza, hhayi phakathi kwalabo ababanjwe belele.
Njengoba siqeda ukubalwa kwama-Omer ngo-2026, masilingise abafundi kulezo zinsuku eziyishumi ngemva kokwenyuka. Buthanani ngomthandazo, nihlole ukuhamba kwethu, ninxusele izimvu zakwa-Israyeli ezihlakazekile, futhi nikhalele ukuthululwa okusha kukaMoya. Iphethini efanayo eyaholela emandleni kaShavuot izosiholela ezinsukwini zokugcina ze-Awe kanye nokugcwaliseka okukhulu okusondela ku-2033.
Izinkwa ezimbili ezivunguzwa kuShavuot zimelela thina - iqembu lokuqala elivela ezindlini zombili zakwa-Israyeli kanye neqembu elixhunyelelwe. Izinkathi zezinsuku eziyishumi ezibonisiwe zisibonisa kahle ukuthi singakulungela kanjani ukuvunguzwa njengohlamvu oluvuthiwe lapho icilongo lokugcina likhala.
Bazalwane, ikhalenda likaJehova alikho ngokungahleliwe. Izibuko ezishisayo ezakhiwe emikhosini zikhona ukuze sithole kuzo. Kuleli sonto lokugcina le-Omer, masisebenzise iphethini ayinikezile: linda ngokulindela, funa ubuso baKhe, uvuselele isivumelwano, futhi ume ulungele.
Enye inkinga lapha e-US yizindawo zokuhluza. Kuye ngokuthi uwoyela upompiwa kuphi, izindawo zokuhluza azihlomele ukuhluza uwoyela ongahluziwe e-US. Sithumela lokho futhi sithembele kumafutha angahluziwe angaphandle adinga ukuhluzwa okuncane okwenziwa yizindawo zokuhluza zase-US. Kuthatha iminyaka eyi-6 ukwakha indawo yokuhluza uwoyela ongahluziwe lapha, futhi kuthatha iminyaka engama-25 ukukhokha izindleko zefektri entsha yokuhluza. Njengoba kuqhutshekwa nezinye izindlela emhlabeni wonke, bakholelwa ukuthi imakethe ngeke ifanele izindleko zezindawo zokuhluza ezintsha! Asilungiseleli kahle!! Lokhu kunezela ezinkingeni ezijwayelekile njengoba leli zwe lingamfuni uNkulunkulu kodwa lincike ezinkolelweni zabo zemibono esikhundleni salokho. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi sikubheka kanjani, ngaphandle kokuthi leli zwe liphenduke futhi liphenduke, izinga lokuwa likhuphuka ngamazinga angenamkhawulo. Konke lokhu kwenzeka njengoba isiprofetho sishilo. Kuzoba khona izimpendulo eziningi ezifuna ngamandla futhi kumelwe silungele ukunikeza impendulo! Thandaza! Lalela! Funda! Lungela! Inkinga ayifiki, isifikile. Ngaphezu kwakho konke, njengoba lokhu kwenzeka, ukuthula kukaKristu okudlula ukuqonda makuqaphe izinhliziyo zethu nezingqondo zethu, injabulo yeNkosi yomphumela mayibe amandla ethu njengoba siqhubeka. Uthando lwabaningi luzophola ngenxa yokwanda kokungabi namthetho. Bamba, lungiselela, sondela kuJehova, thandaza, lalela, dumise uJehova phakathi njengoba enguye yedwa olawulayo. Ungumhlinzeki nomvikeli wethu. Kumelwe sikhumbuzane futhi sakhane. Ngoba iso alibonanga, nendlebe ayizwanga, inkazimulo ezayo! Ingakanani iminyaka emincane yokuphila kwethu uma iqhathaniswa nephakade likaJehova elingapheli! Ukholo malube yisiqiniseko sezinto ezithenjwayo, into engokoqobo yezinto ezingabonwayo! Haleluya!