Incwadana yeendaba 5862-008
Unyaka wesi-3 woMjikelo weSabatha wesi-5
Unyaka wama-32 woMjikelo weJubhili ye-120
29th wenyanga yesi-2, kwiminyaka engama-5862 emva kokudalwa kuka-Adam
Umjikelo weSabatha wesihlanu emva koMjikelo weJubhile ye-5
Umjikelo weSabatha wokunikela izishumi kubahlolokazi neenkedama
Aprili 18, 2026
IShabbath Shalom kwindlu yasebukhosini kaYehova,
Ngumhla wama-42 wokubala i-Omer.
Ngale Shabbat ngoku sikwiSuku lwama-42. LiSabatha lesi-6 ukusukela oko kwavuselelwa iOmer nge-5 kaMatshi 2026. Iintsuku ezilishumi zokugqibela zale mihla engama-50 ziqale ngoLwesithathu kule veki iphelileyo. Kule veki ndiza kujonga zombini ezi ntsuku zilishumi ngendlela engaqhelekanga ndize ndibone ukuba ndingafunda ntoni. Ndikwachaza nentsingiselo yegama elithi “Shavuot” kunye nendlela elinxulumene ngayo neSidlo seziFungo kunye nentsingiselo yoko.
Ngenxa yokuba uSirayeli, zonke izizwe ezili-12, engawuthobeli umnqophiso abawuvumelene eShavuot eNtabeni yaseSinayi, siza kuhlola nezinye zeziqalekiso ozibonayo ngoku zisenzeka kwiindaba zasebusuku. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya kwakho kunye nendlala yakho ezayo eqala kweli hlobo lokwindla. Imfazwe ne-Iran iyichaphazela njani ihlabathi liphela? Siza kujonga ezi zinto size siqonde ukuba sisondela kangakanani esiphelweni sale mihla, kwaye kwangaxeshanye, njengoko sisondela esiphelweni sokubala iiveki kwiintsuku ezisi-7, kwiminyaka esi-7 kuphela, ngoku ekubeni u-2026 sele uphantse ube sisiqingatha sokuphela, isiganeko sokwenyani seShavuot siza kwenzeka. Ukulungele?
Ndifuna ukuba nikhumbule oko besikulumkisa ngako malunga notshintsho oluzayo kwithamsanqa oluza kuqala ekwindla ka-2026.
Njengoko ufunda iingxelo zeendaba zemali kule veki khumbula umjikelo weSabatha kaYosefu weeveki ezisi-7 zendyebo kunye neeveki ezisi-7 zendlala. Ixesha ekufuneka zitshintshe ukusuka kwenye ukuya kwenye yile ekwindla. Njengoko kwakunjalo ngemihla kaNowa, nanjengoko kwakunjalo ngemihla kaLote, yile nto uYehshua ayithethileyo kuLuka. Akazange athethe nto ngayo njengoko kwakunjalo ngemihla kaYosefu. Yile nto siyifumeneyo.
Besingabantu ababenilumkisa ngo-2020 no-2023, ngoku nango-2026. Mhlawumbi asazi nto. Kodwa ke mhlawumbi siyazi.
IMizekeliso 25:2 Uzuko lukaThixo is ukufihla into; kodwa udumo lookumkani is ukukhangela into ethile.
Siyakubuza kwakhona ukuba ukulungele na?
Dibanisa neeNtlanganiso zethu zeSabatha
Dibanisa neeNtlanganiso zethu zeSabatha
Baninzi abantu abadinga ubudlelane nabahleli ekhaya ngeSabatha kungekho bani bathetha naye okanye baxoxisane naye. Ndifuna ukunikhuthaza nonke ukuba nizibandakanye nathi ngeShabbat, kwaye nimeme nabanye ukuba beze kunye nathi. Ukuba ixesha alilunganga ungamamela imfundiso kunye ne-midrash emva kwejelo lethu likaYouTube.
Senza ntoni kwaye kutheni sifundisa ngale ndlela?
Siza kuxoxa macala omabini omcimbi kwaye ke sikuvumele ukuba ukhethe. Kungumsebenzi kaMoya ukunikhokela nokunifundisa.
Umhlalutyi wamaxesha aphakathi uRashi wabhala ukuba igama lesiHebhere elithetha ukulwa (avek) lithetha ukuba uYakobi “wayebotshiwe”, kuba kwaeli gama linye lisetyenziswa ukuchaza imiqukumbelo eqhina kwitshali yomthandazo yamaYuda, i<em>tzitzityot. URashi uthi, “leyo yindlela abantu ababini abazabalazela ukubhukuqana ngayo, yokuba omnye ambale omnye aze amqhoboshele ngeengalo zakhe”.
Umlo wethu wobukrelekrele wathatyathelw’ indawo luhlobo olwahlukileyo lomzabalazo. Sizamana noYehova njengoko sisilwa neLizwi lakhe. Sisenzo esisenyongweni, esibonisa ulwalamano apho mna nawe uYehova simanyene. Ukuzamazamana kwam ngumzabalazo wokufumanisa oko uYehova akulindeleyo kuthi, kwaye “sibotshelelwe” kuLowo usincedisayo kuloo mlo.
Namhlanje, abaninzi bathi i-Israel ithetha "i-Champion of God", okanye ingcono - "i-Wrestler kaThixo".
Iiseshini zethu zeTorah nganye iShabbat iyakufundisa kwaye iyakukhuthaza ukuba uhlale ucela umngeni, ubuze, uphikisane, kunye nokujonga ezinye iimbono kunye neengcaciso zeLizwi. Ngamanye amazwi, simele ‘sijijisane neLizwi’ ukuze sifikelele enyanisweni. AmaJuda kwihlabathi liphela akholelwa ukuba kufuneka ujijisane neLizwi kwaye uhlale ucela umngeni kwiDogma, iTheology, kunye nezimvo okanye awusoze ufike kwiNyaniso.
Asifani neecawa ezininzi apho “umshumayeli ethetha yaye wonk’ ubani ephulaphula.” Sikhuthaza wonk’ ubani ukuba abe nenxaxheba, abuze aze anikele ngoko akwaziyo kumbandela oxutyushwayo. Sifuna ukuba ube yintshatsheli yeLizwi likaYehova. Sifuna ukuba unxibe isihloko sikaSirayeli, usazi ukuba awazi nje kuphela kodwa uyakwazi ukucacisa ukuba kutheni usazi ukuba iTorah iyinyani ngengqiqo kunye neenyani.
Sinemithetho embalwa nangona kunjalo. Vumela abanye bathethe kwaye baphulaphule. Akukho ngxoxo malunga nee-UFO's, Nephilim, Izitofu okanye izifundo zodidi lweyelenqe. Sinabantu abavela kwihlabathi liphela abaneembono ezahlukeneyo zehlabathi. Asinguye wonke umntu okhathalayo ukuba ngubani uMongameli walo naliphi na ilizwe. Phathanani ngentlonipho njengamadlelane elizwi. Ezinye zezifundo zethu kunzima ukuziqonda kwaye zifuna ukuba uqole kwaye ukuba awazi, ke umamele ukuze ufumane ulwazi nokuqonda kwaye unethemba lobulumko. Kwaezo zinto uyalelwe ukuba uzicele kuYehova, yaye ubanika lowo uzicelayo.
I-Jas 1: 5 Ukuba ke ubani kuni uswele ubulumko, makacele kuThixo, onika bonke engenakumbi, engangcikivi; wobunikwa.
Siyathemba ukuba unokumema abo bafuna ukugcina iTorah ukuba beze kunye nathi ngokubetha ikhonkco elingezantsi. Iphantse yafana nomboniso weTorah ofundisa ngobudlelwane bobudlelwane nabantu abavela kwihlabathi liphela bethatha inxaxheba kwaye babelane ngezimvo kunye nokuqonda kwabo.
Saqala ngomculo sagqiba sathandaza kwangathi uhleli ekhitshini emva eNewfoundland siphunga ikofu sonke sisonwaba. Ndiyathemba ukuba uya kusibabale ngenkampani yakho ngenye imini.
Iinkonzo zeSabatha ziqala ngo-12:30 PM EDT apho siya kube sisenza imithandazo, iingoma nokufundisa ukususela kule yure.
I-Shabbat midrash iyakuqala malunga no-1:15 emva kwemini eMpuma.
Sijonge phambili ekuzibandakanyeni nosapho lwethu kwaye nisazi njengoko sisiya siqhelana nani.
UJoseph Dumond ukumemela kwintlanganiso yeZoom ecwangcisiweyo.
Umxholo: Igumbi leNtlanganiso likaJoseph Dumond lomntu
Joyina i-Zoom yeNtlanganiso
https://us02web.zoom.us/j/3505855877
Isazisi somhlangano: 350 585 5877
Itephu enye ephathwayo
+13017158592,,3505855877# US (Germantown)
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Cofa ngendawo yakho
+1 301 715 8592 US (Germantown)
+1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago)
+1 346 248 7799 US (Houston)
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+1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma)
Isazisi somhlangano: 350 585 5877
Fumana inombolo yakho yasekhaya: https://us02web.zoom.us/u/kctjNqPYv0
Isahlulo seTorah
Izahlulo zeTorah
Sifunda yonke iTorah kunye nabaProfeti kunye neTestamente eNtsha kube kanye kwiminyaka emithathu enesiqingatha. Okanye ngokweSabbatical Cycle oko kuthetha ukuba siyifunda yonke kabini kwiminyaka esi-7. Oku kusenza sikwazi ukugubungela nzulu ngakumbi kunokuba sikhawulezise ukugubungela yonke into egutyungelweyo minyaka le. Sivumela bonke ukuba baphawule kwaye bathathe inxaxheba kwiingxoxo.
Isahlulo seTorah seSeptennial
Ukuba uya Isahlulo seTorah kwicandelo lethu eligciniweyo, ungaya kunyaka woku-1, ongunyaka woku-1 woMjikelo weSabatha, lo sikuwo ngoku, njengoko sichaza phezulu kwincwadana nganye. Apho, ungaskrolela ezantsi ukuya kumhla ofanelekileyo kwaye ubone ukuba le Shabbat, sinokuba sixakeke kakhulu malunga:
Inombolo 2
Hezekile 43-46
1 John 5
2 John 1
SikwiSabbatical Cycle yoku-1 ngo-2024-2025. Siyifunda yonke iBhayibhile kabini kumjikelo weminyaka esi-7. Oku kuthetha ukuba siyigubungela yonke iBhayibhile kanye emva kweminyaka emi-3 1/2. Kusinika ixesha elingakumbi lokuxoxa nokuxoxa ngenxalenye nganye esiyifundayo.
Ukuba uphose izinto ezichulumancisayo kwiveki ephelileyo njengoko besifundisisa elo candelo, ungaya kubukela kwixesha elidlulileyo IiShabbats zethu icandelo leendaba.
Ukubala iOmere
Ukubala iOmere
Uqoqosho lwaseMelika ukusukela ngo-Epreli 2026
Eli nqaku lithathwe kwi-newsletter ka- Indoda Yamazwe Ngamazwe kaDoug Casey oko kuthunyelwe kum kwiveki ephelileyo.
Ixabiso leMfazwe ne-Iran sele liyityumza i-US kunye noQoqosho lweHlabathi -
Kwaye yisiqalo nje kuphela
Amalungelo (uKhuseleko lweNtlalo kunye neMedicare), ukhuselo, kunye nentlalontle ngoku zilawula uhlahlo-lwabiwo mali. Njengoko amashumi ezigidi zeeBaby Boomers zithatha umhlala-phantsi kwiminyaka ezayo, akukho mntu wezopolitiko oza kuchukumisa amalungelo. Inkcitho yokhuselo iyanda ngenxa yemfazwe yase-Iran. Inzala kwityala lesizwe isendleleni yokuba yinto enkulu yohlahlo-lwabiwo mali.
Ngamafutshane, imizamo yokunciphisa iindleko ayizukuba nantsingiselo ngaphandle kokuba kuyamkeleka ngokwezopolitiko ukunciphisa amalungelo, ukhuselo lwesizwe, kunye nentlalontle ngendlela efana ne-chainsaw ngelixa kunciphisa ityala lesizwe ukuze kuncitshiswe iindleko zenzala.
Ngamanye amazwi, i-US ingadinga inkokeli—ubuncinane—ebuyisela urhulumente wobumbano kwiRiphabliki yoMgaqo-siseko enomda, ivale iziseko zomkhosi ezili-128 kwamanye amazwe, igqibe amalungelo, ibulale urhulumente wentlalontle, kwaye ihlawule inxalenye enkulu yetyala lesizwe—into engayi kwenzeka.
Abezopolitiko basoloko bekhetha indlela elula: ukuboleka imali engaphezulu. Nokubamba i-100% yobutyebi beebhiliyoni zaseMelika bekungayi kugubungela unyaka omnye wokusetyenziswa kwemali. Kwaye nasemva kokuba ethathe bonke ubutyebi bezigidigidi, urhulumente wase-US kuya kufuneka aboleke imali engaphezulu kwe-$200 yeebhiliyoni ukuze ahlawulele iindleko ze-FY 2025. Nantsi ingongoma: ukonyusa irhafu, nokuba kufikelele kwinqanaba eliphezulu, akuyi kuyitshintsha indlela yale ndlela ingenakunqandwa—nokuba kuncinci. Inyani yile, nokuba kwenzeka ntoni na, iintsilelo aziyi kuyeka ukukhula, kwaye netyala aliyi kuphinda linciphe. Izinga lokukhula aliyi kuncipha. Liza kunyuka. Oko kuthetha ukuba iindleko zenzala kwityala likarhulumente ziya kuqhubeka zisanda.
Irhafu ayinakuyisombulula le ngxaki. Iingxaki ziya kuqhubeka zikhula, kwaye netyala elifunekayo ukuze zikwazi ukuzixhasa. Kwimeko enjalo, oko kuthetha ukukhupha amatyala amaninzi kunokuba kwenziwe izigqibo ezinzima zohlahlo lwabiwo-mali okanye ukungahlawuli ngokucacileyo.
Cinga ngenkohliso ephindaphindayo yokungahlawuli amatyala kwi-US Congress, ethe yaphakanyiswa izihlandlo ezingaphezu kwe-100 ukusukela ngo-1944.
Phantse $ 10 zezigidi IiTreasury zase-US zivuthwa kulo nyaka kuphela, kwaye ngaphezulu kwesiqingatha semali iyonke ebolekiweyo iza kuhlawulwa ngo-2028. Uninzi lwazo ziiT-bills zexesha elifutshane ezidluliselwa kwizinga lenzala eliphezulu kakhulu lanamhlanje - phantse kabini oko zibizayo ngo-2022. Oku kuvala iindleko ezinkulu zenzala ekufuneka zixhaswe ngetyala elingakumbi.
Zonke iibhondi ezifunekayo kufuneka ziphinde zixhaswe ngemali ngamaxabiso aphezulu kakhulu anamhlanje—zivale iindleko zenzala ezinkulu kakhulu kangangeminyaka. Oko kwakusaziwa ngoku kungadluliselwa ngokuphindwe kabini kuneendleko zenzala ezazibonwa ngo-2022.
Yiloo nto iboniswa yitshathi engasezantsi: ixesha lokufumana imali ngokulula liphelile. Iqela "lemali yasimahla" liphelile, kwaye ngoku ityala lomjikelo wokugqibela wenkxaso-mali kufuneka ligqitywe—kwaye lihlawulwe.
Ngalo lonke ixesha ityala lase-US lixhaswa ngemali ephindwe kabini ngamanani aphezulu, longeza iindleko zenzala kwityala elilahlekileyo—iindleko ekufuneka zixhaswe ngokukhutshwa kwamatyala amaninzi, nto leyo eyenza ingxaki ibe mandundu. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba malunga ne-$6.6 trillion ye-$9.6 trillion evuthwa kulo nyaka—malunga ne-69%—zii-T-bills zexesha elifutshane.
Oko kuqhelekile xa kukho ingxaki yamatyala. Njengoko imfuno yeebhondi zexesha elide incipha, abatyali-mali bathanda izixhobo zexesha elifutshane ezifana nee-T-bills endaweni yeenowuthi zeminyaka eli-10 kunye neebhondi zeminyaka engama-30. Yindlela efanayo oyibonayo kwiingxaki zemarike ezisakhulayo. Imarike inciphisa ukuvuthwa njengoko iimeko ziwohloka. Yisidenge kuphela esinokufuna ukuboleka urhulumente ongenayo imali ixesha elide.
Inzala yonyaka kwityala likarhulumente ngoku idlula $ 1.2 zezigidi kwaye isanyuka. Oko kuthetha ukuba ngaphezulu kwama-23% engeniso yerhafu karhulumente iya kuphela ekuhlawuleni inzala kwityala elikhoyo.
“Sikwinqanaba apho siboleka imali yokuhlawula amatyala.
Xa uqhubeka nokukhula kwamatyala ngokukhawuleza kunokukhula kwengeniso, oko kuthetha ukuba iinkonzo zamatyala zingenelela kwinkcitho yakho, kwaye ufuna ukuqhubeka nokusebenzisa imali ngaxeshanye.
Njengoko oko kusenzeka, kukho imfuneko yokungena ngakumbi nangakumbi ematyaleni. Kuyakhawuleza.
Sifikelele kwinqanaba lokukhawulezisa. Sisondele kwinqanaba lokutshintsha kwesantya."
Imeko yezemali karhulumente waseMelika ibisiba mandundu kancinci kancinci kangangeminyaka emininzi, ngoko ke akumangalisi ukuba abantu abaninzi bayazisola. Kudala beva ngengxaki yamatyala, kwaye akukho nto yenzekileyo.
Nangona kunjalo, ngoku ifikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu.
Kungenxa yokuba urhulumente waseMelika ngoku uboleka imali yokuhlawula inzala kwimali esele eyibolekile, njengoko uDalio ephawulile. Abezopolitiko bongeza amatyala amaninzi ukusombulula iingxaki zamatyala angaphambili. Kudala umjikelo wentshabalalo ohlala uhleli.
Inzala yetyala likarhulumente sele iphezulu kunebhajethi yokhuselo. Isendleleni yokuba idlule i-Social Security kwiinyanga ezizayo ize ibe yeyona inkulu kwibhajethi likarhulumente.
Ngamafutshane, iindleko zenzala ezinyuka ngokunyuka ziye zaba yingxaki enkulu. isoyikiso esingxamisekileyo kurhulumente wase-US onegunya lokulawula amatyala.
Indleko yenzala ekhulayo isongela ukungabi namandla okuhlawula amatyala kurhulumente wase-US kwaye inyanzela i-Fed ukuba inciphise amazinga enzala, ithenge iiTreasuries, kwaye isebenzise amanye amanyathelo okunciphisa imali ukuzama ukulawula iindleko zenzala.
Kwimarike yeebhondi, xa imfuno yeebhondi ihla, izinga lenzala liyanyuka ukuze litsale abathengi.
Nangona kunjalo, ityala likarhulumente ligqithisile kangangokuba ukuvumela amazinga enzala ukuba anyuke ngokwaneleyo ukuze atsale abathengi bendalo abaninzi kunokuphazamisa urhulumente wase-US ngenxa yeendleko eziphezulu zenzala.
Kwimeko enjalo, xa uPaul Volcker wayenyusa amazinga enzala angaphezu kwe-17% ekuqaleni kweminyaka yoo-1980, umlinganiselo wetyala le-US kwi-GDP wawumalunga ne-30%. Namhlanje, isemantla kwi-123% kwaye inyuka ngokukhawuleza.
Umthwalo ophezulu wamatyala wanamhlanje kunye neendleko zenzala ezihamba nazo yimbangela yokuba amazinga enzala aphezulu ngokubonakalayo angabikho etafileni; iindleko zenzala ezikhulayo zinokukhokelela ekubhangisweni korhulumente wase-US.
Yiyo loo nto uMongameli uTrump ebeke iFed kubantu abathembekileyo abaya kunyanzelisa ukuba amazinga enzala aphantsi kwaye balandele imigaqo-nkqubo yokufumana imali ngokulula.
Ngaphezu koko, ihlabathi alilambeli matyala angaphezulu e-US okwangoku. Lixesha elingafanelekanga lemfuno engentle kuba ukubonelela ngeenkonzo kuyanda kakhulu.
Ukuba amazinga enzala aphezulu angaphandle kwetafile kwaye akanakutsala abathengi bendalo abaninzi, kwaye abantu bamanye amazwe abazukuyithatha inyathelo, ngubani oza kuxhasa ezi ngxaki zohlahlo-lwabiwo mali ezikhula ngezigidigidi zeerandi?
Eyona nto ikwaziyo yiFederal Reserve, ethenga iiTreasuries ngeedola ezizidalayo ngomoya ophantsi.
Eyona ndlela yokugcina le nkqubo iphila kukuba iFed ishicilele imali eninzi ngakumbi. Oko kuthetha ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokuhla kwemali. Amaxabiso aphezulu anyanzela urhulumente ukuba achithe imali engaphezulu kwilungelo, ukhuselo kunye nentlalontle - nto leyo efuna ukushicilelwa okungakumbi. Yindlela yokuzitshabalalisa eqhubekayo.
“Uya kukuboleka, kodwa wena ungamboleki; yena uya kuba yintloko, wena ube ngumsila.”
I-United States, iNdlu yanamhlanje yakwaSirayeli (u-Efraim), ikhawuleza ibe ngumsila hayi intloko. Iirhafu ezirhabaxa kunye neentetho ezichasene ne-NATO ziye zabangela ukuba uninzi lwabahlobo bethu bangaphambili bahlukane. Imfazwe ne-Iran kunye nokuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz kuchitha izixhobo zethu kwaye kunciphisa imeko yethu yehlabathi ngokukhawuleza. Iindleko ezikhulayo zesichumiso kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya kwehlabathi okulandela oko kongeza uxinzelelo kubantu abaqhelekileyo.
Sesikhankanye amaxesha ambalwa ngoku malunga nokunqongophala kwezixhobo phakathi kweRashiya neUkraine kunye nendlela i-US eyayinomlinganiselo olinganiselweyo ngayo ukuba yayiza kulwa neTshayina. Oku kunqongophala kungena njani ngoku ngenxa yokupheliswa kwemfazwe okwangoku?
Pha bekunjalo inkxalabo yokwenene ngexesha lemfazwe (eyaqala nge-28 kaFebruwari 2026) malunga nokuphela kwezixhobo zemfazwe zase-US ngokukhawuleza kunokuba bekulindelwe:
- I-US yatsha yaphela ixabiso leminyaka yemijukujelwa ethile ebalulekileyo (ingakumbi ii-interceptor zokuzikhusela emoyeni ezifana nezo zisetyenziswa kwiidrone/imijukujelwa yase-Iran, kunye nezinye iinkqubo zokuhlasela ezifana neTomahawks kunye neJASSM-ER).
- IPentagon kunye nabahlalutyi abazimeleyo balumkisile ukuba ukulwa ixesha elide kunokunciphisa ubunzima kwiingqokelela ezithile eziphezulu (umz., ii-THAAD interceptors, i-ATACMS, i-PrSM).
- UTrump ngokwakhe ugxeke esidlangalaleni amabango okunqongophala, esithi kwi-Truth Social ukuba izixhobo zombane eziphakathi neziphakathi “azikaze zibe phezulu” kwaye i-US “inomlinganiselo ongenamkhawulo” wezixhobo ezithile. Uvumile ukuba izixhobo zombane eziphezulu “azikho apho sifuna ukuba khona” kodwa watyhola uncedo lwangaphambili oluvela e-Ukraine nakwezinye iingxabano.
kunjalo, UTrump kunye namagosa olawulo bahlala bephika ukuba ukunqongophala kwanyanzelisa ukuba kumiswe ukuvalwa kwemikhosi. Bagxininisa ukuba i-US inezitokhwe ezaneleyo zokuqhubeka ukuba kuyimfuneko kwaye babenyusa imveliso (kuquka nokuyalela abakhi bezokhuselo ukuba bandise imveliso kane kwezinye iimeko).
“Yena uya kukuboleka, kodwa wena awuyi kumboleka; yena uya kuba yintloko, wena ube ngumsila.” (Duteronomi 28:44)
ILevitikus 26 sisahluko esicacileyo kwiBhayibhile yonke esichaza okwenzekayo xa isizwe (okanye abantu) bengavumi ukugcina iiSabatha zikaThixo, iminyaka yeSabatha, kunye nemijikelo yeJubili. Iivesi ezibalulekileyo ezizalisekayo ngoku:
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ILevitikus 26: 14-16 – “Kodwa ukuba anindithobeli… ndiya kuninika uloyiko, isifo esingapheliyo, nomkhuhlane otshisayo… niya kuhlwayela imbewu yenu ilize, kuba iintshaba zenu ziya kuyidla.”
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ILevitikus 26: 19-20 – “Ndiya kwaphula iqhayiya lamandla enu… amandla enu aya kuphelela ilize; kuba ilizwe lenu aliyi kuvelisa mveliso yalo, nemithi yelizwe ayiyi kuvelisa iziqhamo zayo.”
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ILevitikus 26: 26 – “Xa ndiwaphula umphako wesonka senu… abafazi abalishumi baya kubhaka isonka senu kwi-oven enye, baze basibuyisele isonka senu ngomlinganiselo, nize nidle ninganeli.”
Ezi azizo iziqalekiso zokomoya ezingacacanga. Zezoqoqosho, ezolimo, nezomkhosi.
- Ixabiso elinyukayo lesichumisi (elinxulumene ngqo namaxabiso amandla avela kwimfazwe yase-Iran kunye nokuphazamiseka okunokwenzeka kweHormuz) sele liqikelela ukunciphisa isivuno sezityalo kwihlabathi liphela.
- Amaxabiso okutya ayanyuka.
- Amatyala amakhulu kunye neentlawulo zenzala ziyaphula "iqhayiya lamandla ethu."
- Imfazwe ne-Iran ichitha amakhulu eebhiliyoni zeerandi ngelixa sele siboleka imali yokuhlawula inzala kwityala langaphambili.
Konke oku kwenzeka kuba iNdlu yakwaSirayeli yanamhlanje (i-United States kunye neentlanga ezivela kuEfrayim noManase bamandulo) ziye zala imithetho yekhalenda kunye neSabatha uThixo awayinika ukuchonga abantu bakhe nokubasikelela.
Ezi azizoziganeko zahlukeneyo. Ziziziganeko ezithe ngqo zeziqalekiso ezifanayo zesiprofeto:
- Ukwanda kwamatyala yindlela yokubonakalisa ngokwezimali ethi “uya kuba ngumsila.”
- Imfazwe ne-Iran kunye nosongelo lweHormuz yindlela yokubonakalisa ubukhosi/uqoqosho lweentshaba ezisidla amandla.
- Ukwanda kwezichumiso kunye namaxabiso okutya kukubonakaliswa kwezolimo komhlaba ongavelisi mveliso yawo.
Zonke ziyakhawuleza kuba sikwiminyaka yokugqibela yomjikelo weSabatha kwaye sisondela kumjikelo olandelayo weJubili. Sikwimihla/iminyaka yokugqibela ye-Aweme sineminyaka esi-8 kuphela ngaphambi kokuba uSathana avalelwe. UThixo usebenzisa ezi ziganeko ukuze afumane ingqalelo yethu kwaye azalisekise ilizwi lakhe.
KwanakwiLevitikus 26, uThixo uthembisa ukubuyiselwa ukuba abantu bakhe bayaguquka baze babuyele kwiindlela zakhe:
“Ukuba bathe bavuma ubugwenxa babo… ndowukhumbula umnqophiso wam noYakobi, nomnqophiso wam noIsake, nomnqophiso wam noAbraham…” (Levitikus 26:40-42)
Iziqalekiso ziyinyani. Zikho apha. Kodwa zikwayindlela yokufuna inguquko. Yiyo loo nto siqhubeka sifundisa ikhalenda yeBhayibhile, iminyaka yeSabatha, kunye nemijikelo yeJubili. Yiyo loo nto sinikhuthaza ukuba niqale ukubala, nigcine iiSabatha, nize nibuyele kwiTorah. UThixo ofanayo ovumela ezi ziqalekiso ikwanguThixo omnye oya kubakhusela aze abasikelele abo babuyela kuYe.
Abalimi baseMelika Bajongene Nengxaki Yokufikeleleka Kwezichumiso
Abalimi baseMelika Bajongene Nengxaki Yokufikeleleka Kwezichumisi Ngaphambi Kwexesha Lokutyala lika-2026
Uphando olutsha lukazwelonke oluvela le I-American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) ityhila uxinzelelo olukhulu kwezolimo zaseMelika: phantse I-70% yamafama baxele ukuba abanakukwazi ukuthenga zonke izichumiso abazidingayo kunyaka wesivuno ka-2026.
The uphando, olwenziwe nge-3-11 ka-Epreli, 2026, kunye nabantu abangaphezu kwama-5,700 abaphenduleyo abavela kuzo zonke izifundazwe ezingama-50 kunye nePuerto Rico, bagxininisa indlela ukunyuka okukhulu kwamaxabiso ezichumisi okunyanzelisa ngayo izigqibo ezinzima ngexesha lokutyala entwasahlobo. Umahluko wengingqi ucacile: Ama-78% abalimi baseMzantsi, ama-69% eMntla-mpuma, ama-66% eNtshona, kunye nama-48% eMbindi-ntshona bathi abanakufumana zonke izichumisi ezifunekayo.
Amaxabiso ezichumisi, ngakumbi kwiimveliso ze-nitrogen ezifana ne-urea, ziye zanda kakhulu kwiinyanga zakutshanje ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwezopolitiko ngenxa yengxabano ne-Iran kunye nemiba yokuthunyelwa kweenqanawa kwi Umjelo weHormuz — yindlela ebalulekileyo malunga nesinye kwisithathu sorhwebo lwezichumiso zaselwandle kwihlabathi liphela. Abavelisi beGulf babonelela ngesabelo esikhulu se-urea kunye ne-ammonia yehlabathi, kwaye imida yokubonelela ebangelwe yile nto ibangele ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngama-25–40% nangaphezulu kwiimarike eziphambili.
Ukunyuka kweendleko zepetroli kuyandisa uxinzelelo, njengoko abalimi abaninzi bejongene neendleko eziphezulu zedizili nezinye izinto ezifakwayo. Oku kwenzeka phakathi kwemilinganiselo yefama esele incinci kunye namaxabiso aphantsi eemveliso kwezinye izityalo.Impembelelo enokubakho kwiZivuno kunye noNikezelo lokutyaAbalimi abaninzi baphendula ngokuthi:
- Ukunciphisa amazinga okufaka izichumiso
- Ukutshintshela kwizityalo ezingadingi manyolo kakhulu (ezifana nokutyala iimbotyi zesoya ezininzi kunye nombona omncinci)
- Ukunciphisa iihektare ezityaliweyo kwezinye iimeko
The Ingxelo ye-USDA yeZityalo ezinokwenzeka (ekhutshwe nge-31 kaMatshi 2026) sele ibonisa iinjongo ze-95.3 yezigidi zeehektare zombona (phantsi nge-3% ukusuka ngo-2025) kunye nokwanda kwee-ektare zesoya, okubonisa ezi meko zoqoqosho.
Iingcali zilumkisa ukuba ukusetyenziswa kwezichumisi okuphantsi kunokunciphisa isivuno sezityalo ngo-2026, nto leyo enokubangela ukuba kubekho ubuninzi bezinto ezifumanekayo kunye noxinzelelo oluphezulu kumaxabiso okutya kamva kulo nyaka naku-2027. Nangona i-US inemveliso enamandla yasekhaya kwezinye izichumisi, iimpawu zamaxabiso ehlabathi kunye nokuxhomekeka kwamanye amazwe kusachaphazela abalimi baseMelika.Ayizizo zonke iinkqubo ezichaphazeleka ngokulinganayo — abo bathenge kwangaphambili okanye bavale izinto kwangaphambili bakwimeko enamandla, kodwa abavelisi abaninzi abancinci okanye abathenga kamva baziva bexinezelekile kakhulu.Imithombo yokuFunda ngakumbi
- Isaziso seendaba se-American Farm Bureau Federation: Uphando lweSizwe: Uninzi lwabalimi alukwazi ukuthenga isichumiso
fb.org
- Uhlalutyo lwe-Intel yeMarike ye-AFBF: Uphando lwe-Farm Bureau lutyhila impembelelo yokwenyani yokufumaneka kwesichumiso kunye nexabiso laso
fb.org
- Ingxelo ye-USDA yokutyala izityalo ezinokwenzeka (Matshi 2026): I-PDF epheleleyo
Le meko igxininisa ukuba uthotho lweenkonzo zehlabathi lusengozini kwiziganeko zezopolitiko kunye nemingeni eqhubekayo kwezolimo zaseMelika. Abalimi, abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo, kunye namaqela emizi-mveliso bayaqhubeka nokubeka esweni uphuhliso ngokusondeleyo njengoko ixesha lokutyala liqhubeka.
Ndiza kufaka lonke eli nqaku kwabo bafuna ukulifunda.
Uphando lwe-Farm Bureau lutyhila impembelelo yokwenyani yokufumaneka kwesichumiso kunye nexabiso laso
IItrakthi ezibalulekileyo
- Amanani okubhukisha izichumiso ahluka kakhulu ngokwengingqi, kunye nje I-19% yabavelisi baseMzantsi ingxelo yokuthengwa kwezichumiso ezifunyenwe ngaphambi kwexesha lonyaka, xa kuthelekiswa 30% eMntla-mpuma, 31% eNtshona kunye ne-67% eMbindi-ntshona, ebonisa umahluko kumaxesha okuthatha izigqibo zokutyala kunye ukuvezwa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso kutshanje.
- Imingeni yokufikeleleka kwezichumiso yeyona inzima kakhulu eMzantsi Northeast kodwa iyaqhubeka nokuba yinkxalabo kubalimi kulo lonke ilizwe yonke imimandla. Around I-70% yabaphenduli ingxelo yokuba abakwazi ukuthenga yonke imifuno abayidingayod.
- Amaxabiso edizili yefama anyuke ngama-46% ukusukela ekupheleni kukaFebruwari, ukunyusa iindleko ze umsebenzi wasentsimini, ukuthuthwa kwezichumiso kunye nokunkcenkceshela ngexesha lokutyala nelokukhula.
- Phantse abalimi abathandathu kwabalishumi baxela ukuba imeko yezemali iya isiba mandundu, ukubonakalisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezichumisi kunye namafutha ngexesha lokutyala entwasahlobo kwaye kugxininiswa imfuneko engxamisekileyo yokuba uncedo lwezoqoqosho olukhawulezileyo ukugcina amasango eefama evulekile.
Ukunyuka kweendleko zokufaka ezinxulunyaniswa nengxabano kuMbindi Mpuma kongeza uxinzelelo kuqoqosho lwezolimo olusele lunzima. Ukuze kuqondwe ngcono indlela ukuphazamiseka kwemarike yezichumiso zehlabathi ezichaphazela ngayo abavelisi ngexesha lokutyala entwasahlobo, i-American Farm Bureau Federation yenze uPhando lokuFumaneka kwezichumiso kubalimi kunye nabafuyi kulo lonke ilizwe. Abalimi abangaphezu kwama-5,700 baphendule kuphando, olwenziwe ukususela nge-3 ka-Epreli ukuya kwi-11 ka-Epreli.
Umahluko weNgingqi ubonakalisa umxube wezityalo kunye nokuchatshazelwa kobonelelo
Iimpendulo zophando zibonisa ukuba ukuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz kuchaphazela imimandla kulo lonke elaseMelika ngokwahlukileyo kuba iinkqubo zemveliso yezityalo kunye neemfuno zezichumiso zahlukile.
Abavelisi baseMidwestern – abasoloko bexhomekeke kujikeleziso lombona kunye nesoya – baxele ukuba amazinga aphezulu okubhukisha ngaphambi kokuba kuqale, apho i-67% ifumana isichumiso kwangethuba kwixesha lonyaka. Ngenxa yokujikeleziswa kwezityalo, ukubhukisha kwangaphambili kuqheleke kakhulu eMidwest, apho iimfuno zesichumiso zihlala zinkulu kwaye izigqibo zokuthenga zihlala zenziwa ngaphambi kokuba kuthengwe. Ngenxa yoko, inani elikhulu labalimi baseMidwestern lixele ukuba likwazile ukufumana izibonelelo abazidingayo ngaphambi kokuba kunyuke amaxabiso kutshanje. Nangona amazinga aphezulu okubhukisha ngaphambi kokuba kuqale, phantse omnye kwabathathu babalimi baseMidwestern basaxela ukuba bangena kwixesha lonyaka ngaphandle kokufumana zonke iimfuno zabo zesichumiso.
Ngokwahlukileyo koko, abavelisi kwezinye iindawo banamathuba amaninzi okuthenga izichumisi xa zisetyenziswa, nto leyo eyonyusa amathuba okuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ngexesha lonyaka ngexesha lokuphazamiseka kwemarike. Ishumi elinesithoba ekhulwini labalimi basemazantsi babhukishe izichumisi kwangaphambili kulo nyaka wesivuno. Abavelisi basemazantsi badla ngokutyala izityalo ezifana nomqhaphu, irayisi, iimbotyi zesoya, umbona kunye namandongomane axhomekeke kakhulu kwizondlo ezisetyenzisiweyo kwaye anokuchaphazeleka ngakumbi kutshintsho kwiindleko zezichumisi. Amanani okubhukisha kwangaphambili nawo alinganiselwe kwezinye iindawo, kunye nama-30% kuphela abalimi abasemantla-mpuma kunye nama-31% aseNtshona afumana izichumisi ngaphambi kwexesha lonyaka.
Iifama ezincinci zibike amazinga aphantsi kakhulu okubhukisha izichumisi ngaphambi kokuba zivunwe kunemisebenzi emikhulu kuyo yonke imimandla, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba zichatshazelwe kakhulu kukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso kutshanje ngexesha lokuthenga kwentwasahlobo. KwiMidwest, ama-49% eefama ezineehektare eziyi-1–499 ezibhukishwe kwangaphambili, xa kuthelekiswa nama-77% eefama ezineehektare eziyi-500–2,499 kunye nama-76% eefama ezineehektare eziyi-2,500 nangaphezulu. Umsantsa wawubonakala ngakumbi kwiMpuma-mpuma, apho kuphela ama-24% eefama ezincinci ezibhukishe kwangaphambili izichumisi, xa kuthelekiswa nama-35% eefama eziphakathi kunye nama-67% emisebenzi emikhulu. Iipateni ezifanayo zavela eMzantsi (16% kwiehektare eziyi-1–499 xa kuthelekiswa nama-28% kwiehektare eziyi-2,500 nangaphezulu) naseNtshona (25% xa kuthelekiswa nama-54%). Ngenxa yokuba iifama ezincinci zingenakufumana izichumisi ngaphambi kwexesha lonyaka, zichatshazelwa ngakumbi kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngexesha lonyaka, nto leyo enokwenza kube nzima ukuhlawula amazinga okusetyenziswa apheleleyo kwaye yonyuse umngcipheko wesivuno esinciphileyo kunye nemida engqongqo ngo-2026.
Abalimi abakwingingqi esemazantsi babike ubunzima obukhulu bokufumana isichumiso, apho i-78% ingakwaziyo ukuthenga zonke izinto ezifunekayo ngeli xesha lonyaka. Abavelisi abakwimimandla esempuma nasentshona nabo babike imingeni emikhulu, apho i-69% kunye ne-66%, ngokwahlukeneyo, ingakwaziyo ukuthenga zonke izichumiso ezifunekayo, xa kuthelekiswa ne-48% eMidwest. Xa abavelisi bengakwazi ukuthenga amaxabiso apheleleyo okufaka isichumiso, banokunciphisa ukusetyenziswa kwezondlo okanye batshintshe izigqibo ze-acreage, zombini ezo zinto zinyusa umngcipheko wesivuno esiphantsi kunye nokuncipha kwamandla emveliso kunyaka wesivuno ka-2026.
Impembelelo yeSichumisi yiMveliso
Indlela yokuziphatha ngaphambi kokubhukisha yahluka kakhulu kwiimveliso. Phantse isiqingatha sabavelisi besoya baxele ukuba babhukisha isichumiso ngaphambi kokubhukisha (49%), kulandele irhasi (47%), umbona (44%), kunye nengqolowa (42%). Amanani aphantsi okubhukisha ngaphambi kokubhukisha phakathi komqhaphu (13%) kunye namandongomane (9%), zombini izityalo ezikhuliswe kumazantsi e-US, zibonisa ukuba ifama ichaphazeleka kakhulu kukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ngexesha lonyaka.
Iingxaki zokufikeleleka zibonakala ngakumbi xa zijongwa yimpahla ethengiswayo. Ngaphezulu kwama-80% abavelisi berayisi, umqhaphu kunye namandongomane baxele ukuba abanakukwazi ukuthenga zonke izichumisi ezifunekayo, nto leyo egxininisa ukuba ezi nkqubo zemveliso zibuthathaka ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kweendleko. Ngaphezulu kwesiqingatha sazo zonke iimveliso zixele ukuba azikwazi ukuthenga zonke iimfuno zezichumisi kulo nyaka.
Impilo yezeMali yaseFama Ihlala Iphantsi koXinzelelo
Ngokophando, ama-94% abantu abaphenduleyo baxele ukuba imeko yabo yezemali iye yaba mandundu okanye yahlala injalo ukusukela kunyaka ophelileyo, ngelixa ama-6% kuphela axele ukuba imeko yabo yezemali iphucukile. Iimeko zezimali ezimbi xa zingena kweli xesha lokukhula zichaphazele izigqibo zokutyala nokuthenga, kwaye ngenxa yoko, ukutshintsha ngokukhawuleza kwamaxabiso ezichumisi kunye nepetroli kuchaphazele abalimi kulo lonke ilizwe ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo - njengoko kuqinisekisiwe luphando lwethu.
Izigqibo zokutyala entwasahlobo zixhomekeke kakhulu ekufikeleleni kwi-fertilizer kunye ne-diesel fuel, zombini ezi zinto zichaphazeleke yimingcipheko yezopolitiko eye yaphazamisa iimarike zehlabathi. Ukusukela oko kwanda uxinzelelo kuMbindi Mpuma, amaxabiso e-nitrogen fertilizer anyuke ngaphezulu kwe-30%, ngelixa iindleko ze-fuel kunye ne-fertilizer ezidibeneyo zinyuke malunga ne-20% ukuya kwi-40%. Amaxabiso e-Urea anyuke nge-47% ukusukela ekupheleni kukaFebruwari, nto leyo ephawula ukunyuka okukhulu kwepesenti yenyanga nenyanga kwixabiso le-urea. Oku kunyuka kwenzeka xa abavelisi abaninzi bebesele bejongene noku. imida emincinci iminyaka emininzi ilandelelana.
Ipetroli yindleko enkulu yokusebenza ngexesha lokutyala entwasahlobo, nto leyo echaphazela ukusebenza koomatshini, ukuthuthwa kwezichumiso kunye nokunkcenkceshela. Njengoko iimarike zamandla ziqina emva kokuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz, amaxabiso edizili kunye nepetroli anyuke kakhulu, nto leyo enyusa iindleko phantse kuzo zonke izigaba zemveliso. Amaxabiso edizili yasefama anyuke ngama-46% ukusukela ekupheleni kukaFebruwari, nto leyo ephawula ukwanda okukhulu kwepesenti yenyanga ukuya kwinyanga kwixabiso ledizili ngeli xesha.
Amaxabiso aphezulu amandla akwanyusa iindleko zokuvelisa isichumiso se-nitrogen, esixhomekeke kakhulu kwigesi yendalo njengesondlo. Xa zizonke, ezi ndleko zidibene zepetroli kunye nezichumiso zinceda ukuchaza isizathu sokuba ngaphezulu kwama-90% abalimi abaphononongiweyo baxele ukuba iimeko zabo zemali ziye zaba mandundu okanye zahlala zinjalo ukusukela kunyaka ophelileyo.
Okukwintsusa
Iimarike zepetroli nezichumisi zezona ziguquguqukayo kakhulu ukusukela oko iRussia yahlasela iUkraine, kwaye ixesha lokuphazamiseka kuMbindi Mpuma kunye nokuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz ekugqibeleni kuya kugqiba iindleko zemveliso yefama kwiinyanga ezizayo - utshintsho oluchaphazela kakhulu umda wefama ngenxa yamaxabiso ezityalo aphantsi kwimbali. Nangona i-United States ingumvelisi omkhulu weoyile negesi yendalo, iimarike zepetroli nezichumisi zihlala zidibene kwihlabathi liphela.
Amazwe ajongene nokungazinzi kwiindawo ezikufutshane IPersian Gulf ibandakanya malunga ne-49% ye-urea ethunyelwa ngaphandle kwihlabathi liphela kwaye malunga ne-30% ye-ammonia ethunyelwa ngaphandle kwihlabathi liphela. Ngenxa yokuba ezi mveliso zibalulekile kwimveliso yezityalo, ukuphazamiseka kulo mmandla kunokuchaphazela ukufumaneka kwezichumiso kunye namaxabiso ngaphaya kweMpuma Ephakathi.
Iziphumo zophando zibonisa ukuba abalimi abaninzi sele belungisa ukuthengwa kwezichumiso kunye nezigqibo zokufaka izicelo ngenxa yokunyuka kweendleko. Ukuba ukuphazamiseka kuyaqhubeka, olu hlengahlengiso lunokuchaphazela isivuno, izigqibo zeendawo kunye namathuba emveliso iyonke kunyaka wesivuno ka-2026. Ithuba lokuqala lokubona indlela abalimi abasabela ngayo liza kuza nengxelo ye-USDA ye-May World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), ilandelwe yingxelo ye-30 Juni Acreage.
Ukhuseleko lweMveliso yokutya yasekhaya luKhuseleko lweSizwe
Ulawulo lubhengeze izicwangciso zokunceda ukuqinisekisa ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwepetroli kukhuselekile kwiindlela eziphambili zokuthumela ipetroli kwihlabathi liphela. Ukwandisa ezi ndlela zokukhusela ukuze zibandakanye izixhobo zokufaka izinto kwezolimo ezifana nesichumiso kufuneka zibe yinto ephambili xa kujongwa ukubaluleka kwazo kwimveliso yokutya kunye nokhuseleko lwesizwe.
Ngenxa yeemeko zemali eziya zisiba mandundu efama, inkxaso iyaqhubeka yokuxhasa abalimi ngezoqoqosho kulo naliphi na umthetho ozayo ukunceda ekunciphiseni ubunzima bezoqoqosho obenziwe nzima ngakumbi kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezichumisi kunye nepetroli kutshanje.
Uphando lweSizwe: Uninzi lwabalimi alukwazi ukuthenga isichumiso
Uninzi lwabalimi baseMelika abaphendule kuphando olwenziwe kuzwelonke bathi abanakukwazi ukuthenga isichumiso esaneleyo ukuze basisebenzise unyaka wonke. Ipesenti yabantu abathenge isichumiso kwangaphambili iyahluka kakhulu ngokwengingqi.
Olu phando luqhutywa yi-American Farm Bureau Federation nge-3-11 ka-Epreli, lubonisa ukuba ama-70% abantu abaphendulileyo bathi isichumiso sibiza kakhulu kangangokuba abayi kukwazi ukuthenga zonke izichumiso abazifunayo.
Abalimi abangaphezu kwama-5,700, amalungu e-Farm Bureau kunye nabangengawo amalungu, abavela kuwo onke amazwe kunye nePuerto Rico bathathe olu phando. Iingcali zezoqoqosho ze-Farm Bureau zihlalutye iziphumo kwi-Market Intel yamva nje.
Uhlalutyo lubonisa ukuba phantse abalimi abasi-8 kwabali-10 kumazantsi e-US bathi abanakukwazi ukuthenga zonke izinto ezifunekayo kulo nyaka, kulandele i-Northeast ne-West nge-69% kunye ne-66%, ngokulandelelana, xa kuthelekiswa ne-48% yabalimi kwi-Midwest.
Yi-19% kuphela yabalimi baseMzantsi ababhukishe kwangaphambili ukuthenga izichumiso ngaphambi kwexesha lokutyala. Kumantla-mpuma, yi-30% kuphela yabalimi ababhukishe kwangaphambili, kulandele i-31% eNtshona, kunye ne-67% eMidwest. Nangona kukho amazinga aphezulu okubhukisha kwangaphambili, phantse omnye kwabathathu babalimi baseMidwest basaxela ukuba bangena kwixesha lonyaka ngaphandle kokuqinisekisa zonke iimfuno zabo zezichumiso.
Ingxabano eMiddle East ibangele ukuba amaxabiso ezichumisi kunye nepetroli anyuke kakhulu. Ukuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz kuthintela ukuhanjiswa kwezichumisi ezibalulekileyo kunye neoyile ekrwada ukuba ingafikeleli kwiimarike zehlabathi, nto leyo ebangela ukuba ukuhanjiswa kwemveliso kuncitshiswe kwihlabathi liphela.
“Izigqibo zokutyala entwasahlobo zixhomekeke kakhulu ekufikeleleni kwisichumisi kunye nepetroli yedizili, zombini ezichaphazeleke yimingcipheko yezopolitiko eye yaphazamisa iimarike zehlabathi,” itsho iMarket Intel. “Ukususela oko kwanda uxinzelelo kuMbindi Mpuma, amaxabiso esichumisi se-nitrogen anyuke ngaphezulu kwama-30%, ngelixa iindleko zesichumisi kunye nesichumisi ezidibeneyo zinyuke malunga nama-20% ukuya kuma-40%. Amaxabiso e-Urea anyuke ngama-47% ukusukela ekupheleni kukaFebruwari, nto leyo ephawula ukwanda okukhulu kwepesenti kwixabiso le-urea inyanga nenyanga. Oku kunyuka kwenzeka xa abavelisi abaninzi bebesele bejongene nemida emincinci iminyaka emininzi ilandelelana.”
Uninzi lwabalimi abaphononongiweyo bathi baza kuyeka ukusebenzisa isichumiso kule ntwasahlobo benethemba lokuba amaxabiso aza kubuyela kwinqanaba elifikelelekayo kamva kwixesha lokulima.
UMongameli we-AFBF uZippy Duvall uthe, “Ixabiso eliphezulu kakhulu lepetroli kunye nesichumisi lidala ubunzima obungakumbi kwezoqoqosho kubalimi abasele benyamezele iminyaka yokulahlekelwa. Ngaphandle kwezichumisi ezifunekayo, siza kujongana nesivuno esiphantsi kwaye abanye abalimi baza kunciphisa iihektare ngokupheleleyo, nto leyo eya kuchaphazela ukutya kunye nokutya. Kusekutsha kakhulu ukwazi ukuba oku kuya kuchaphazela njani ukufumaneka kokutya kunye namaxabiso ekuhambeni kwexesha, kodwa sisilumkiso esabelana ngaso neenkokheli eWashington. Sijonge phambili ekusebenzisaneni nabo ukufumana izisombululo ukuze abalimi baqhubeke nokondla iintsapho kulo lonke elaseMelika.”
Ngokophando, ama-94% abantu abaphenduleyo baxele ukuba imeko yabo yezemali iye yaba mandundu okanye ayitshintshanga ukusukela kunyaka ophelileyo, ngelixa ama-6% kuphela axele ukuba imeko iphucukile.
Fumana iziphumo zophando ezingaphezulu kwaye ufunde iMarket Intel epheleleyo Apha.
ICuba kunye nePhilippines zisengxakini
Imeko yeFuel kunye noMbane ePhilippines – Uhlaziyo luka-Epreli 2026
IPhilippines iphantsi koxinzelelo olukhulu ngenxa yemfazwe eqhubekayo e-Iran kunye nokuphazamiseka kokunikezelwa kweoyile kwiStrait of Hormuz. Nantsi imeko yangoku esekelwe kwiingxelo zikarhulumente ezisemthethweni kunye neengxelo ezithembekileyo phakathi ku-Epreli 2026. Imeko yeFuel (ioyile / iDizili / iPetroli) IPhilippines ithenga ioyile yayo efikelela kwi-90–95%, uninzi lwayo luvela kuMbindi Mpuma. Ukuphazamiseka kweHormuz kulichaphazele kakhulu ilizwe.
- Imali egciniweyo yangoku (ukususela ekuqaleni kuka-Epreli 2026):
- Ipetroli: ~Iintsuku ezingama-53–57 zokubonelela
- Idizili: ~Iintsuku ezingama-46–50 zokubonelela
- Ipetroli yeJet: ~iintsuku ezingama-39
- Umyinge opheleleyo: ~iintsuku ezingama-45–50 zempahla yepetroli yesizwe
- Izenzo zikarhulumente:
- On Matshi 24, 2026, uMongameli uMarcos ubhengeze unxunguphalo lwamandla esizwe—ilizwe lokuqala emhlabeni ukwenza njalo ngenxa yemfazwe yase-Iran.
- Urhulumente ufumene ukuthunyelwa okungxamisekileyo (umz., iibharele zedizili ezingama-329,000 ezivela eMalaysia ngo-Epreli kwaye usebenzisana neRashiya, iTshayina, iIndiya, iJapan, nezinye).
- Bakwavumela ukusetyenziswa okwethutyana kwamafutha angcolileyo (i-Euro-II) ukwandisa ukuhanjiswa nokukhululwa kwemali evela kwingxowa-mali yegesi yaseMalampaya.
- Kukufutshane kangakanani ukuba siphele?
- Ngokwezinga lokusetyenziswa kwangoku, iiPhilippines ziqikelele ukuba Iiveki ze-6-7 yepetroli eseleyo ukuba akukho mafutha matsha angeniswayo.
- Ngokuqhubeka nokuthengwa kwezinto ezingxamisekileyo, amagosa athi anokwandisa izinto ezifunekayo ukuze NgoJuni–Julayi 2026, kodwa amaxabiso sele ephindwe kabini okanye kathathu kwezinye iimeko (idizili ifikelele kwi-P110–P170 ngelitha kwiiveki zakutshanje).
- Ukunqongophala sele kubonakala kwezinye iindawo ezikude nakwizinto ezithile ezibangela umbane (ingakumbi idizili yezothutho kunye neejenereyitha).
Isiphumo esibalulekileyo kwipetroli: Akukho ntsuku zingako ngaphambi kokuba iphele ngokupheleleyo, kodwa iqine kakhuluNgaphandle kokungeniswa okuqhubekayo kwempahla evela kwamanye amazwe, ukunqongophala okukhulu kunokuqala ekupheleni kukaMeyi ukuya ekuqaleni kukaJuni 2026Urhulumente ugxalathelana kwaye ubhengeze imeko engxamisekileyo yokubeka phambili ukuthengwa kwempahla.
Imeko yoMbane: IiPhilippines kunjalo hayi kusemngciphekweni wokucima kombane kuzwelonke ngenxa yengxaki yeoyile.
- Yi-1% kuphela yombane welizwe oveliswa kwizityalo ezisebenzisa ioyile.
- Uninzi luvela kwi amalahle (~60–62%) kunye negesi yendalo (evela kwintsimi yaseMalampaya, ~14%).
- Amalahle athunyelwa kakhulu e-Indonesia nase-Australia (awachaphazelekanga yiHormuz).
- Ukufunyanwa kwegesi yendalo eMalampaya kulindeleke ukuba kwandise ukunikezelwa kwayo kwaye kuzise igesi entsha kwi-intanethi kwikota yesi-4 yowama-2026.
Imbonakalo yangoku:
- Umbane wekota yesibini ka-2026 (ku-Epreli ukuya kuJuni) kulindeleke ukuba ube yanele kodwa ibuthathaka.
- Imida egciniweyo incinci, ingakumbi kwigridi yeVisayas.
- Kukho umngcipheko wokuba izityalo zingabi nambala omdaka ngenxa yokungabikho kwezityalo, imfuno ephezulu yasehlotyeni, kunye nemida yokusasazwa kwezityalo — kodwa hayi ikakhulu ngenxa yengxaki yeoyile.
- Amaxabiso ombane ayanda (afikelela kwi-16–20% elindelekileyo ngo-Epreli/Meyi) ngenxa yeendleko zokuthutha amalahle eziphezulu kunye nemfuno.
Ingongoma ephambili ngombane: Eli lizwe hayi sele kuza kuphela umbane. Ukucima kombane kunganda kwiindawo ezisengozini (ingakumbi iziqithi ezingaphandle kwegridi ezixhomekeke kwiijenereyitha zedizili), kodwa igridi ephambili kufuneka ihlale ihambelana nombane wamalahle kunye negesi. Intlungu enkulu ekhawulezileyo yile amatyala ombane aphezulu kunye nokunqongophala okunokwenzeka kwiindawo ezithile.
Isishwankathelo Esipheleleyo sePhilippines (Epreli 2026)
- izibaso: Ibaluleke kakhulu kwaye iqina ngokukhawuleza — Iiveki ze-6-7 yeendawo ezigciniweyo ngamaxabiso angoku, kunye nexesha lokuthenga izinto ezingxamisekileyo ezivela kwamanye amazwe kude kube nguJuni/Julayi. Amaxabiso sele enyuke kakhulu.
- umbane: Ingalawuleka okwangoku, kodwa ibuthathaka ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nomngcipheko wokuqhekeka kwezityalo kwindawo ethile. Ayisiyo imeko yokuwa kwezityalo kwilizwe lonke.
IPhilippines yenye yamazwe aseAsia abasesichengeni ukuphazamiseka kweHormuz ngenxa yokuthembela kwayo kakhulu ekuthengisweni kweoyile eMiddle East. Urhulumente usebenza nzima ekufumaneni ezinye izinto ezifunekayo, kodwa imeko isaqhubeka nokuba maxongo. Ungathanda inkcazelo eneenkcukacha ezithe vetshe (umz., impembelelo kumacandelo athile afana nezothutho, ezolimo, okanye ubomi bemihla ngemihla) okanye uhlaziyo kuyo nayiphi na into ethile? Ndazise.
Amalahle athunyelwa kakhulu e-Indonesia nase-Australia (awachaphazelekanga yiHormuz).
Kodwa ngaba banayo ipetroli yeenqanawa ukuze zizise amalahle ePhilippines?
Ewe — amafutha eenqanawa ezisa amalahle ePhilippines yingxaki yokwenyani nekhulayo ngoku. Impendulo emfutshane: Amalahle ngokwawo ayivalwanga ngokuthe ngqo ngemeko yaseHormuz (ivela ikakhulu eIndonesia naseOstreliya), kodwa Ipetroli yasebunker (ipetroli efana nedizili enika amandla iinqanawa zemithwalo) is ichaphazeleke kakhulu. Iindleko zokuthumela zinyukile, kwaye ukufumaneka kwayo kuyaqina. Oku sele kubangela ukulibaziseka, amazinga aphezulu okuthutha impahla, kunye nomngcipheko wokuncipha kokuhanjiswa kwamalahle kwiiveki/kwiinyanga ezizayo.
Imeko yangoku (ukususela phakathi ku-Epreli 2026) Indlela yokubonelela ngamalahle
- IPhilippines ithenga uninzi lwamalahle ayo kwamanye amazwe Indoneshiya (umthengisi omkhulu wehlabathi) kunye Ostreliya.
- Ezi ndlela zenza hayi udlula kwiStrait of Hormuz, ngoko ke umbane wamalahle awunqunyulwa ngokuthe ngqo.
- I-Indonesia iqinisekisile esidlangalaleni iPhilippines ukuba iza kuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwamalahle (oku kuqinisekiswe kwiingxelo zikaMatshi 2026).
Ingxaki Yokwenene: Ipetroli Ehlala Kwiindawo Ezingaphantsi Kweenqanawa
- Iinqanawa zemithwalo ziyatsha ioyile yepetroli yolwandle (i-bunker fuel), eyimveliso yepetroleum ecociweyo.
- Ingxaki yaseHormuz iphazamise kakhulu ukuhanjiswa kwamafutha acocekileyo eAsia.
- Iindawo eziphambili zaseAsia ezihlala abantu abangaphantsi komhlaba (eSingapore, eMzantsi Korea, eJapan, eTshayina) ziyachaphazeleka ukunqongophala kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuba uninzi lwendlela yabo yokubonelela ngepetroli ecociweyo yayidibene ne-crude kunye ne-refinery yaseMbindi Mpuma.
- Imigca yokuthumela sele inika ingxelo:
- Amaxabiso epetroli anyuke kakhulu (ezinye iindlela zokuthutha zinyuke ngama-50–100% nangaphezulu ukusukela ngoFebruwari).
- Abanye abathwali bayanyanzela iintlawulo ezongezelelweyo ze-bunker ngamalahle kunye neminye imithwalo eya ePhilippines.
- Ukulibaziseka kunye nokuncipha kweshedyuli yokuhamba ngenqanawa ziqala ukubonakala kuba abaqhubi bagcina amafutha okanye batshintsha indlela.
Impembelelo ekuhanjisweni kwamalahle ePhilippines
- Ixesha elifutshane (iiveki ezi-4-8 ezizayo): Ukuthunyelwa kwamalahle kusafika, kodwa ixabiso eliphezulu kunye nokulibaziseka okuthile. Urhulumente ufumene ukungeniswa kwedizili okungxamisekileyo ukuze amacandelo abalulekileyo aqhubeke esebenza, kodwa amafutha aselwandle asaqinile.
- Ixesha eliphakathi (Meyi–Julayi 2026): Ukuba ukuvalwa kweHormuz kuyaqhubeka okanye kuya kuba mandundu, iinkampani zokuhambisa inqanawa zinokunciphisa ukuhamba ngeenqanawa ukuya ePhilippines okanye zidlulisele iindleko eziphezulu nangakumbi. Oku kunokukhokelela ekunqongophaleni kwamalahle kwizikhululo zombane, okunyusa amaxabiso ombane kwaye kubeke emngciphekweni ukungabikho kombane.
- IPhilippines sele ibhengeze ukuba unxunguphalo lwamandla esizwe (nge-24 kaMatshi 2026) ngokuyinxenye ngenxa yolu buthathaka.
Okukwintsusa
- Amalahle ngokwawo: Akathintelwanga nguHormuz.
- Iinqanawa ezithwele amalahle: Ewe — bayachaphazeleka yi ukunqongophala kwepetroli e-bunker kunye namaxabiso anyuka kakhuluEli likhonkco elibuthathaka.
- Isiphumo kukuba iindleko zombane eziphezulu kunye nobunzima obunokubakho bokubonelela ngezityalo zamandla ezisebenzisa amalahle (ezivelisa malunga nama-60% ombane welizwe).
Urhulumente uzama ngamandla ukufumana ezinye iindlela zokubonelela ngepetroli kwaye uvumele ukusetyenziswa okwethutyana kwepetroli ezingcolileyo (i-Euro-II) ukuze kwandiswe iindleko ezigciniweyo, kodwa imeko isaqhubeka nokuba maxongo.
ICuba Engenawo Umbane Namanzi
Abemi baseCuba Bajongana Njani Nokungabikho Kombane (okanye Omncinci Kakhulu) Ngo-Epreli 2026? ICuba iphakathi kwenye yezona ngxaki zimbi kakhulu zamandla kwiminyaka emininzi eyadlulayo. Ukusukela phakathi ku-Epreli 2026, igridi yombane yesizwe ibuthathaka kakhulu. Ukucima kombane kuphelile. ayisoloko isenzeka — zizinto ezenzeka imihla ngemihla kubantu abaninzi besi siqithi abamalunga nezigidi ezili-11.
Imeko yangoku (ngo-Epreli 2026)
- Umyinge wokucima kombane wemihla ngemihla 16–20+ iiyure kwiindawo ezininzi, apho ezinye iindawo zijongene nokucima kombane phantse ngokupheleleyo kangangeentsuku ezininzi.
- Imfuno ephezulu imalunga ne-3,000 MW, kodwa ukuveliswa kokwenyani kudla ngokuba ngaphantsi kwe-1,300 MW - intsilelo enkulu.
- Le ngxaki iqhutywa zezi:
- Izityalo zamandla ezigugileyo neziphukileyo (iiyunithi ezininzi ze-thermoelectric ezingasebenziyo kwi-intanethi).
- Ukunqongophala okukhulu kwepetroli (okubangelwe kukuvalwa kweoyile e-US kunye nokungeniswa okuncinci kweoyile evela eRashiya/eVenezuela).
- Ukusilela rhoqo kokuwa kwesityalo esinye xa siwile.
Umbane ubuyiselwa ngokwamanqanaba emva kokuwa okukhulu, kodwa awunaziphazamiso kwaye awuthembekanga. Izibhedlele kunye nezikhululo zokumpompa amanzi zithathwa njengeziphambili, kodwa nazo ziyachaphazeleka.
Indlela Abantu baseCuba Abaqhelekileyo Abajongana Ngayo Neengxaki Zemihla Ngemihla
Abantu baye baziqhelanisa ngenxa yesidingo, kodwa imeko iyadinisa kwaye iyawohloka umgangatho wobomi:
- Ubomi bemihla ngemihla kunye nesiqhelo:
- Iintsapho ziceba usuku lwazo lonke malunga nexesha umbane onokubuya ngalo. Abantu bavuka kwangethuba ukuze bapheke, batshaje iifowuni, okanye bahlambe impahla xa kukho iifestile ezimfutshane zombane.
- Abaninzi balala ngexesha elishushu kakhulu emini baze bahlale belele de kube sebusuku xa kupholile kwaye umbane uvuliwe.
- Izitalato zimnyama ebusuku; abantu basebenzisa iitotshi zefowuni, amakhandlela, okanye izibane ezincinci zelanga.
- Ukutya & Ukupheka:
- Iifriji ziyaphela ngokukhawuleza — ukutya kuyaphela ngokukhawuleza. Abantu batya oko banokukwazi ukukwenza ngoko nangoko okanye bapheke ukutya okuqhelekileyo ngaphandle besebenzisa izitovu zeenkuni, amalahle, okanye iipropane ezincinci.
- Uninzi luxhomekeke kwimpahla esemathinini, irayisi, iimbotyi, kunye nayo nayiphi na imveliso entsha esafumanekayo (idla ngokunqongophala ngenxa yokunqongophala kwepetroli okuchaphazela uthutho).
- amanzi:
- Ukungabikho kombane kuthetha ukuba akukho zimpompo zamanzi → iiflethi ezininzi kunye neendawo zokuhlala azinamanzi ahambayo kangangeentsuku.
- Abemi bathwala amanzi kubamelwane abanemithombo yamanzi, uphahla, okanye izinto ezigciniweyo. Ukuhlamba nokucoca izindlu zangasese kuba yingxaki enkulu.
- Impilo & Nococeko:
- Izibhedlele zisebenza kwiijenereyitha ezinepetroli encinci.
- Ukudinwa bubushushu kuqhelekile (ingakumbi kwimozulu efumileyo yaseHavana).
- Ukungabikho kwefriji kwandisa umngcipheko wezifo ezibangelwa kukutya.
- Abanye abantu abadala nababuthathaka babandezeleka kakhulu.
- Imibhikisho kunye nokuKhungatheka:
- Kuye kwenzeka imibhikisho engaqhelekanga yoluntu (abantu bebetha iimbiza neepani, imiboniso emincinci yasezitalatweni).
- Abantu abaninzi baseCuba badinwa kakhulu: “Kufuneka siqhele ukusinda” yingcinga eqhelekileyo.
- Uhlengahlengiso lobuchule:
- Iiphaneli zelanga eziphezu kophahla kunye neekiti zelanga ezincinci ziya zixhaphaka ngakumbi (nangona zibiza kakhulu kwaye zincinci).
- Iibhayisekile/iibhayisekile zombane (xa zinokutshajwa) zisetyenziselwa uhambo olufutshane.
- Abamelwane babelana ngezixhobo namandla xa zifumaneka.
Isimo sengqondo siphela
Abantu baseCuba bayakwazi ukumelana nokucima kombane kangangeminyaka, kodwa ingxaki ekhoyo ngoku (eyanda ngenxa yokunqongophala kwepetroli kunye nokubola kweziseko zophuhliso) ityhala uninzi lwabemi bayo. Kukho ukukhungatheka okukhulayo, ukuphelelwa lithemba okuzolileyo, kwaye kwezinye iimeko umsindo ujoliswe kurhulumente nakwiingcinezelo zangaphandle (kuquka nokuvalwa kweoyile yaseMelika).Imeko ayikuko “ukungabikho kombane konke konke” imini nobusuku kuyo yonke indawo, kodwa kukucima rhoqo, ixesha elide okwenza ubomi obuqhelekileyo bube nzima kakhulu.
Iinkokheli zaseNtshona Yurophu Zingcatsha iNtshona
Iinkokheli zaseNtshona Yurophu Zingcatsha iNtshona
by Guy Millière
Lonke ihlabathi laseNtshona kufuneka lithathe ukuma okucacileyo.
Urhulumente wase-Iran — akufuneki ubhidaniswe nabantu bawo abahluphekileyo, uninzi lwabo oluye bencama ubomi babo ukusukela ngo-1999 bezama ukuyisusa — ukususela oko yasekwa ngo-1979, iye yasongela “Ukufa eMelika” (“uSathana Omkhulu”) kunye “noKufa eSirayeli” (“uSathana Omncinane”).
“Xa ucula ‘Ukufa eMelika!’ akusiyo nje isilogeni,” iNkokheli ePhakamileyo yase-Iran engasekhoyo u-Ali Khamenei umemezele ngo-2023, “ngumgaqo-nkqubo.” Kunyaka ongaphambili, qi kelelwa:
"Ukufa eMelika kuza kwenzeka. Kwinkqubo entsha endithetha ngayo, iMelika ayisayi kuba nandima ibalulekileyo."
Ngowama-2008, owayenguMongameli wase-Iran ngelo xesha uMahmoud Ahmadinejad thembiso ukuba uSirayeli “uza kutshayelwa [kwimaphu].”
Okwabizwa ngokuba “phakathi” nowayesakuba nguMongameli waseIran u-Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, “ngoSuku lwe-Al Quds,” nge-14 kaDisemba 2001, wathi:
"Ukusetyenziswa kwebhombu enye yenyukliya ngaphakathi kwaSirayeli kuya kutshabalalisa yonke into .... Akukho ngqiqweni ukucinga ngesiganeko esinjalo."
Urhulumente wase-Iran, emva kudala iqela layo elimele ubugrogrisi iHezbollah in 1982, ayichithanga xesha iguqula iLebhanon entle yaba lilizwe eliwileyo. Kangangeminyaka, i-Iran ibiphakathi kwe- umxhasi wokuqala yeHezbollah, amaHouthi aseYemen kunye nePalestine Islamic Jihad, kunye nokubonelela ngenkxaso yezinto eziphathekayo kwiHamas eGaza Strip. I-Iran nayo yayikwanjalo. kubandakanyeke ngokunzulu ekucwangciseni ukuhlasela kweHamas kwaSirayeli nge-7 ka-Okthobha 2023.
Kangangeminyaka engama-39 ilandelelana, i-Iran ibizigqaja ngokuba negama elihle yokurekhoda, enikwe yiSebe lezobuRhulumente laseMelika, “ngumxhasi wehlabathi wobugrogrisi ohamba phambili.” I-Iran, kunye neQatar, kuthiwa yi- umgcini-mali oyintloko ubugrogrisi bamaSilamsi bamazwe ngamazwe kunye nearhente ephambili yokuphazamisana kwehlabathi.
Urhulumente wase-Iran unoxanduva lokubulala amajoni aseMelika angama-241 ngo-1983 ukuhlasela kwiinkampu zemikhosi yamajoni ase-US Marines eBeirut, kunye amakhulu amajoni aseMelika e-Iraq phakathi kowama-2003 nowama-2011. Ikwaququzelele uhlaselo lwabagrogrisi kunye nokuzama ukubulala eMelika, kuquka Uhlaselo lwe-11 kaSeptemba 2001.
Kangangeminyaka, nangona bephindaphindiwe ukwala kwaye ngokuzingca ukuphepha ukuhlolwa kwamazwe ngamazweUrhulumente wase-Iran ebezama ukufumana izixhobo zenyukliya. Igosa elikhethekileyo lase-US uSteve Witkoff nkcukacha ukuba abameli be-Iran bavule iingxoxo nge bhengeza ukuba babene-uranium eyaneleyo etyebiswe ukuya kuthi ga kwi-60% - iintsuku eziseleyo ukusuka ekuguqukeleni kwinqanaba lezixhobo ezingama-90% - kwiibhombu zenyukliya ezili-11 "ngeveki enye, mhlawumbi iintsuku ezili-10 ngaphandle."
Nangona i-United States kunye ne-Israel kwenziwe imivumbo kwizixhobo zenyukliya eziphambili zase-Iran ngoJuni 2025, i-Iran yathi isasebenza ulawulo malunga ne-460 kg ye-uranium etyebisiweyo nge-60%.
Kubonakala ngathi uSirayeli kunye ne-United States bagqibe kwelokuba, njengoko uMongameli wase-US uFranklin Roosevelt ayenayo malunga neThird Reich ngo-1941, esithi, “Xa ubona inyoka erhabaxa ilungele ukubetha, awulindi ide ibe ibethe ukuze iyityumze.”
Ibinzana elithi “iveki ukuya kwiintsuku ezili-10” lorhulumente wase-Iran kumele ukuba lavakala ngokwaneleyo “njengesongelo esisondeleyo” kunye “nengozi ecacileyo nekhoyo” ukuze uRhulumente kaTrump agqibe kwelokuba kungcono ukuba urhulumente awenze loo nto ngaphambi kokuba urhulumente awenze loo nto angayithandi i-United States.
Imfazwe, eyaqaliswa ngomhla February 28, bekufanele ukuba ixhaswe yiFree World yonke. Ayizange ixhaswe.
EMelika, ngaphambi kokunyulwa kukaMongameli uDonald Trump, oomongameli abane abahleliyo — uBill Clinton, uGeorge W. Bush, uBarack Obama kunye noJoe Biden — kunye neenkokheli ezingenakubalwa ezivela kumacala omabini e-aisle, babhengeze ukuba i-Iran akufuneki ivunyelwe ukufumana izixhobo zenyukliya, kodwa abazange benze nto ngaloo nto.
Okubi nangakumbi, u-Obama kunye Biden Abalawuli, ngokuzama ukufumbathisa urhulumente wase-Iran ukuba anciphise uphuhliso lwezixhobo zenyukliya, endaweni yoko ngempumelelo Kuxhaswa ngemali kwaye inikwe amandla yona — iphelele ngo “iziqendu zokutshona kwelanga"kwisivumelwano senyukliya sika-Obama se-JCPOA sika-2015," esasiza kwenza i-Iran ngokusemthethweni ukuba nezixhobo zenyukliya ezininzi kangangoko wayekuthanda ngo-Okthobha 2025. Xa uTrump rhoxiswa i-JCPOA ngo-2018, leyo yayiyimbumbulu awayiphepha ngobuchule.
Olu hlobo lufanayo lokunyoba lwalusele luphumelele ngaphambili kwiNorth Korea. Ngo-1994, uClinton wathetha-thethana "neSiseko esiVumelwaneyo" neNorth Korea ukuze kumiswe kwaye kubhangiswe inkqubo yayo yezixhobo zenyukliya. Emva koko uClinton waqinisekisa ukuba iJapan neSouth Korea ziyaphumelela. ni kezelwe Inkokeli yaseMntla Korea, uKim Jong II, enemali engaphezulu kwe-4 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi — nto leyo ebonakala ngathi wayisebenzisa ngoko nangoko ukugqiba inkqubo yakhe yenyukliya. Akukho mntu wamnqandayo.
Kwakuyiminyaka embalwa eyadlulayo apho uLawulo lukaBiden lwalusithi i-Iran imele ingozi enkulu. Emva koko uNobhala welizwe u-Antony Blinken wabhengeza ngo-Okthobha ka-2021 ukuba elo xesha “ukubaleka kufutshane"Namhlanje, iNkokeli yabaNinzi beSenate yaseMelika uChuck Schumer, othethe kakuhle kakhulu wabhala ngokuchasene nokuxhasa isivumelwano sika-Obama senyukliya, uthi ukuba ukuhlasela i-Iran ngaphambi kokuba ihlasele iNtshona “yimfazwe yokuzikhethela, hayi imfuneko”.
Bekungekho sizathu sokuvumela i-Iran ukuba ibe yenye iNorth Korea. "Ufuna ukubona imarike yesitokhwe iwa?" Trump Xa ebuzwa kwiFox News. “Makuphoswe iibhombu ezimbalwa zenyukliya kuthi.”
Abanye abezopolitiko baseMelika batyhola urhulumente kaTrump ngokungafanelekanga ngokwaphula umthetho onokuthiwa akukho mgaqo-siseko UMthetho waMandla eMfazwe ka-1973. Inqaku lesi-2(c) iyaqonda igunya likamongameli lokusasaza imikhosi exhobileyo ngaphandle kwemvume yangaphambili yeCongress emva “kohlaselo kwi-United States… okanye imikhosi yayo exhobileyo” ukuya kuthi ga kwiintsuku ezingama-60 ngaphandle kwemvume yeCongress, kunye nolwandiso olunokwenzeka lweentsuku ezingama-30. I-Iran inembali ende yokuqalisa uhlaselo oluxhobileyo nxamnye nemikhosi exhobileyo yase-US.
UTrump akazange acele imikhosi okanye izixhobo kumaqabane aseMelika. kucelwe ukusetyenziswa kweziseko zomkhosi — ezinye zazo, ezifana noDiego Garcia kuLwandlekazi lwaseIndiya, zabelwana ngazo yi-UK kunye ne-US — okanye amalungelo okubhabha ngaphezulu.
Iimpendulo zeenkokheli ezininzi zaseNtshona Yurophu, kwi-diplospeak, "zazidanisa" — gxotha kwaye ungoyiki — kwaye uhlala enjalo nanamhlanje.
Kwiiyure nje emva kokususwa kukaKhamenei, uMongameli waseFransi u-Emmanuel Macron kuchazwe ukuba imisebenzi yomkhosi nxamnye ne-Iran “iyingozi kubo bonke” kwaye kwafuneka iyeke ngoko nangoko. Ngelixa “ekhalazela” uhlaselo lobugrogrisi lwe-Hezbollah e-Israel, uMacron bongozwa I-Israel iya kuyeka ukusebenza kwayo emkhosini eLebhanon kwaye ibonakala ngathi ifuna ukusindisa iHezbollah. UMacron wongeze ngelithi iFransi iza kuphela "isenzo sokukhusela amaqabane ayo” – ngaloo ndlela ngokucacileyo ikhuphela ngaphandle i-Israel ne-United States kumadlelane eFrance.
Emva kweeyure ezimbalwa, iNkulumbuso yaseBritane uKeir Starmer yabhengeza ukuba iza inkxaso kuphela "isisombululo esinoxolo nesixoxiswanayo."
Ingqonyela yaseJamani uFriedrich Merz gxi niniswa ukuba “iJamani ayiloqela kule mfazwe” – engayinaki, njengoko uTrump engachithanga xesha ebonisa, ukuba i-US, ebisoloko ixhasa ukhuselo lweYurophu ukususela ekupheleni kweMfazwe Yehlabathi yesiBini nge-NATO, yayingeyonxalenye yemfazwe yaseRashiya ne-Ukraine.
Xa, nge-15 kaMatshi, uTrump ndibiziwe Iinkokheli zaseYurophu ziza kuthatha inxaxheba ekukhuseleni iStrait of Hormuz, yonke imihla yokugqibela walanangona bengaphezulu kakhulu xho mekeke kwioyile negesi ezithunyelwa ngeStrait of Hormuz kune-US.
UTrump ulumkise amazwe aseYurophu ukuba ukungaphumeleli ukuphulaphula ikhwelo lakhe kunokubangela ukuba nemiphumelaEmva kokuba uNobhala Jikelele we-NATO uMark Rutte ebongoze iinkokheli zaseYurophu ukuba ziphinde zicinge ngendlela ezisabela ngayo, uninzi lwazo, kunye neJapan, bakhuphe ingxelo ethi ingxelo edibeneyo ngoMatshi 19, bevakalisa “ukulungela kwabo ukufaka isandla.”
Emva koko uMacron “wacacisa” isikhundla sakhe. EFransi, yena kuchazwe, kungenzeka bayavuma ukungenelela kuphela emva kokuba “isigaba esinzima sengxabano siphelile” — xa ukungenelela kweFransi bekungayi kuba namsebenzi.
Umphathiswa wezoKhuselo waseJamani uBoris Pistorius kuchazwe ukuba iJamani iza kuthatha inyathelo kuphela emva kokuba kubhengezwe isivumelwano sokuphelisa imfazwe — xa idabi liphelile.
UStarmer, nangona wayesalela ukwala kwakhe, walungiselela i- intlanganiso ebonakalayo kunye namagosa avela kumazwe angaphezu kwama-40 ukuze kufunyanwe “isisombululo sezopolitiko” kule ngxaki. Okumele ukuba kwakumangalisa wonke umntu, kukuba akukho sisombululo sezopolitiko esafunyanwayo.
UMacron, ezigqwesa, i-airspace yaseFransi evaliweyo kwiinqwelo-moya zomkhosi zaseMelika nezakwaSirayeli ezibandakanyeka kwimisebenzi yomkhosi echasene norhulumente wase-Iran kunye neHezbollah. INkulumbuso yaseSpain uPedro Sánchez, ngu khanyela Ukufikelela kweenqwelo moya zomkhosi waseMelika kwiziseko zeNATO eSpain ukususela ngomhla wokuqala wemfazwe, kwakusele kwenziwe isigqibo esifanayo. Okudanisayo kukuba, iNkulumbuso yase-Itali engaqhelekanga uGiorgia Meloni. ukufikelela okwaliwe kwisiseko se-NATO eSigonella, eSicily. I-Austria, engashiywanga ngaphandle, yabiza "ukungathathi cala" kwayo okubonakalayo kwaye ivale indawo yayo yomoya kwiinqwelo-moya zomkhosi waseMelika.
I-United Kingdom kufuneka ivumele iibhombu zase-US ukuba zisebenzise iziseko zomkhosi ezikummandla wayo ubuncinane “imisebenzi yokuzikhuselaEkuqaleni, uStarmer wala ukuvumela iinqwelomoya zaseMelika ukuba zisebenzise isiseko seenqwelomoya esidibeneyo sase-US-UK uDiego Garcia; ekugqibeleni wavumela ukufikelela, emva kokuba uhlaselo lweenqwelomoya luphelile, kodwa kuphela "kwimisebenzi yokuzikhusela." EJamani, kude kube ngoku, isiseko seenqwelomoya saseRamstein ngokwethiyori sisafumaneka ukuba sisetyenziswe yi-US Air Force. Okubi kukuba, iziseko zeenqwelomoya ezidityaniswe ne-NATO okanye ezidityanisiweyo - apho i-US igubungela khona ubunzima obukhulu. uninzi iindleko zokusebenza kunye nokugcinwa kwazo — zazivaliwe kwiinqwelo-moya zemfazwe zase-US ngamazwe azigcinayo. “Amaqabane” e-United States, ethintela imisebenzi yayo yomkhosi, ayenyanzela iinqwelo-moya zemfazwe zase-US ukuba zithathe iindlela ezinde nezibizayo.
UTrump, naye, unjalo uphononongo Ubudlelwane beMelika ne-NATO.
UMacron, etyelele eJapan ngomhla woku-1 ku-Epreli, wazama ukuze acenge uNdunankulu uSanae Takaichi ukuba ayeke ukuthembela kuphela kwiWashington. Emva koko uMacron waya eMzantsi Korea, apho wafika khona bongozwa Amazwe “amandla aphakathi” ukuba amanyane nxamnye ne-US kunye ne-China. Kubonakala ngathi akaboni mahluko phakathi kwe-United States, idemokhrasi elwa norhulumente okhohlakeleyo, kunye ne-China, ilizwe elinobuzwilakhe elixhasa urhulumente wase-Iran.
Ngomhla wesi-2 ku-Epreli, iFransi, kunye neRashiya neTshayina — amaqabane e-Iran — vetoed Isigqibo seBhunga loKhuseleko le-UN, esabhalwa ngamazwe ama-Arabhu kwaye saxhaswa yi-US, esasigxeka izenzo ze-Iran nxamnye namazwe ama-Arabhu asePersian Gulf kwaye sacela ukusetyenziswa kwamandla ukuvula iStrait of Hormuz. Ngosuku olulandelayo, iFrance fu maneka "isivumelwano esahlukileyo" okanye imvume engacacanga ngokusebenzisa iindlela zonxibelelwano ukuba inqanawa yenkampani, i-CMA CGM, ephethwe ngusomashishini waseFransi-Lebanese uRodolphe Saadé, idlule kwiStrait.
Kangangamashumi eminyaka, amazwe aseNtshona Yurophu ebesoloko ukuphila simahla phantsi kwesambulela sokhuselo lwaseMelika. Endaweni yokuchitha imali kwimikhosi ukuqinisekisa ukhuseleko lwayo, iinkokeli zaseYurophu zakha amazwe entlalontle abiza kakhulu kwaye inyuselwe umbono ukuba phantse zonke iingxabano zinokusonjululwa ukuthomalalisa utshaba kwaye yathobela iimfuno zakhe. Le ngcinga yafumana umfutho ngakumbi emva kokuwa kweSoviet Union, "iholide kwimbali," xa uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali lomkhosi kulo lonke elaseNtshona kwehla ngakumbi. Okwangoku, iinkokheli zaseNtshona Yurophu zaziqalile ukuthetha ngoomongameli baseMelika bekhusela iMelika ngendelelo.
Ukufudukela eNtshona Yurophu kwabemi abaninzi abangamaSilamsi, azizange zihlanganiswe kwaye zibonakala zizinikele kakhulu kwi intiyo kuSirayeli nakumaYuda - kunye ne- MaKristu — inegalelo ekuvuselelekeni kwengxabano ngamaJuda phakathi kweenkokheli zezopolitiko ezifuna amavoti kulo lonke elaseNtshona Yurophu.
Ngelixa zonke iinkokheli zaseNtshona Yurophu zibonakalise uloyiko lwazo emva kokubulawa kwabantu yiHamas nge-7 ka-Okthobha 2023, uninzi lwazo ngokukhawuleza watyhola uSirayeli ngenkohlakalo, ngoxa, eneneni, umkhosi wayo wawungenzi nje kuphela ngokuzikhusela kodwa nokuphelisa izoyikiso nxamnye iYurophuEzinye iinkokeli zide zixoke utyholwa uSirayeli ka “uhlanga"Xa eneneni yiHamas, kwiCandelo lesi-7 lalo Isivumelwano sonyaka ka-1988, nto leyo efuna ukutshatyalaliswa kwamaJuda onke – efana nomoya wolwaphulo-mthetho wokunyelisa igazi owawuxhaphake kakhulu ngexesha elibi kakhulu kwixesha elidlulileyo laseYurophu.
Uninzi lwaba bezopolitiko eYurophu abazange bagxeke amashumi eminyaka ezenzo zobundlobongela ezenziwa ngurhulumente wase-Iran. Ngomhla wesi-9 kweyoMqungu ngo-2026 — ngelo xesha kanye urhulumente wase-Iran wawubulala abantu abangaphezu kwama-30,000 abangenazixhobo ezitalatweni — uStarmer, uMacron noMerz bapapashe ingxelo edibeneyo ngobugorha. ukuvakalisa “inkxalabo enzulu.” Yayiyiloo nto ke.
UTrump usebenzise igama elinye ukuchaza iinkokeli zamazwe aseNtshona Yurophu: “amagwala. "
“INtshona Yurophu ichaphazeleke kakhulu yiminqweno yokufa kwezopolitiko nezentlalo,” wabhala Conrad Black kwinyanga ephelileyo. “I-United States ayizukubasindisa kuloo nto; yibona kuphela abanokubasindisa.”
Ithemba "lokucinywa kwempucuko" nalo laphakanyiswa yi Icebo loKhuseleko lweSizwe lase-US lika-2025.
I-Israel — ebonakala ngathi iinkokeli ezininzi zaseNtshona Yurophu ezisemandleni ziyidelela — ngokucacileyo yiyo oyena mhlobo uthembekileyo ye-United States; ngaba baholi baseNtshona Yurophu abafanelwe kukuphathwa kakubi. Phantsi kobunkokeli babo obubi nobungenamigaqo, kunye nokuzinikela kwabo ngokungakhathali kubantu abatsha abafuna uncedo, iNtshona Yurophu njengoko sisazi isenokuba njalo. ukuya ekuweni.
UGqr. Guy Millière, unjingalwazi kwiYunivesithi yaseParis, ungumbhali weencwadi ezingama-27 ezithetha ngeFransi neYurophu.
Ngaba Ukulungele Ukuvunwa Kwengqolowa?
Shavuot 2026:
Ingaba wena lungele kuba le Ngqolowa Ukuvunwa
kwaye le Okulandelayo Kakhulu Ukuthululwa?
I-Shavuot inonxibelelwano lolwimi lwesiHebhere, kwaye isekelwe ngqo kulwimi ngokwalo:
- Shavuot (שבועות) sisininzi se shavu'a (שבוע) — “iveki” (ithuba lesixhenxe).
- Shevuot (שבועות) sisininzi se shevu'ah (שבועה) — “isifungo” okanye “umnqophiso ofungelweyo.”
La magama mabini apelwa kwaye abizwa phantse ngendlela efanayo. Eli ligama eliqhelekileyo lesiHebhere (i-paronomasia) eliqatshelwa zizazinzulu ngokunxulumene nomnqophiso waseSinayi (umz., abantu abafunga besithi “Konke akuthethileyo uYehova siya kukwenza” kwiEksodus 19:8 kunye ne-24:3,7). ITalmud (Shabbat 86b–88a) kunye neengxelo zamva nje zigxininisa eli gama ukuchaza isizathu sokuba uShavuot adibaniswe nokuhlaziywa komnqophiso eSinayi (ngo-1379 BC kuluhlu lwakho lweziganeko).
“Ngenyanga yesithathu emva kokuba oonyana bakaSirayeli bephumile ezweni laseYiputa, ngaloo mini, bafika entlango yaseSinayi.” (Eksodus 19:1)
Abantu bafika, bazihlambulula iintsuku ezintathu, kwaye ngaloo nto ihambelana nomhla wama-50 ukusuka kwisithungu somtshangatshangiso (ngokutsho kweLevitikus 23:15-21), bafunga isifungo esikhulu:
“Konke akuthethileyo uYehova siya kukwenza!” (Eksodus 19:8; 24:3, 7)
Oku yayikukuqinisekiswa ngokusesikweni komnqophiso womtshato (ketubah) phakathi kukaYehova noSirayeli — ngendudumo, umlilo, umsi, kunye nokunikezelwa kweMithetho Elishumi (kunye nemiyalelo epheleleyo yeTorah). Ngoko ke iShavuot sisikhumbuzo sonyaka sale nkqubo yokufunga nokuhlaziywa komnqophiso. Isithethe sooRabhi kamva sayibiza ngokuba yiyo Z'man Matan Torateinu (“ixesha lokunikezelwa kweTorah yethu”), kodwa iTorah ngokwayo iyidibanisa nesivuno kunye nendibano eSinayi. Oku kuseta itemplate: IShavuot = usuku lwesifungo somnqophiso + ukuhlaziywa emva kwexesha lokukhululwa okanye lomgwebo.
IShavuot — Isivuno Sengqolowa Sifikile (Umyalelo Wezolimo)
Masiqale apho uYehova aqala khona—ngomyalelo ocacileyo kwiTorah yakhe ebhaliweyo.
“Nize nizibalele ukususela ngomhla osemva kweSabatha, ukususela ngomhla enazisa ngawo isithungu somnikelo wokutshangatshangiswa: iisabatha ezisixhenxe ziya kugqitywa. Balani iintsuku ezingamashumi amahlanu ukuya kutsho ngosuku olusemva kweSabatha yesixhenxe; nize ninikele umnikelo omtsha wokudla okuziinkozo kuYehova. Nize nizise emakhayeni enu izonka ezibini zokutshangatshangiswa, eziziinxalenye ezibini zesishumi se-efa. Zoba zezomgubo ocoliweyo; mazibhakwe ngegwele. Ziintlahlela kuYehova.” (Levitikus 23:15-17)
Yi le UChag HaKatzir — uMthendeleko woVuno (Eksodus 23:16). Qaphela iinkcukacha ezigxininiswa nguYehova. Ukubala akuqali ngomhla othile. Kuqala ngomhla ibhali ye-aviv — izikhwebu eziluhlaza ekufuneka zivuthwe ngokwaneleyo ukuze zilungele isithungu somlozi ngosuku olulandela iSabatha yeveki emva kwePasika. Kuphela emva koko sibala iiveki ezisixhenxe ezipheleleyo (iintsuku ezingama-49) kunye nosuku olunye olungaphezulu ukuze sifikelele kumhla wama-50 — iShavuot.
IShavuot — Umthendeleko Wezifungo Nokuhlaziywa Kwesivumelwano
Oorabhi babiza uShavuot Z'man Matan Torateinu — ixesha lokunikezelwa kweTorah. Yinyani leyo, kodwa yinxalenye nje yebali. Ikwabizwa ngokuba yi Umthendeleko weZifungo ngenxa yesifungo esinzulu abantu abasenza eSinayi.
Ngaloo mini kamva eya kuba yiShavuot, abantwana bakwaSirayeli bema emazantsi entaba baza bafunga:
“Konke akuthethileyo uYehova siya kukwenza!” (Eksodus 19:8; 24:3, 7)
Bangena kumnqophiso womtshato noMdali wendalo iphela. Iindudumo, umbane, umlilo, nomsi zazisisigqubuthelo somtshato. IMithetho Elishumi yayiyi-ketubah - isivumelwano somtshato. Ngoko ke iShavuot yinyanga yonyaka ukuhlaziywa kwezo zifungo.
Yingakho ukufundwa kweShavuot ngokwesiko kuyiNcwadi kaRute. URute, umMowabhikazi weentlanga, wenza isifungo sakhe sokuthembeka:
“Apho uya khona, ndiya kuya nam; apho uya kuhlala khona, ndiya kuhlala khona; abantu bakowenu baya kuba ngabantu bam, noThixo wakho abe nguThixo wam.” (Rute 1:16)
Wamiliselwa kwilizwe lakwaSirayeli ngokuthembeka emnqophisweni waza waba ngumakhulu-khulu kaKumkani uDavide — onzala yakhe ikhokelela ngqo kuMesiya. URute ufanekisela amasebe omnquma wasendle (thina) emiliselwa kumnquma otyaliweyo (kwabaseRoma 11). IShavuot sisidlo saloo mnquma.
UShavuot usibiza kwakhona kwi ITorah ebhaliweyo eyanikwa eSinayi kunye Ruach oko kusinika amandla okusigcina. Esi sidlo asikokongeza iingqimba zeetakanot ezenziwe ngumntu; simalunga nokubuyela kumnqophiso olula nonamandla uYehova awawenza nathi.
Ipateni yoHlaziyo lweMinqophiso kwiXesha leNyanga yesiThathu
Nangona iTorah ingachazi yonke isiganeko somnqophiso ngomhla wama-50 ochanekileyo, iphethini ecacileyo yexesha lonyaka ivela kwinyanga yesithathu - kanye ixesha apho uShavuot ewela khona kwaye apho isiganeko saseSinayi sibekwe khona ngokucacileyo (Eksodus 19:1).
Emva komkhukula, ulandelelwano lweziganeko lubeka amaxesha abalulekileyo kwixesha emva kokuba amanzi ehlile. Umkhombe wahlala phezu kweentaba zaseArarati kwinyanga yesixhenxe (Genesis 8:4). Kwinyanga yokuqala yonyaka olandelayo, umhlaba wawusomile (Genesis 8:13). UNowa waphuma emkhombeni, wakha isibingelelo, wanikela amadini, waza wafumana izithembiso zomnqophiso:
I-X 8: 13 Kwathi, ngomnyaka wamakhulu amathandathu anamnye, ekuqaleni, ngolokuqala enyangeni leyo, atsha amanzi ehlabathini. UNowa wawususa uphahla lomkhombe, wakhangela. Yabona, ubuso behlabathi lomile;
I-X 8: 14 Ngenyanga yesibini, ngosuku lwamashumi omabini anesixhenxe enyangeni leyo, woma kwaphela umhlaba.
I-X 8: 15 Wathetha uThixo kuNowa, esithi,
I-X 8: 16 Phuma emkhombeni, wena nomfazi wakho, noonyana bakho, nabafazi boonyana bakho.
I-X 8: 17 Phuma nawe zonke izinto eziphilayo ezikuwe, zonke iintlobo zezilwanyana, iintaka, iinkomo, nazo zonke izilwanyana ezinambuzelayo emhlabeni, ukuze zizale kakhulu emhlabeni, ziqhame, zande emhlabeni.
I-X 8: 18 Waphuma ke uNowa, noonyana bakhe, nomkakhe, nabafazi boonyana bakhe.
I-X 8: 19 Zonke izilwanyana, zonke iintaka, nazo zonke izinto ezirhubuluzayo, zonke izinto ezirhubuluzayo emhlabeni ngokweentsapho zazo, zaphuma emkhombeni.
Umnqophiso kaThixo noNowa
I-X 8: 20 UNowa wakha isibingelelo sikaYehova, wathabatha kuzo zonke izilwanyana ezihlambulukileyo, nakwiintaka zonke ezihlambulukileyo, wanikela amadini anyukayo esibingelelweni.
“UYehova weva ivumba elimnandi. Wathi uYehova entliziyweni yakhe, Andisayi kuphinda ndiwuqalekise umhlaba ngenxa yomntu, ngokuba ingcinga yentliziyo yomntu imbi kwasebutsheni bakhe. Andiyi kuphinda ndizitshabalalise zonke izinto eziphilileyo njengoko ndenzileyo. Ngalo lonke ixesha umhlaba usekhona, akuyi kuphela ukuhlwayela nokuvuna, ukubanda nobushushu, ihlobo nobusika, imini nobusuku.” (Genesis 8:21-22)
Esi sivumelwano siquka izibophelelo ezihlangeneyo: uluntu kufuneka luhloniphe ubomi (aluyi kutya igazi), kwaye uYehova ufunga ukuba akasayi kuphinda azalise umhlaba. Esi yayisisifungo esicacileyo esenziwe emva komgwebo wehlabathi, kunye nesiqalo esitsha soluntu. Ixesha lenyanga yesithathu lihambelana nexesha lezolimo kunye nelemibhiyozo kamva eyalelwa uShavuot. Iingxelo zebhayibhile kamva, ezifana nokuhlaziywa komnqophiso phantsi koKumkani uAsa kwinyanga yesithathu (2 Kronike 15:10–15), zibonisa oku njengexesha eliphindaphindayo lokuzibophelela kwakhona kuYehova.
UAbraham kunye noQinisekiso loMnqophiso kwiNyanga yesiThathu
ITorah ikwadibanisa uAbraham nemixholo yeziqhamo zokuqala kunye nemizuzu yomnqophiso kwinyanga yesithathu nasekuqaleni kwexesha lasehlotyeni. IGenesis 15 ibhala umnqophiso weziqwenga, kunye nokuqinisekiswa kwawo okumangalisayo okufana nesifungo - imbiza yomlilo etshayo kunye nesibane esivuthayo esidlula phakathi kwezilwanyana ezahlulwe. IGenesis 17 ibhala umnqophiso wolwaluko njengomqondiso enyameni, kunye nesithembiso sembewu eyandisiweyo kunye neentlanga. Oku kwenzeka xa uAbraham eneminyaka engama-99 ubudala, kwaye ixesha leziganeko ezinxulumene noko (kuquka ukuzalwa kukaIsake kunyaka olandelayo) liwela kwifestile yokuvuna kunye neziqhamo zokuqala.
Ubomi buka-Abraham buzaliswe kukwakhiwa kwesibingelelo, amadini, nezifungo (umzekelo, umthombo wesifungo eBhershebha kwiGenesis 21:31, apho iimvana ezisixhenxe zifanekisela isifungo kwaye ziphinda "iiveki"/izifungo zikaShavuot). Nangona iTorah ingagxininisi zonke iinkcukacha kumhla wama-50 ochanekileyo, ixesha lenyanga yesithathu livela ngokuphindaphindiweyo ukuze kuqinisekiswe umnqophiso kunye nemixholo yokuqala. Ukuthembeka kuka-Abraham kuyimodeli yokugcina isifungo uShavuot asibizela ukuba sihlaziye minyaka le.
Xa zizonke, le mizekelo ityhila isingqisho seTorah esihambelanayo: emva komgwebo okanye uvavanyo kuza ixesha lokuqinisekiswa komnqophiso, isifungo, kunye nokuqala okutsha. Esi singqisho sifikelela ekubonakalisweni kwaso okucacileyo nokuneenkcukacha eSinayi ngo-1379 BC kwaye siyaqhubeka nokuthululwa koMnqophiso oMtsha eShavuot ngo-31 CE
Ukuzalisekiswa koMnqophiso Omtsha — IZenzo 2 kunye noBhalo olusentliziyweni
Hamba ngokukhawuleza malunga neminyaka eyi-1,500 ukuya eJerusalem ngaloo mini inye - uShavuot.
Abafundi bahlanganisana, bebala iOmer njengoko uLevitikus uyalele.
“Kwavela isandi ezulwini, esinjengesomoya ovuthuzayo onamandla, saza sayizalisa yonke indlu ababehleli kuyo. Kwabonakala kubo iilwimi ezahlukahlukileyo, ngathi zezomlilo, zaza zahlala phezu kwabo bonke. Bonke bazaliswa nguMoya oyiNgcwele...” (IZenzo 2:2-4)
Kongezelelwa imiphefumlo engamawaka amathathu ngaloo mini. Okwenzekileyo yayikukuzaliseka ngokuthe ngqo kwesithembiso esikuYeremiya 31:31-34 nakuHezekile 36:26-27: iTorah yayingasayi kuba semacwecweni amatye kuphela kodwa yayibhalwe ezintliziyweni zenyama. UMoya oyiNgcwele akazange ayicime iTorah — Wasinika amandla okuhamba kuyo.
Lo “ngumnqophiso ongcono” owalamlelwa nguYeshua (Hebhere 8:6). Umlilo ofanayo owehla eSinayi ngoku wehla ezintliziyweni zabantu. Isifungo esifanayo esafunga ngaso entabeni ngoku sitywinwe ngegazi leMvana nangamandla oMoya.
Umlinganiselo Wesiprofeto — Isivuno Sokugqibela kunye neJubhili ye-120
I-Shavuot ayijongi ngasemva kuphela, kodwa ijonge phambili ngamandla. Umpostile uPawulos uyidibanisa ngokuthe ngqo novuko:
“Ke kaloku uMesiya uvukile kwabafileyo, waba yintlahlela yabo baleleyo… Kodwa elowo nalowo ngokwendlela yakhe: uMesiya intlahlela, emva koko abo bangabakaKristu ekufikeni kwakhe… Ngesiquphe, ngokuqhwanyaza kweliso, ngexilongo lokugqibela.” (1 Korinte 15:20-23, 51-52)
Izonka ezibini ezitshangatshangiswayo eShavuot ziziqhamo zokuqala zesivuno esikhulu esiya kwenzeka xa kukhala ixilongo lokugqibela. Siphila kwiminyaka yokugqibela yomjikelo weJubilee ye-120. IJubilee ye-120 yileyo izisa ukubuyiselwa kokugqibela. Iintlungu zokuzala azinakuphikiswa: iintlanga zivukelana nezizwe, iStrait of Hormuz ivaliwe, ukunqongophala kwezichumiso kusongela ukutya kwehlabathi ngo-2026 nangaphaya, ukunyikima koqoqosho, kunye nemiqondiso emazulwini nasemhlabeni. Ezi zizinto kanye uYeshua asixelele ukuba sizilinde kuMateyu 24 noLuka 21.
Amasimi engqolowa amhlophe ukuze kuvunwe. UYehova ufuna ingqolowa evuthiweyo — abantu abavumele izilingo zale mihla yokugqibela ukuba zivelise isiqhamo soMoya: uthando, uvuyo, uxolo, ukuzeka kade umsindo, ububele, ukulunga, ukuthembeka, ubulali, ukuzeyisa (Galati 5:22-23). Yingqolowa evuthiweyo kuphela enokusikwa ibe sisonka esondla iintlanga.
USirayeli — Iintlahlela zikaYehova
UYehova ngokwakhe ubiza uSirayeli Iintlahlela zakhe — isabelo esingcwele, esizinikeleyo sesivuno Sakhe.
“USirayeli wayengcwele kuYehova, intlahlela yesivuno sakhe [okanye “intlahlela yesivuno sakhe”]: bonke abamdlayo baya kuba netyala; ububi buya kubafikela, utsho uYehova.” (Yeremiya 2:3)
NgesiHebhere, eli binzana lithi reishit tevuatoh — inxalenye yokuqala yemveliso Yakhe. Njengokuba iminikelo yokuqala kwiLevitikus yayibekelwe uYehova kuphela kwaye yayingenakutyiwa ngabanye ngaphandle kwetyala (Levitikus 22:10, 16; 23:10-14), ngoko ke uSirayeli wayengcwaliswe kuYe yedwa kwiintsuku zokuqala emva koFuduko.
Esi sibhengezo sikuYeremiya 2:3 asisosifaniso esidlulayo. Sikhanyisa ngokuthe ngqo uphawu oluphambili lukaShavuot — izonka ezibini ezitshangatshangiswayo zesonka sengqolowa esinegwele. ILevitikus 23:17 icacisa kakuhle ithi: “Ziintlahlela zikaYehova.” Ezi zonka zimbini, zibhakwe ngegwele kuba zimele abantu abahlangulweyo kodwa abangafezekanga, zitshangatshangiswa phambi kukaYehova kulo mthendeleko. Esinye isonka sibonisa uYuda; esinye sibonisa uEfrayim (indlu kaSirayeli esasazekileyo). Zikunye zakha iqela leentlahlela - kanye uhlanga uYehova alubiza ngokuba “ziintlahlela zesivuno sakhe” kuYeremiya 2:3.
ESinayi ngo-1379 BC, uSirayeli ewonke wabekwa bucala waza wafunga isifungo somnqophiso, waba ngabantu abaziintlahlela zikaYehova. Izonka ezibini ezazitshangatshangiswa yiShavuot nganye zisikhumbuza ngaloo mhla wokuzinikezela kwaye zikhomba phambili ekuzalisekeni okukhulu: abahlangulweyo kuzo zombini izindlu zakwaSirayeli, kunye nabo batyatyekwe ezizweni, baziswa njengesivuno sokuqala ngaphambi kokuba kuqokelelwe ngokupheleleyo ekupheleni kwexesha.
Olu nxibelelwano luqinisa ukungxamiseka kokulungiselela kwethu. Ukuba uSirayeli wamandulo wayekhe waba liziqalo ezingcwele zikaYehova, ngoko ke kule minyaka yokugqibela yomjikelo weJubili ye-120 kufuneka siphile njengengqolowa evuthiweyo - ehlukaniswe, ethobelayo, kwaye evelisa isiqhamo soMoya. Kulapho kuphela apho siya kuba sikulungele ukutshangatshangiswa njengenxalenye yeqela leziqalo zokugqibela xa ixilongo lokugqibela likhala.
UYehova ukwabiza uSirayeli ngokuba ngunyana wakhe wamazibulo (Eksodus 4:22), ephethe ingcamango efanayo "yokuqala nengcwele". ITestamente eNtsha yakha phezu kwesi siseko: UYakobi 1:18 uthetha ngamakholwa "njengohlobo lwentlahlela yezidalwa zaKhe," kwaye iSityhilelo 14:4 sichaza i-144,000 "njengentlahlela kuThixo nakwiMvana." Ezi ndinyana ziphinda umfanekiso kaYeremiya kwaye ziyandisa kusapho olukhululekileyo.
Le nyaniso iyomeleza ngamandla isigidimi sethu seShavuot: UYehova ebesoloko ebajonga abantu bakhe bomnqophiso njengeziqhamo ezingcwele ezizezakhe kuphela. Kule veki yokugqibela ye-Omer, umbuzo usasele - ngaba siphila njengeziqhamo ezingcwele, ezizinikeleyo ezilungele isivuno esikhulu?
Oko Umele Ukwenze Kule Veki Yokugqibela ye-Omer
Sisele neentsuku ezisixhenxe. Zisebenzise ngobulumko.
- Hlola intliziyo yakho. Cela uMoya ukuba akuhlole. Ngaba uhamba ngokuthobela? Ngaba uvelisa ingqolowa okanye umququ nje?
- Hlaziya isifungo sakho. Funda iEksodus 19–24 ngokuvakalayo. Yima egumbini lakho lokuthandaza uze ufunge kwakhona uthi: “Konke akuthethileyo uYehova, ndiya kukwenza—ngoMoya wakho.”
- Funda uRute kunye neZenzo 2 ecaleni. Jonga indlela entle yokuhlawulelwa.
- Thandazela isivuno. thandazelani izimvu zakwaSirayeli ezisasazekileyo kunye nezo zisengaphandle komnqophiso.
- Gcina itheko ngokwenyanga ebonwayo. Qinisekisa inyanga entsha kunye nebhali ye-aviv. Musa ukulandela amasiko aphula unxibelelwano nomhlaba.
- Lungiselela ngokoqobo. Gcina oko unako xa kukho izinto ezingalindelekanga ezizayo, kodwa ngaphezu kwako konke gcina intliziyo yakho kwiLizwi.
Bazalwana, isivuno sengqolowa siyeza. UYehova ulungiselela iziqhamo zakhe zokuqala. Amasimi amhlophe kwaye alungile. Irhengqa lisesandleni saLowo ulungele ukuqokelela.
Ngaba uza kubalwa phakathi kwabo bakulungeleyo xa kukhala ixilongo lokugqibela likaShavuot?
Chag Shavuot Sameach ngaphambili!
Ngamana sonke singafunyanwa silungile njengoMtshakazi ozihlambululela uMyeni.
Iintsuku Ezilishumi Emva Kokunyuka Kwentaba Neentsuku Ezilishumi Zokumangalisa
Iintsuku Ezilishumi Emva Kokunyuka Kwentaba Neentsuku Ezilishumi Zokumangalisa
Ngoku sikwiveki yokugqibela yokubala ama-Omer ngo-2026, iintsuku ezimbalwa nje ngaphambi kokuba Shavuot. UYesu, uMesiya wethu, wavuka kwabafileyo ngomhla wesithungu somtshangatshangiso waza wahlala nabafundi bakhe iintsuku ezingama-40, ebafundisa ngoBukumkani. Ngomhla wama-40 wenyuka waya kuYise. Kwixesha elilandelayo iintsuku ezilishumi Abafundi bahlanganisana kwigumbi eliphezulu eYerusalem, beqhubeka “ngamxhelo mnye emthandazweni nasekunxuseni” (IZenzo 1:14). Ngomhla wama-50 — uShavuot — uRuach HaKodesh wathululwa ngamandla, iTorah yabhalwa ezintliziyweni, kwaye kwaqala isivuno sokuqala soMnqophiso oMtsha.
Eli xesha leentsuku ezilishumi emva kokunyuka kukaYesu asiloxesha elingenanto. Lixesha elicwangcisiweyo lokulinda ngokulindela, umanyano, kunye nokulungiselela. Xa silibeka ecaleni kwelinye nelinye Iintsuku ezili-10 zokoyika (Yamim Noraim) ekwindla — ukususela kwiMthendeleko yamaXilongo (Yom Teruah) ukuya kwiYom Kippur — kuvela ukufana okumangalisayo. UYehova wakhe iipateni ezibukwayo kwikhalenda Yakhe ezisifundisa indlela yokuphila kule mihla yokugqibela.
Ipateni yeNtwasahlobo: Iintsuku ezilishumi zokugqibela emva kokunyuka
- Umhla we-40th — UYeshua uyenyuka (IZenzo 1:9).
- Iintsuku ezilishumi ezizayo — abafundi balinda kunye emthandazweni, bethatha indawo kaYuda, bephengulula iZibhalo, kwaye belungisa iintliziyo zabo.
- Usuku lwama-50 (Shavuot) — umoya onamandla ovuthuzayo, iilwimi zomlilo, ukuthululwa kukaMoya oyiNgcwele, kunye nemiphefumlo engama-3,000 yongezwa ngosuku olunye (IZenzo 2).
Le yibhulorho ukusuka kubukho obubonakalayo boKumkani ukuya kumandla angaphakathi oMoya—ukusuka ekufundiseni komntu ngamnye ukuya ekuxhobiseni abantu ukuze kuvunwe.
Ipateni Yokuwa: Iintsuku Ezilishumi Zoloyiko
- Isidlo samaxilongo (Yom Teruah) — ishofar ikhala ngequbuliso, njengesela ebusuku. Abaninzi babona oku njengosuku olufanekisela ukubuya koMbingeleli Omkhulu noKumkani wethu, uYeshua. Asimboni esiza ngendlela efanayo nehlabathi eliyilindeleyo; Uza ngokungalindelekanga, njengesela (1 Tesalonika 5:2; ISityhilelo 16:15; Mateyu 24:36 — “Akukho mntu waziyo ngaloo mini naloo hora,” ibinzana elidityaniswe ngabaninzi nokungaqiniseki kokubonwa kwenyanga entsha kwamaXilongo).
- Iintsuku ezilishumi ezizayo (Iintsuku Zokumangalisa) — lixesha lokuzihlolisisa nzulu, inguquko (teshuvah), umthandazo, ukuzila ukutya, ukufuna ubuso bukaThixo, nokulungisa izinto. Lixesha lokuhlonela nokoyika iNkosi.
- yeyiphi — isiphelo: ucamagushelo lwenziwe, isiphelo sivaliwe, abantu bahlanjululwa, kwaye amalungiselelo aphelele ukuze kuvuye iSukkot.
Iipateni Ezinomtsalane Nezibuko Esinokuziqokelela
Xa sithelekisa amaxesha amabini eentsuku ezilishumi ecaleni, isakhiwo esibonakalayo (esibonakalayo) kuvela — ABBA — etyhila indlela kaYehova eqhubekayo yokulungiselela abantu Bakhe:
A — Ukuhamba ngequbuliso / Utshintsho olungabonakaliyo
Ukunyuka: UYeshua uhamba ngokubonakalayo ngomhla wama-40 aze abuyele kuBawo. Kusele iintsuku ezili-10 ngaphambi kokuba kufike uShavuot.
Amaxilongo: UYeshua ubuya njengoMbingeleli Omkhulu noKumkani “njengesela ebusuku” — ngequbuliso, engalindelekanga, nengabonakaliyo lihlabathi elileleyo. Kusele iintsuku ezili-10 ngaphambi komgwebo wokugqibela kwiYom Kippur
B — Iintsuku Ezilishumi Zokulinda, Umthandazo, Nokulungiselela Intliziyo
Intwasahlobo: Abafundi balinda ngomthandazo omnye kunye nokunxusa.
Ukuwa: Abantu balinda ngoloyiko, ngokuguquka, ngokuzihlola, nangokufuna ubuso bukaYehova.
B' — Isiphelo Ekuthululweni Okungcwele / Ukutywinwa Nokuhlanjululwa
Intwasahlobo: Shavuot — uRuach HaKodesh uthululwa, iTorah ibhalwe ezintliziyweni, kwaye amandla akhululwa ukuze kuvunwe isivuno sokuqala. Kuvunyelwene ngayo iSivumelwano.
Ukuwa: Yom Kippur — ucamagushelo lugqityiwe, ukuhlanjululwa kuyenzeka, kwaye ikamva litywinwa ngaphambi kokuhlanganiswa okukhulu. Abo bangawugciniyo umnqophiso bayasuswa.
A' — Ukunika Amandla / Ukubuyiselwa Kwesivuno Esipheleleyo
Intwasahlobo: Iqela leentlahlela ezinamandla (izonka ezibini) lithunyelwa ukuba liqokelele isivuno esikhulu.
Ukuwa: Emva kweYom Kippur kuza uvuyo lweSukkot — ukuhlala noThixo, ukuhlanganiswa kokugqibela, kunye nokuzaliswa koBukumkani.
Esi sibuko sibonisa ukuba uYehova usebenzisa amaxesha okulungiselela eentsuku ezilishumi entwasahlobo nasekwindla ukuze alungiselele abantu bakhe isenzo esikhulu sobuthixo. ukuthululwa kweziqhamo zokuqala (Shavuot); omnye ulungiselela ucamagusho lokugqibela kunye nokuhlanganiswa (uYom Kippur kunye noSukkot). Zidibene zakha isingqisho sekhalenda esivumelanayo: ubukho → ukuhamba/ukuvuka → ukulinda/ukufuna → ukuthululwa/ukuvalwa → ukuvuna/ukubuyiselwa.
Oko Kuthethwa Yile Nto Kuthi Ngowama-2026 Nangaphaya
Siphila kwiminyaka yokugqibela yomjikelo weJubhili ye-120. Iintlungu zokuzala ziyanda — iimfazwe, ukuvalelwa kwiStrait of Hormuz, ukunqongophala kwezichumisi okusongela ukutya, kunye nokunyikima kwehlabathi. Ezi zizibonakaliso kanye uYeshua awasixelela ukuba sizilumkele.
Iintsuku ezilishumi emva kokunyuka kweNkosi entwasahlobo kunye neentsuku ezilishumi zoMlilo ekwindla zisifundisa isifundo esifanayo esingxamisekileyo: Musa ukulala usemsebenzini. Hlalani niphaphile, hlalani nilindile, hlaziyani isifungo senu (“Konke akuthethileyo uYehova, siya kukwenza”), nize nilungise iintliziyo zenu ngomthandazo nangokuthobela. UMbingeleli Omkhulu uyeza—nokuba uboniswe kumzekelo wentwasahlobo wokunyuka nokuthululwa okanye kumzekelo wekwindla wexilongo kunye nocamagushelo. Kuzo zombini iimeko ubizo lucacile: yibani phakathi kwabo babukeleyo nabasebenzayo, ningabi phakathi kwabo babanjwe belele.
Njengoko sigqiba olu balo lwama-Omer ngo-2026, masixelise abafundi kwezo ntsuku zilishumi emva kokunyuka. Hlanganani ngomthandazo, sihlole uhambo lwethu, sithandazele izimvu zakwaSirayeli ezisasazekileyo, size sikhalele ukuthululwa koMoya omtsha. Le ndlela ifanayo eyakhokelela kumandla kaShavuot iya kusikhokela kwiMihla yokugqibela yoKumangaliswa kunye nokuzaliseka okukhulu okusondelayo ngo-2033.
Izonka ezibini ezitshangatshangiswayo kwiShavuot zisimela thina—iqela leentlahlela ezivela kuzo zombini izindlu zakwaSirayeli kunye neqela elityalwe ngaphakathi. Amaxesha onyaka eentsuku ezilishumi aboniswa esipilini asibonisa ngqo indlela yokulungela ukutshangatshangiswa njengengqolowa evuthiweyo xa kukhala ixilongo lokugqibela.
Bazalwana, ikhalenda kaYehova ayicwangciswanga. Izipili ezishushu ezakhiwe kwimithendeleko zikhona ukuze sifumane kuzo. Kule veki yokugqibela ye-Omer, masisebenzise umzekelo awunikileyo: linda ngolangazelelo, funa ubuso bakhe, uhlaziye umnqophiso, kwaye ume ulungile.
Enye ingxaki apha e-US ziifektri zokucoca. Ngokuxhomekeke apho ioyile ipompelwa khona, iifektri zokucoca azixhotyiswanga ukucoca ioyile engcolileyo e-US. Sithumela loo nto kwaye sixhomekeke kwi-crude yangaphandle efuna ukucocwa okuncinci okucwangciswa ziifektri zokucoca zase-US. Kuthatha iminyaka emi-6 ukwakha i-crudefine ye-crude apha, kwaye kuthatha ukuya kuthi ga kwiminyaka engama-25 ukuhlawula ixabiso le-crudefine entsha. Ngokufuna ezinye iindlela kwihlabathi liphela, bakholelwa ukuba imakethi ayizukuxabisa iindleko ze-curefine ezintsha! Asilungiseleli kakuhle!! Oku kongeza kwiingxaki zizonke njengoko eli hlabathi lingamfuni uThixo kodwa lixhomekeke kwiinkolelo zabo. Nokuba sijonga njani, ngaphandle kokuba eli hlabathi lijika lize liguquke, izinga lokuwa linyuka ngamanani angenamda. Konke oku kwenzeka njengoko isiprofeto sitshilo. Kuya kubakho iimpendulo ezininzi ezifuna ngamandla kwaye kufuneka silungele ukunika impendulo! Thandaza! Thobela! Funda! Lungela! Ingxaki ayizi, ilapha. Ngaphezu kwako konke, njengoko oku kusenzeka, uxolo lukaKristu oludlula ukuqonda malulondoloze iintliziyo neengqondo zethu, uvuyo lweNkosi yesiphumo malube ngamandla ethu njengoko siqhubeka. Uthando lwabaninzi luya kuphola ngenxa yokwanda kolwaphulo-mthetho. Bamba ngokuqinileyo, lungiselela, sondela kuYehova, thandaza, thobela, mdumise uYehova phakathi kuba nguye kuphela olawulayo. Ungumboneleli nomkhuseli wethu. Simele sikhumbuzane kwaye sakhe omnye nomnye. Kuba iliso alibonanga, nendlebe ayizivanga, ubuqaqawuli obuzayo! Ingakanani iminyaka yobomi bethu ebuthathaka xa ithelekiswa nephakade likaYehova elingenasiphelo! Ukholo malube luqiniseko lwezinto ezilindelweyo, ubukho bezinto ezingabonwayo! Haleluya!