Zithunzi za 5862-008
Chaka Chachitatu cha Ulendo wa Sabata Wachisanu
Chaka cha 32 cha Mzunguliro wa Chikondwerero cha Zaka 120
The 29th wa mwezi wachiwiri, zaka 5862 kuchokera pamene Adamu analengedwa
Mzunguliro wa Sabata wachinayi pambuyo pa Chaka Chatsopano cha 5
Kuzungulira Sabata kwa Chakhumi kwa Amasiye ndi Ana Amasiye
April 18, 2026
Sabbat Shalomu ku banja lachifumu la Yehova,
Ndi tsiku la 42 la kuwerengera Omer.
Ndi Sabata ili tsopano tili pa Tsiku la 42. Ndi Sabata la 6 kuyambira pamene Omer inagwa pa 5 Marichi, 2026. Masiku 10 omaliza a kuwerengera masiku 50 anayamba Lachitatu sabata yatha. Sabata ino ndiyang'ana nthawi zonse ziwiri za masiku khumi mosinthasintha ndikuwona zomwe ndingaphunzire. Ndikufotokozanso tanthauzo la liwu lakuti "Shavuot" ndi momwe limagwirizanirana ndi Phwando la Malumbiro ndi tanthauzo lake.
Ndipo chifukwa chakuti Israyeli, mafuko onse 12, sakumvera pangano lomwe adagwirizana nalo ku Shavuot pa Phiri la Sinai, tiwonanso matemberero ena omwe mukuwaona akuchitika pa nkhani zausiku. Kukwera kwanu mitengo ya chakudya ndi njala yanu yomwe ikubwera kuyambira nthawi yophukira ino. Kodi nkhondo ndi Iran zikukhudza bwanji dziko lonse lapansi? Tidzayang'ana zinthuzi ndikumvetsetsa momwe tikuyandikira kumapeto kwa nthawi ino, komanso nthawi yomweyo, pamene tikuyandikira kumapeto kwa kuwerengera masabata m'masiku 7, m'zaka 7 zokha, popeza tsopano 2026 yatsala pang'ono kutha, chochitika chenicheni cha Shavuot chatsala pang'ono kuchitika. Kodi Mwakonzeka?
Ndikufunanso kuti mukumbukire zomwe takhala tikukuchenjezani za kusintha kwa chuma komwe kukubwera komwe kukuyamba nthawi yophukira ya 2026.
Pamene mukuwerenga malipoti azachuma sabata ino kumbukirani za Sabata la Yosefe la masabata 7 a chakudya chambiri ndi masabata 7 a njala. Nthawi yomwe ayenera kusintha kuchoka pa imodzi kupita ku ina ndi nthawi yophukira ino. Monga momwe zinalili m'masiku a Nowa, komanso monga momwe zinalili m'masiku a Loti ndi zomwe Yehshua ananena mu Luka. Sananene chilichonse monga momwe zinalili m'masiku a Yosefe. Izi ndi zomwe tinapeza.
Ife ndife amene tinakuchenjezani za 2020 ndi 2023, ndipo tsopano 2026. Mwina sitikudziwa chilichonse. Koma mwina tikudziwanso.
Miy 25:2 Ulemerero wa Mulungu is kubisa chinthu; koma ulemu wa mafumu is kufufuza nkhani.
Tikufunsanso ngati mwakonzeka?
Lowani nawo Misonkhano Yathu ya Sabata
Lowani nawo Misonkhano Yathu ya Sabata
Pali anthu ambiri osowa chiyanjano ndipo amakhala kunyumba pa Sabata popanda wolankhula naye kapena kukangana naye. Ndikufuna kukulimbikitsani nonse kuti mubwere nafe pa Sabata, ndi kuitana ena kuti abwere kudzabwera nafenso. Ngati nthawiyo si yabwino ndiye kuti mutha kumvera zophunzitsira ndi midrash pambuyo pa njira yathu ya YouTube.
Kodi tikuchita chiyani ndipo n’chifukwa chiyani timaphunzitsa motere?
Tikambirana mbali zonse ziwiri za nkhani ndikukulolani kusankha. Ndi ntchito ya Mzimu (Mzimu) kukutsogolerani ndi kukuphunzitsani.
Wothirira ndemanga m’zaka za m’ma Middle Ages, Rashi, analemba kuti liwu Lachihebri lotanthauza kulimbana (avek) limatanthauza kuti Yakobo anali “womangidwa,” pakuti liwu lomweli limagwiritsiridwa ntchito kufotokoza mphonje zomangika mu chovala chopempherera chachiyuda, tzitzityot. Rashi akunena kuti, “momwemo uli mkhalidwe wa anthu aŵiri amene amavutikira kugonjana, kuti mmodzi amakumbatirana ndi kum’manga m’manja”.
Kulimbana kwathu kwaluntha kwasinthidwa ndi mtundu wina wankhondo. Timalimbana ndi Yehova pamene tikulimbana ndi Mawu ake. Uwu ndi mchitidwe wapamtima, wosonyeza unansi umene Yehova ndi inu ndife tili ogwirizana. Kulimbana kwanga n’kovuta kudziŵa zimene Yehova amafuna kwa ife, ndipo “timamangiriridwa” kwa Iye amene amatithandiza m’nkhondo imeneyo.
Masiku ano, ambiri amati Israeli amatanthauza "Wampikisano wa Mulungu", kapena bwino - "Wrestler of God".
Magawo athu a Torah pa Shabbat iliyonse amakuphunzitsani ndikukulimbikitsani kutsutsa, kufunsa, kutsutsa, komanso kuwona malingaliro ndi mafotokozedwe ena a Mawu. M’mawu ena, tiyenera “kulimbana ndi Mawu” kuti tifike ku choonadi. Ayuda padziko lonse lapansi amakhulupirira kuti muyenera kulimbana ndi Mawu ndikutsutsa Chiphunzitso, Zamulungu, ndi malingaliro apo ayi simudzafika ku Choonadi.
Sitifanana ndi matchalitchi ambiri kumene “Mlaliki amalankhula ndipo aliyense amamvetsera. Timalimbikitsa aliyense kutenga nawo mbali, kufunsa ndi kupereka zomwe akudziwa pa nkhani yomwe ikukambidwa. Tikufuna kuti mukhale katswiri wolimbana ndi Mawu a Yehova. Tikufuna kuti muvale dzina la Israeli, podziwa kuti simungodziwa koma mumatha kufotokoza chifukwa chake mukudziwa kuti Torah ndi yowona ndi zomveka komanso zowona.
Tili ndi malamulo ochepa. Lolani ena kulankhula ndi kumvetsera. Palibe kukambirana za UFO, Anefili, Katemera kapena nkhani zachiwembu. Tili ndi anthu ochokera padziko lonse lapansi omwe ali ndi malingaliro osiyanasiyana padziko lapansi. Sikuti aliyense amasamala yemwe ali Purezidenti wa dziko linalake. Muzilemekezana wina ndi mzake monga omenyana nawo mawu. Zina mwa maphunziro athu ndizovuta kuzimvetsa ndipo zimafuna kuti mukhale okhwima ndipo ngati simukudziwa, mvetserani kuti mupeze chidziwitso ndi kumvetsetsa komanso mwachiyembekezo nzeru. Zinthu zimene mukulamulidwa kupempha Yehova ndipo amapereka kwa amene akum’pemphayo.
Jas 1: 5 Koma wina wa inu ikamsowa nzeru, apemphe kwa Mulungu, amene apatsa kwa onse modzala manja, ndi mosatonza; ndipo adzampatsa.
Tikukhulupirira kuti mutha kuyitana omwe akufuna kusunga Torah kuti abwere kudzabwera nafe pomenya ulalo womwe uli pansipa. Zili ngati pulogalamu yophunzitsa ya Torah yokambirana ndi anthu ochokera padziko lonse lapansi akutenga nawo mbali ndikugawana nzeru ndi kumvetsetsa kwawo.
Timayamba ndi nyimbo kenako mapemphero ena ndipo zimakhala ngati mudakhala mozungulira kukhitchini ku Newfoundland mukumwa khofi ndipo tonsefe tikusangalala ndi wina ndi mnzake. Ndikukhulupirira kuti tsiku lina mudzatiyanja ndi kampani yanu.
Misonkhano ya Sabata iyamba nthawi ya 12:30 PM EDT komwe tikhala tikuchita mapemphero, nyimbo ndi kuphunzitsa kuyambira nthawi ino.
Shabbat midrash idzayamba pafupifupi 1:15 pm Kummawa.
Tikuyembekezera kuti mudzayanjane ndi banja lathu komanso kutidziwa bwino pamene tikukudziwani.
Joseph Dumond akukuitanani kumsonkhano wa Zoom womwe wakonzedwa.
Mutu: Malo Osonkhanira Payekha a Joseph Dumond
Lowani Msonkhano Wokulitsa
https://us02web.zoom.us/j/3505855877
Chidziwitso cha Misonkhano: 350 585 5877
Tepi imodzi yam'manja
+13017158592,,3505855877# US (Germantown)
+13126266799,,3505855877# US (Chicago)
Imbirani ndi komwe muli
+1 301 715 8592 US (Germantown)
+1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago)
+1 346 248 7799 US (Houston)
+1 669 900 6833 US (San Jose)
+1 929 436 2866 US (New York)
+1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma)
Chidziwitso cha Misonkhano: 350 585 5877
Pezani nambala yanu yakwanuko: https://us02web.zoom.us/u/kctjNqPYv0
Chigawo cha Torah
Zigawo za Torah
Timawerenga Torah yonse pamodzi ndi Aneneri ndi Chipangano Chatsopano kamodzi kokha kwa zaka zitatu ndi theka. Kapena malinga ndi Sabata lomwe limazungulira zomwe zikutanthauza kuti timawerenga zonse kawiri kwa zaka 7. Izi zimatithandiza kufotokoza mozama m'malo mofulumizitsa kufotokoza zambiri zomwe zimaphunziridwa pachaka. Timalola onse kupereka ndemanga ndikutenga nawo mbali pazokambirana.
Gawo la Septennial Torah
Ngati mupita Chigawo cha Torah m'gawo lathu losungidwa, mutha kupita ku chaka choyamba, chomwe ndi chaka cha 1 cha Mzunguliro wa Sabata, womwe tilimo tsopano, monga tikunenera pamwamba pa Kalata iliyonse. Kumeneko, mutha kusunthira mpaka tsiku loyenera ndikuwona kuti Shabbat iyi, titha kukhala tikungokhalira kukangana:
Numeri 2
Ezekieli 43-46
1 John 5
2 John 1
Tili mu Sabata Loyamba mu 2024-2025. Timawerenga Baibulo lonse kawiri mu chaka cha 7. Izi zikutanthauza kuti timawerenga Baibulo lonse kamodzi pa zaka zitatu ndi theka. Zimatipatsa nthawi yochulukirapo yokambirana ndikukambirana gawo lililonse lomwe tawerenga.
Ngati munaphonya zinthu zosangalatsa zomwe zapezedwa sabata yatha pamene tikuphunzira chigawo chimenecho, mukhoza kupita kukaonera Masabata pamasamba athu gawo la media.
Kuwerengera Omeri
Kuwerengera Omeri
Chuma cha US kuyambira mu Epulo 2026
Nkhaniyi yatengedwa mbali ina kuchokera ku nkhani yolembedwa ndi Munthu Wapadziko Lonse wa Doug Casey zomwe zinatumizidwa kwa ine sabata yatha.
Mtengo wa Nkhondo ndi Iran Wayamba Kale Kuwononga US ndi Chuma Chapadziko Lonse -
Ndipo Ndi Chiyambi Chake
Ufulu (Social Security ndi Medicare), chitetezo, ndi ubwino tsopano zikulamulira bajeti. Popeza anthu mamiliyoni ambiri a Baby Boomers akupuma pantchito m'zaka zikubwerazi, palibe wandale amene adzakhudza ufulu wawo. Ndalama zogwiritsidwa ntchito pazachitetezo zikuchulukirachulukira chifukwa cha nkhondo ya Iran. Chiwongola dzanja pa ngongole ya dziko chikuyembekezeka kukhala chinthu chimodzi chachikulu kwambiri pa bajeti.
Mwachidule, kuyesetsa kuchepetsa ndalama sikudzakhala kopanda phindu pokhapokha ngati zitakhala zovomerezeka pandale kuchepetsa zinthu monga unyolo, chitetezo cha dziko, ndi ubwino wa anthu pamene kuchepetsa ngongole ya dziko kuti kuchepetse ndalama zomwe zimawononga chiwongola dzanja.
Mwa kuyankhula kwina, dziko la US lingafunike mtsogoleri amene—osachepera—adzabweza boma la federal ku Constitutional Republic yocheperako, atseka malo 128 ankhondo akunja, athetsa ufulu, aphe boma lothandiza anthu, ndikubweza gawo lalikulu la ngongole ya dzikolo—chinthu chomwe sichidzachitika.
Andale nthawi zonse amasankha njira yosavuta: kubwereka ndalama zambiri. Ngakhale kulanda 100% ya chuma cha mabiliyoni aku America sikungawononge chaka chimodzi chogwiritsa ntchito ndalama. Ndipo ngakhale atatenga chuma chonse cha mabiliyoni ambiri, boma la US liyenera kubwerekabe ndalama zoposa $200 biliyoni kuti lipereke ndalama zogwiritsidwa ntchito mu FY 2025. Mfundo yaikulu ndi iyi: kukweza misonkho, ngakhale kufika pamlingo wovuta kwambiri, sikungasinthe njira ya chizolowezi chosathachi—ngakhale pang'ono. Chowonadi ndi chakuti, zivute zitani, kusowa kwa ndalama sikudzasiya kukula, komanso ngongole sidzafunika kuti iwathandize. Kuchuluka kwa ndalama sikudzachepa. Kudzawonjezeka. Izi zikutanthauza kuti chiwongola dzanja pa ngongole ya boma chidzapitirira kukwera kwambiri.
Misonkho singathe kuthetsa vutoli. Kuchepa kwa ndalama kupitirira kukula, komanso ngongole zomwe zikufunika kuti zithe kulipidwa. Pankhaniyi, izi zikutanthauza kupereka ngongole zambiri m'malo mopanga zisankho zovuta za bajeti kapena kulephera kulipira ngongoleyo.
Taganizirani za chinyengo cha ngongole chomwe chikuchitika mobwerezabwereza ku US Congress, chomwe chakwezedwa nthawi zoposa 100 kuyambira mu 1944.
Pafupifupi $ 10 zankhaninkhani, Ndalama za US Treasuries zikutha chaka chino chokha, ndipo zoposa theka la ngongole zonse zidzayenera kulipidwa pofika chaka cha 2028. Zambiri mwa izo ndi ma T-bills a nthawi yochepa omwe akupititsidwa patsogolo pa chiwongola dzanja chapamwamba kwambiri masiku ano - pafupifupi kawiri zomwe adawononga mu 2022. Izi zimatseka ndalama zambiri zatsopano zomwe ziyenera kulipidwa ndi ngongole zambiri.
Bond iliyonse yomwe imabwera iyenera kulipidwanso pamitengo yapamwamba kwambiri masiku ano—kutseka ndalama zolipirira chiwongola dzanja chachikulu kwambiri kwa zaka zambiri. Zomwe zinkagulidwa mwakachetechete tsopano zitha kugulidwa pamtengo wowirikiza kawiri kuposa mtengo wa chiwongola dzanja womwe udawonedwa mu 2022.
Ndicho chimene tchati chili pansipa chikusonyeza: nthawi yopezera ndalama mosavuta yatha. Phwando la "ndalama zaulere" latha, ndipo tsopano bilu ya gawo lomaliza la zolimbikitsa iyenera kuperekedwa—ndi kulipidwa.
Nthawi iliyonse ngongole za ku US zikabwezedwanso pamitengo yokwera, zimawonjezera ndalama za chiwongola dzanja ku ndalama zomwe zatsala—ndalama zomwe ziyenera kulipidwa ndi ngongole zambiri, zomwe zikuwonjezera vutoli. Ndikofunikira kudziwa kuti pafupifupi $6.6 thililiyoni ya $9.6 thililiyoni yomwe ikutha chaka chino—pafupifupi 69%—ndi ma T-bill a nthawi yochepa.
Zimenezo zimachitika kawirikawiri pamavuto a ngongole. Pamene kufunikira kwa mabond a nthawi yayitali kukuchepa, amalonda amakopeka ndi zida za nthawi yochepa monga ma T-bill m'malo mwa ma note a zaka 10 ndi ma bond a zaka 30. Ndi momwemonso mumaonera mavuto a msika wamakono. Msika umafupikitsa kukhwima pamene zinthu zikuipiraipira. Munthu wopusa yekha ndiye angafune kubwereketsa ndalama za boma lomwe lalephera kulipira ngongole kwa nthawi yayitali.
Chiwongola dzanja cha pachaka pa ngongole ya boma tsopano chapitirira $ 1.2 zankhaninkhani, ndipo ikukwerabe. Izi zikutanthauza kuti ndalama zoposa 23% za msonkho wa boma zikupita kokha kukakwaniritsa chiwongola dzanja pa ngongole yomwe ilipo.
"Tafika nthawi yomwe tikubwereka ndalama kuti tilipire ngongole."
Mukapitiriza kukula ngongole mofulumira kuposa kukula kwa ndalama zomwe mumapeza, zikutanthauza kuti ngongole yanu ikuwononga ndalama zomwe mumawononga, ndipo mukufuna kupitiriza kugwiritsa ntchito ndalama nthawi yomweyo.
Pamene zimenezi zikuchitika, pakufunika kukwera kwambiri ngongole. Zimawonjezeka.
Tafika pachimake pa liwiro limenelo. Tayandikira kwambiri pamene mphamvu ya kukwera kwa liwiro ija."
Mkhalidwe wa zachuma wa boma la US wakhala ukuipiraipira pang'onopang'ono kwa zaka makumi ambiri, kotero sizodabwitsa kuti anthu ambiri akudandaula. Kwa nthawi yayitali akhala akumva za vuto la ngongole, ndipo palibe chomwe chachitika.
Komabe, tsopano yafika pachimake.
Izi zili choncho chifukwa boma la US tsopano likubwereka ndalama kuti lilipire chiwongola dzanja cha ndalama zomwe labwereka kale, monga momwe Dalio adanenera. Andale akuwonjezera ngongole zambiri kuti athetse mavuto a ngongole zakale. Zikupanga dongosolo lodzipangira lokha chiwonongeko.
Ndalama zomwe ngongole ya boma imagwiritsa ntchito polipira chiwongola dzanja cha boma ndi zapamwamba kale kuposa bajeti ya chitetezo. Zili panjira yoti zipitirire Social Security m'miyezi ikubwerayi ndikukhala ndalama zazikulu kwambiri mu bajeti ya boma.
Mwachidule, chiwongola dzanja chokwera kwambiri chakhala chiwopsezo chadzidzidzi ku boma la US lomwe lili ndi mphamvu zotha kulamulira chuma.
Kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja kukuopseza kutha kwa boma la US ndipo kukukakamiza Fed kuchepetsa chiwongola dzanja, kugula Treasuries, ndikukhazikitsa njira zina zochepetsera ndalama kuti ayesere kuwongolera ndalama zolipirira chiwongola dzanja.
Mu msika wa mabondi, pamene kufunikira kwa mabondi kukutsika, chiwongola dzanja chimakwera kuti chikope ogula.
Komabe, ngongole ya boma ndi yokwera kwambiri kotero kuti kulola chiwongola dzanja kukwera mokwanira kuti akope ogula ambiri achilengedwe kungalepheretse boma la US chifukwa cha ndalama zambiri zomwe chiwongola dzanja chimakwera.
Ponena za nkhaniyi, pamene Paul Volcker anakweza chiwongola dzanja choposa 17% kumayambiriro kwa zaka za m'ma 1980, chiŵerengero cha ngongole ya US ku GDP chinali pafupifupi 30%. Masiku ano, ili kumpoto kwa 123% ndipo ikukwera mofulumira.
Ngongole zambiri masiku ano komanso ndalama zomwe zimabwera chifukwa cha chiwongola dzanja ndizomwe zimapangitsa kuti chiwongola dzanja chikhale chokwera kwambiri; chiwongola dzanja chomwe chikukwera chingapangitse kuti boma la US lilepheretse kubweza ngongole.
Ndicho chifukwa chachikulu chomwe Purezidenti Trump wasonkhanitsa Fed ndi anthu okhulupirika omwe adzalimbikitsa kuti mitengo ya chiwongola dzanja ikhale yotsika komanso kutsatira mfundo zopezera ndalama mosavuta.
Komanso, dziko lapansi silikufuna ngongole zambiri ku US pakadali pano. Ndi nthawi yosayenera ya kufunikira kochepa chifukwa kupezeka kwa zinthu kukuchulukirachulukira.
Ngati chiwongola dzanja chokwera sichikukwanira ndipo sichingakope ogula zinthu zachilengedwe ambiri, ndipo alendo sakuchitapo kanthu, ndani angathandize pa kuchepa kwa bajeti komwe kukukulirakulira kwa madola mamiliyoni ambiri?
Bungwe lokhalo lomwe lingathe ndi Federal Reserve, lomwe limagula Treasuries ndi ndalama zomwe limapanga popanda chilolezo.
Njira yokhayo yosungira dongosololi ndi yakuti Fed isindikize ndalama zambiri. Izi zikutanthauza kukwera kwa mitengo ndi kutsika kwa ndalama. Mitengo yokwera imakakamiza boma kuti ligwiritse ntchito ndalama zambiri pazinthu zofunika, chitetezo, ndi ubwino - zomwe zimafuna kusindikiza kwambiri. Ndi njira yodzipangira yokha chiwonongeko.
"Iye adzakubwereketsa, koma iwe sudzambwereketsa; iye adzakhala mutu, ndipo iwe udzakhala mchira."
Dziko la United States, lomwe ndi Nyumba ya Israeli yamakono (Ephraim), likuyamba kukhala mchira osati mutu. Misonkho yankhanza komanso mawu otsutsana ndi NATO asokoneza mabwenzi athu ambiri akale. Nkhondo ndi Iran komanso kutsekedwa kwa Strait of Hormuz kukuwononga chuma chathu ndikufooketsa malo athu padziko lonse lapansi mwachangu kwambiri. Mtengo wokwera kwambiri wa feteleza komanso kukwera kwa mitengo ya chakudya padziko lonse lapansi kukuwonjezera kupsinjika kwa anthu wamba.
Tatchula kangapo tsopano za kusowa kwa zida pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine ndi momwe US idakhalira ndi zida zochepa ngati ikadayenera kupita kunkhondo ndi China. Kodi kusowa kumeneku kumayamba bwanji tsopano ndi kuletsa nkhondo komwe kukuchitika pano?
Apo anali nkhawa yeniyeni panthawi ya nkhondo (yomwe inayamba pa February 28, 2026) yokhudza zida zankhondo zaku US zomwe zinali kutha mofulumira kuposa momwe ankayembekezera:
- US yatentha kwambiri zaka zamtengo wapatali za ma drones ena ofunikira (makamaka zida zotetezera mpweya monga zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito polimbana ndi ma drones/ma drones aku Iran, ndi machitidwe ena owukira monga Tomahawks ndi JASSM-ER).
- Pentagon ndi akatswiri odziyimira pawokha adachenjeza kuti nkhondo yayitali ikhoza kusokoneza kuchuluka kwa zida zapamwamba (monga THAAD interceptors, ATACMS, PrSM).
- Trump mwiniwake anakana poyera zomwe ananena za kusowa kwa zida, ponena pa Truth Social kuti zida zapakati ndi zapamwamba zapakati "sizinakhalepo zapamwamba" ndipo kuti US ili ndi "zida zopanda malire" zina. Anavomereza kuti zida zapamwamba kwambiri "sizinali komwe tikufuna kukhala" koma anadzudzula Ukraine ndi mikangano ina chifukwa cha thandizo lomwe linaperekedwa kale.
Komabe, Trump ndi akuluakulu aboma nthawi zonse ankakana kuti kusowa kwa zida kunapangitsa kuti pakhale kuletsa ntchito. Iwo ananenetsa kuti US ili ndi zinthu zokwanira zoti ipitirire ngati pakufunika ndipo anali kuwonjezera kupanga (kuphatikizapo kulamula makontrakitala achitetezo kuti awonjezere zokolola kanayi nthawi zina).
"Iye adzakukongoletsani, koma inu musamkongoze; iye adzakhala mutu, ndipo inu mudzakhala mchira." (Deuteronomo 28:44)
Levitiko 26 ndi chaputala chomveka bwino m'Baibulo lonse chomwe chimafotokoza zomwe zimachitika pamene mtundu (kapena anthu) ukukana kusunga Masabata a Mulungu, zaka za Sabata, ndi kuzungulira kwa Jubilee. Mavesi ofunikira omwe akukwaniritsidwa pakali pano:
-
Levitiko 26: 14-16 – “Koma ngati simudzamvera Ine… ndidzakutumizirani mantha, matenda owononga ndi malungo… mudzabzala mbewu zanu pachabe, chifukwa adani anu adzazidya.”
-
Levitiko 26: 19-20 – “Ndidzathyola kudzikuza kwa mphamvu yanu… mphamvu yanu idzagwiritsidwa ntchito pachabe; pakuti dziko lanu silidzapereka zipatso zake, ndi mitengo ya m’dziko sidzabala zipatso zake.”
-
Levitiko 26: 26 “Ndikathyola mkate wanu… akazi khumi adzaphika mkate wanu mu uvuni umodzi, ndipo adzakubwezerani mkate wanu ndi kulemera kwake, ndipo mudzadya koma simudzakhuta.”
Izi si matemberero auzimu osamveka bwino. Ndi a zachuma, ulimi, ndi asilikali.
- Mtengo wokwera kwambiri wa feteleza (wogwirizana mwachindunji ndi mitengo yamagetsi yomwe idabwera chifukwa cha nkhondo ya Iran komanso kusokonekera kwa Hormuz) ukuwonetsa kale kuchepa kwa zokolola padziko lonse lapansi.
- Mitengo ya chakudya ikukwera.
- Ngongole yaikulu ndi chiwongola dzanja zikuswa "kunyada kwa mphamvu zathu."
- Nkhondo ndi Iran ikuwononga madola mabiliyoni ambiri pomwe tikubwereka kale kuti tilipire chiwongola dzanja pa ngongole zakale.
Zonsezi zikuchitika chifukwa Nyumba ya Israeli yamakono (United States ndi mitundu yochokera kwa Efraimu wakale ndi Manase) yakana kalendala ndi malamulo a Sabata omwe Mulungu adapereka kuti adziwitse anthu ake ndi kuwadalitsa.
Izi si zochitika zosiyana. Ndi kukwaniritsidwa mwachindunji kwa matemberero omwewo aulosi:
- Kuzungulira kwa ngongole ndi mawu azachuma akuti "udzakhala mchira."
- Nkhondo ndi Iran ndi chiwopsezo cha Hormuz ndi njira yankhondo/yachuma yowonetsera adani omwe akuwononga mphamvu zathu.
- Kukwera kwa mitengo ya feteleza ndi chakudya ndi umboni wa ulimi wa nthaka yosapereka zipatso zake.
Zonsezi zikuchulukirachulukira chifukwa tili m'zaka zomaliza za nyengo ya Sabata yomwe ilipo ndipo tikuyandikira nyengo yotsatira ya Jubilee. Tili m'masiku/zaka 10 zomaliza za Awe ndi zaka 8 zokha mpaka Satana atatsekedwa. Mulungu akugwiritsa ntchito zochitikazi kuti atikope chidwi chathu ndikukwaniritsa mawu Ake.
Ngakhale mu Levitiko 26, Mulungu akulonjeza kubwezeretsedwa ngati anthu ake alapa ndi kubwerera ku njira zake:
"Koma ngati adzavomereza zolakwa zawo ... pamenepo ndidzakumbukira pangano langa ndi Yakobo, ndi pangano langa ndi Isake, ndi pangano langa ndi Abrahamu ndidzakumbukira ..." (Levitiko 26:40-42)
Matemberero ndi enieni. Alipo. Koma ndi chiitano cha kulapa. Ndicho chifukwa chake tikupitiriza kuphunzitsa kalendala ya m'Baibulo, zaka za Sabata, ndi nyengo ya Jubilee. Ndicho chifukwa chake tikukulimbikitsani kuti muyambe kuwerengera, kusunga Sabata, ndikubwerera ku Torah. Mulungu yemweyo amene amalola matemberero awa ndi Mulungu yemweyo amene adzateteza ndi kudalitsa iwo amene abwerera kwa Iye.
Alimi aku US Akukumana ndi Vuto Logula Feteleza
Alimi aku US Akukumana ndi Vuto Lotsika Mtengo wa Feteleza Nyengo Yobzala ya 2026 Isanafike
Kafukufuku watsopano wa dziko lonse wochokera ku ndi Bungwe la American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) akuwonetsa kupsinjika kwakukulu pa ulimi wa ku US: pafupifupi 70% ya alimi anena kuti sangakwanitse kugula feteleza wonse womwe akufunikira chaka cha 2026.
The kafukufuku, wochitidwa pa Epulo 3–11, 2026, ndi anthu oposa 5,700 omwe adayankha kuchokera m'maboma onse 50 ndi Puerto Rico, akuwonetsa momwe kukwera kwambiri kwa mitengo ya feteleza kukukakamiza zisankho zovuta panthawi yobzala masika. Kusiyana kwa madera kuli kwakukulu: 78% ya alimi akumwera, 69% kumpoto chakum'mawa, 66% kumadzulo, ndi 48% ku Midwest akuti sangathe kupeza feteleza yonse yofunikira.
Mitengo ya feteleza, makamaka pazinthu za nayitrogeni monga urea, Zawonjezeka m'miyezi yaposachedwa chifukwa cha kusokonekera kwa ndale chifukwa cha mkangano ndi Iran komanso mavuto okhudza sitima zapamadzi ku Khwalala la Hormuz — njira yofunika kwambiri pa malonda a feteleza padziko lonse lapansi pafupifupi gawo limodzi mwa magawo atatu. Opanga feteleza ochokera ku Gulf amapereka gawo lalikulu la urea ndi ammonia padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo zoletsa zomwe zachitika chifukwa cha kupezeka kwa feteleza zapangitsa kuti mitengo ikwere ndi 25–40% kapena kuposerapo m'misika yayikulu.
Kukwera kwa mitengo yamafuta kukuwonjezera mavutowa, chifukwa alimi ambiri akukumananso ndi ndalama zambiri zogulira dizilo ndi zinthu zina. Izi zikuchitika chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa mitengo ya ulimi komanso mitengo yotsika ya zinthu zina zomwe mbewu zina zimagula.Zotsatira Zomwe Zingachitike pa Zokolola ndi Kupereka ChakudyaAlimi ambiri akuyankha ndi:
- Kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwa feteleza
- Kusintha ku mbewu zosadya feteleza wambiri (monga kubzala soya wambiri ndi chimanga chochepa)
- Kuchepetsa maekala obzalidwa nthawi zina
The Lipoti la USDA la Zomera Zomwe Zikuyembekezeka (yotulutsidwa pa Marichi 31, 2026) ikuwonetsa kale zolinga zogulira maekala 95.3 miliyoni a chimanga (otsika ndi 3% poyerekeza ndi 2025) ndi kuwonjezeka kwa maekala a soya, zomwe zikuwonetsa zenizeni zachuma izi.
Akatswiri akuchenjeza kuti kugwiritsa ntchito feteleza mochepa kungachepetse zokolola mu 2026, zomwe zingayambitse kutsika kwa zinthu zomwe zimaperekedwa komanso kukwera kwa mitengo ya chakudya kumapeto kwa chaka chino komanso mu 2027. Ngakhale kuti dziko la US lili ndi mphamvu zopanga feteleza zina m'dzikolo, zizindikiro zamitengo yapadziko lonse komanso kudalira kwambiri zinthu zochokera kunja kwa dzikolo kwa ena zimakhudzabe alimi aku America.Si ntchito zonse zomwe zimakhudzidwa mofanana — omwe adagula kale kapena kutseka zinthu kale ali pamalo abwino, koma opanga ambiri ang'onoang'ono kapena omwe amagula pambuyo pake akumva kuvutika kwambiri.Zopezeka Kuti Muwerenge Mowonjezereka
- Nkhani Yotulutsidwa ndi American Farm Bureau Federation: Kafukufuku Wadziko Lonse: Alimi Ambiri Sangakwanitse Kugula Feteleza
fb.org
- Kusanthula kwa Intel kwa Msika wa AFBF: Kafukufuku wa Farm Bureau Wavumbulutsa Zotsatira Zenizeni za Kupezeka kwa Feteleza ndi Mtengo Wake
fb.org
- Lipoti la USDA Lokhudza Kubzala Mitengo (Marichi 2026): PDF Yathunthu
Izi zikusonyeza kuti maunyolo ogulitsa padziko lonse lapansi ndi osatetezeka ku zochitika zandale komanso mavuto omwe akupitilira mu ulimi wa ku US. Alimi, opanga mfundo, ndi magulu amakampani akupitilizabe kuyang'anira zomwe zikuchitika pamene nyengo yobzala ikupita patsogolo.
Ndiphatikiza nkhaniyi yonse kwa inu amene mukufuna kuiwerenga.
Kafukufuku wa Farm Bureau Wavumbulutsa Zotsatira Zenizeni za Kupezeka kwa Feteleza ndi Mtengo Wake
Zitengera Zapadera
- Mitengo ya feteleza isanakhazikitsidwe inali yosiyana kwambiri malinga ndi chigawo, ndi chabe 19% ya opanga akumwera malipoti oti feteleza wagulidwa nyengo isanafike, poyerekeza ndi 30% kumpoto chakum'mawa, 31% kumadzulo ndi 67% ku Midwest, kuwonetsa kusiyana kwa nthawi yopangira zisankho ndi kukhudzidwa ndi kukwera kwa mitengo kwaposachedwa.
- Mavuto otchipa okhudzana ndi feteleza ndi omwe ali ovuta kwambiri ku South ndi Kumpoto chakum'mawa koma nkhawa ikadalipo kwa alimi m'dziko lonselo madera onse. kuzungulira 70% kapena poyankha lipoti lokhala osakwanitsa kugula feteleza wonse womwe akufunad.
- Mitengo ya dizilo ya m'mafamu yakwera ndi 46% kuyambira kumapeto kwa February, kukweza ndalama za ntchito zakumunda, kunyamula feteleza ndi kuthirira nthawi zonse ziwiri zobzala ndi zokulira.
- Alimi pafupifupi asanu ndi mmodzi mwa khumi aliwonse anena kuti ndalama zawo zikuchepa, kusinkhasinkha kukwera kwa mtengo wa feteleza ndi mafuta panthawi yobzala masika ndi kugogomezera kufunika kwachangu kwa thandizo lachuma mwachangu kuti zipata za m'mafamu zisamatseguke.
Kukwera kwa ndalama zogulira zinthu zomwe zikugwirizana ndi mkangano ku Middle East kukuwonjezera mavuto pa chuma cha ulimi chomwe chili kale chovuta. Kuti timvetse bwino momwe kusokonekera kwa msika wa feteleza padziko lonse lapansi kukukhudzira opanga panthawi yobzala masika, bungwe la American Farm Bureau Federation linachita Kafukufuku Wopezeka kwa Feteleza kwa alimi ndi alimi m'dziko lonselo. Alimi oposa 5,700 adayankha kafukufukuyu, womwe unachitika kuyambira pa 3 Epulo mpaka 11 Epulo.
Kusiyana kwa Zigawo Kumasonyeza Kusakaniza kwa Mbeu ndi Kupezeka kwa Zomera
Mayankho a kafukufuku akusonyeza kuti kutsekedwa kwa Strait of Hormuz kukukhudza madera osiyanasiyana ku United States chifukwa njira zopangira mbewu ndi zosowa za feteleza zimasiyana.
Alimi aku Midwest - omwe nthawi zambiri amadalira kusinthana kwa chimanga ndi soya - adanenanso kuti kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe amalembetsa kusanachitike, ndipo 67% amapeza feteleza koyambirira kwa nyengo. Popeza kusinthana kwa mbewu kumeneku, kulembetsa kusanachitike kumakhala kofala kwambiri ku Midwest, komwe kufunikira feteleza nthawi zambiri kumakhala kwakukulu ndipo zisankho zogula nthawi zambiri zimapangidwa nthawi yayitali asanabzale. Zotsatira zake, gawo lalikulu la alimi aku Midwest adanenanso kuti adatha kupeza zinthu zomwe akufuna mitengo isanakwere kwambiri posachedwapa. Ngakhale kuti mitengo yolembetsa isanakwane, pafupifupi m'modzi mwa atatu mwa alimi aku Midwest adanenanso kuti akuyamba nyengoyi osakwaniritsa zosowa zawo zonse za feteleza.
Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, opanga m'madera ena amakonda kugula feteleza pafupi ndi nthawi yomwe akugwiritsa ntchito, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti mitengo isinthe nthawi ya nyengo ikafika. Alimi 19 pa 100 akumwera adalemba feteleza pasadakhale chaka chino. Alimi akumwera nthawi zambiri amalima mbewu monga thonje, mpunga, soya, chimanga ndi mtedza zomwe zimadalira kwambiri michere yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito ndipo zimatha kukhala zovuta kwambiri pakusintha kwa mitengo ya feteleza. Mitengo yolembera feteleza isanakwane ndi yochepa m'madera ena, pomwe alimi 30% okha kumpoto chakum'mawa ndi 31% kumadzulo amapeza feteleza nyengo isanafike.
Mafamu ang'onoang'ono adanena kuti kuchuluka kwa feteleza kulibe kotsika kwambiri poyerekeza ndi ntchito zazikulu m'chigawo chilichonse, zomwe zikusonyeza kuti mitengo yaposachedwa yasintha kwambiri panthawi yogula masika. Ku Midwest, 49% ya mafamu okhala ndi maekala 1-499 adalembetsa feteleza, poyerekeza ndi 77% ya mafamu okhala ndi maekala 500-2,499 ndi 76% ya mafamu okhala ndi maekala 2,500+. Kusiyanaku kunali kwakukulu kwambiri kumpoto chakum'mawa, komwe 24% yokha ya mafamu ang'onoang'ono kwambiri adalembetsa feteleza, poyerekeza ndi 35% ya mafamu apakatikati ndi 67% ya ntchito zazikulu kwambiri. Machitidwe ofanana adawonekera Kum'mwera (16% ya maekala 1-499 poyerekeza ndi 28% ya maekala 2,500+) ndi Kumadzulo (25% motsutsana ndi 54%). Chifukwa mafamu ang'onoang'ono ali ndi mwayi wochepa wopeza feteleza nyengo isanafike, amakhala pachiwopsezo chachikulu cha kukwera kwa mitengo mkati mwa nyengo, zomwe zingapangitse kuti zikhale zovuta kulipira mitengo yonse yogwiritsidwa ntchito ndikuwonjezera chiopsezo cha zokolola zochepa komanso malire ochepa mu 2026.
Alimi m'chigawo cha Kum'mwera adanena kuti ndi vuto lalikulu kupeza feteleza, pomwe 78% sangakwanitse kugula zonse zofunika nyengo ino. Alimi kumpoto chakum'mawa ndi kumadzulo adanenanso kuti ali ndi mavuto akulu, pomwe 69% ndi 66%, motsatana, sangakwanitse kugula feteleza yonse yofunikira, poyerekeza ndi 48% ku Midwest. Alimi akalephera kugula feteleza yonse, amatha kuchepetsa kugwiritsa ntchito michere kapena kusintha zisankho za malo olima, zomwe zonse zimawonjezera chiopsezo cha zokolola zochepa komanso kuchepa kwa kuthekera kopanga mu chaka cha 2026.
Kukhudzidwa kwa feteleza ndi katundu
Khalidwe la kusungitsa mbewu lisanakwane limasiyana kwambiri malinga ndi zinthu zomwe zagulitsidwa. Pafupifupi theka la opanga soya adanena kuti agulitsa feteleza asanakwane (49%), kutsatiridwa ndi alimi a balere (47%), chimanga (44%), ndi tirigu (42%). Kutsika kwa chiwerengero cha kusungitsa mbewu zisanakwane pakati pa thonje (13%) ndi mtedza (9%), mbewu zonse zomwe zimalimidwa kum'mwera kwa US, zikusonyeza kuti alimi akukumana ndi vuto la kusinthasintha kwa mitengo mkati mwa nyengo.
Nkhawa zoti zinthu zingakwanitse kugula zimakhala zokwera kwambiri zikayang'aniridwa ndi zinthu zogulitsidwa. Oposa 80% a opanga mpunga, thonje ndi mtedza adanena kuti sangakwanitse kugula feteleza yonse yofunikira, zomwe zikusonyeza kuti njira zopangira izi sizikugwirizana ndi kukwera mtengo kwa zinthu zomwe zikugwiritsidwa ntchito. Oposa theka la zinthu zonse adanena kuti sangakwanitse kugula feteleza yonse chaka chino.
Thanzi la Zachuma la Zaulimi Likupitirirabe Kupsinjika
Malinga ndi kafukufukuyu, 94% ya omwe adafunsidwa adati vuto lawo la zachuma lakhala likuipiraipira kapena silinasinthe kuyambira chaka chatha, pomwe 6% yokha ndi yomwe idanena kuti zinthu zikuyenda bwino. Mavuto azachuma omwe amabwera munyengo yolimayi adakhudza zisankho zobzala ndi kugula, ndipo chifukwa chake, kusintha kwa mitengo ya feteleza ndi mafuta pamsika kudakhudza alimi mdziko lonselo m'njira zosiyanasiyana - monga momwe kafukufuku wathu watsimikizira.
Zosankha zobzala m'masika zimadalira kwambiri kupeza feteleza ndi mafuta a dizilo, zomwe zonse zakhudzidwa ndi zoopsa zandale zomwe zasokoneza misika yapadziko lonse. Kuyambira pamene mikangano inakula ku Middle East, mitengo ya feteleza ya nayitrogeni yakwera ndi kupitirira 30%, pomwe mitengo ya mafuta ndi feteleza pamodzi yakwera pafupifupi 20% mpaka 40%. Mitengo ya urea yakwera ndi 47% kuyambira kumapeto kwa February, zomwe zikuwonetsa kukwera kwakukulu kwa mtengo wa urea mwezi uliwonse. Kukwera kumeneku kukuchitika pamene opanga ambiri anali kale ndi mavuto. malire ochepa kwa zaka zambiri zotsatizana.
Mafuta ndi ndalama zazikulu zogwirira ntchito nthawi yobzala masika, zomwe zimakhudza magwiridwe antchito a makina, mayendedwe a feteleza ndi ulimi wothirira. Pamene misika yamagetsi idakula kwambiri pambuyo poti kutsekedwa kwa Strait of Hormuz, mitengo ya dizilo ndi mafuta idakwera kwambiri, zomwe zidakweza ndalama pafupifupi gawo lililonse lopanga. Mitengo ya dizilo ya m'minda yakwera ndi 46% kuyambira kumapeto kwa February, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa mitengo ya dizilo mwezi uliwonse m'nthawi yonseyi.
Mitengo yokwera yamagetsi imawonjezeranso mtengo wopanga feteleza wa nayitrogeni, womwe umadalira kwambiri gasi wachilengedwe ngati chakudya. Pamodzi, kukwera kumeneku kwa ndalama zogulira mafuta ndi feteleza kumathandiza kufotokoza chifukwa chake alimi opitilira 90% omwe adafunsidwa adanena kuti mavuto awo azachuma aipiraipira kapena akhalabe chimodzimodzi kuyambira chaka chatha.
pansi Line
Misika yamafuta ndi feteleza ndi yosakhazikika kwambiri kuyambira pomwe Russia idalowa mu Ukraine, ndipo nthawi ya kusokonekera kwa zinthu ku Middle East ndi kutsekedwa kwa Strait of Hormuz pamapeto pake zidzasankha ndalama zogulira ulimi m'miyezi ikubwerayi - kusintha komwe kumakhudza kwambiri phindu la ulimi chifukwa cha mitengo yotsika ya mbewu. Ngakhale kuti United States ndiye dziko lalikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi lomwe limapanga mafuta ndi gasi wachilengedwe, misika yamafuta ndi feteleza ikupitilizabe kugwirizana padziko lonse lapansi.
Mayiko omwe ali ndi vuto la kusakhazikika m'dziko ndi m'madera ozungulira Persian Gulf imapanga pafupifupi 49% ya urea yomwe imatumizidwa kunja padziko lonse lapansi. ndipo pafupifupi 30% ya ammonia yomwe imatumizidwa kunja padziko lonse lapansi. Popeza zinthuzi ndizofunikira kwambiri pakupanga mbewu, kusokonezeka m'derali kungakhudze kupezeka kwa feteleza ndi mitengo kutali ndi Middle East.
Zotsatira za kafukufuku zikusonyeza kuti alimi ambiri akusintha kale kugula feteleza ndi zisankho zogwiritsira ntchito feteleza poyankha kukwera kwa mitengo. Ngati kusokonekera kukupitirira, kusinthaku kungakhudze zokolola, zisankho za malo ndi kuthekera konse kopanga mu chaka cha 2026. Mwayi woyamba wowona momwe alimi adayankhira udzabwera ndi lipoti la USDA la May World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), kutsatiridwa ndi lipoti la June 30 Acreage.
Chitetezo cha Kupanga Chakudya M'nyumba Ndi Chitetezo cha Dziko
Boma lalengeza mapulani othandizira kuonetsetsa kuti kutumiza mafuta kudutsa bwino m'misewu yofunika kwambiri yotumizira katundu padziko lonse lapansi. Kukulitsa chitetezochi kuti chiphatikizepo zinthu zothandizira ulimi monga feteleza ziyeneranso kukhala patsogolo poganizira kufunika kwawo pa ulimi wa chakudya ndi chitetezo cha dziko.
Popeza mavuto azachuma akuipiraipira pafamuyi, thandizo likukulirakulira kuti alimi alandire thandizo lina lazachuma pamalamulo aliwonse omwe akubwera kuti athandize kuthetsa mavuto azachuma omwe akuchitika chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo ya feteleza ndi mafuta posachedwapa.
Kafukufuku Wadziko Lonse: Alimi Ambiri Sangakwanitse Kugula Feteleza
Alimi ambiri aku America omwe adayankha kafukufuku wa dziko lonselo akuti sangakwanitse kugula feteleza wokwanira kuti akwaniritse chaka chonse. Chiwerengero cha omwe adagula feteleza chimasintha kwambiri malinga ndi madera.
Kafukufukuyu, wochitidwa ndi American Farm Bureau Federation pa Epulo 3-11, akusonyeza kuti 70% ya omwe adafunsidwa akuti feteleza ndi wokwera mtengo kwambiri kotero kuti sadzatha kugula feteleza yonse yomwe akufuna.
Alimi oposa 5,700, onse mamembala a Farm Bureau ndi omwe si mamembala, ochokera m'boma lililonse ndi ku Puerto Rico adachita kafukufukuyu. Akatswiri azachuma a Farm Bureau adasanthula zotsatira zake mu Market Intel yaposachedwa.
Kusanthulaku kukuwonetsa kuti pafupifupi alimi 8 mwa 10 kum'mwera kwa US akuti sangakwanitse kugula zinthu zonse zofunika chaka chino, kutsatiridwa ndi alimi akumpoto ndi akumadzulo omwe ali ndi 69% ndi 66% motsatana, poyerekeza ndi alimi akumpoto chakumadzulo 48%.
Alimi 19% okha ku South ndi omwe adalembetsa kale kugula feteleza nyengo yobzala isanafike. Kumpoto chakum'mawa, 30% yokha ya alimi adalembetsa kale, kutsatiridwa ndi 31% ku West, ndi 67% ku Midwest. Ngakhale kuti chiwerengero cha alimi omwe adalembetsa kale chinali chokwera, pafupifupi m'modzi mwa atatu aliwonse ku Midwest adanenanso kuti akuyamba nyengoyi osakwaniritsa zosowa zawo zonse za feteleza.
Mkangano womwe unachitika ku Middle East wapangitsa kuti mitengo ya feteleza ndi mafuta ikwere kwambiri. Kutsekedwa kwa Strait of Hormuz kukulepheretsa kuti feteleza ndi mafuta osakonzedwa bwino afike pamsika wapadziko lonse lapansi, zomwe zikuika chiopsezo cha kupezeka kwa feteleza padziko lonse lapansi.
"Zisankho zobzala masika zimadalira kwambiri kupeza feteleza ndi mafuta a dizilo, zomwe zonse zakhudzidwa ndi zoopsa zandale zomwe zasokoneza misika yapadziko lonse," ikutero Market Intel. "Kuyambira pamene kusamvana ku Middle East kunakula, mitengo ya feteleza ya nayitrogeni yakwera ndi oposa 30%, pomwe mitengo yamafuta ndi feteleza pamodzi yakwera pafupifupi 20% mpaka 40%. Mitengo ya urea yakwera ndi 47% kuyambira kumapeto kwa February, zomwe zikuwonetsa kukwera kwakukulu kwa mtengo wa urea pamwezi. Kukwera kumeneku kukuchitika pamene opanga ambiri anali kale ndi mavuto ochepa kwa zaka zambiri zotsatizana."
Alimi ambiri omwe adafunsidwa adati asiya kugwiritsa ntchito feteleza masika ano poganiza kuti mitengo idzabwerera pamlingo wotsika mtengo kumapeto kwa nyengo yolima.
Purezidenti wa AFBF, Zippy Duvall, anati, "Kukwera mtengo kwa mafuta ndi feteleza kukubweretsa mavuto azachuma kwa alimi omwe avutika kale ndi kutayika kwa zaka zambiri. Popanda feteleza wofunikira, tidzakumana ndi zokolola zochepa ndipo alimi ena adzachepetsa maekala onse, zomwe zidzakhudza chakudya ndi chakudya. Ndikoyambirira kwambiri kudziwa momwe izi zidzakhudzire kupezeka kwa chakudya ndi mitengo mtsogolo, koma ndi chenjezo lomwe tagawana ndi atsogoleri ku Washington. Tikuyembekezera kugwira nawo ntchito kuti tipeze mayankho kuti alimi apitirize kudyetsa mabanja ku America konse."
Malinga ndi kafukufukuyu, 94% ya omwe adafunsidwa adati mavuto awo azachuma aipiraipira kapena akhalabe chimodzimodzi kuyambira chaka chatha, pomwe 6% yokha ndi omwe adanena kuti zinthu zikuyenda bwino.
Pezani zotsatira zambiri za kafukufuku ndipo werengani zonse za Market Intel Pano.
Cuba ndi Philippines Zili Pamavuto
Mkhalidwe wa Mafuta ndi Magetsi ku Philippines - Zosintha za Epulo 2026
Dziko la Philippines lili pamavuto aakulu chifukwa cha nkhondo yomwe ikupitilira ku Iran komanso kusokonekera kwa mafuta kudzera mu Strait of Hormuz. Umu ndi momwe zinthu zilili panopa potengera zomwe boma lanena komanso malipoti odalirika kuyambira pakati pa Epulo 2026. Mkhalidwe wa Mafuta (Mafuta / Dizilo / Petroli) Dziko la Philippines limagula mafuta okwana 90–95% kuchokera kumayiko ena, ndipo ambiri amachokera ku Middle East. Kusokonezeka kwa Hormuz kwakhudza kwambiri dzikolo.
- Zosungidwa zomwe zilipo panopa (kuyambira kumayambiriro kwa Epulo 2026):
- Petroli: ~masiku 53–57 akupereka
- Dizilo: ~masiku 46–50 operekera
- Mafuta a jet: ~masiku 39
- Avereji yonse: ~ masiku 45–50 a mafuta a dziko lonse
- Zochita za boma:
- On March 24, 2026Purezidenti Marcos adalengeza kuti vuto la mphamvu la dziko—dziko loyamba padziko lonse lapansi kuchita zimenezi poyankha nkhondo ya Iran.
- Boma lapeza katundu wotumizidwa mwadzidzidzi (monga migolo 329,000 ya dizilo kuchokera ku Malaysia mu Epulo ndipo lachita mgwirizano ndi Russia, China, India, Japan, ndi ena).
- Amalolanso kugwiritsa ntchito kwakanthawi mafuta onyansa (Euro-II) kuti achepetse katundu ndi kutulutsa ndalama kuchokera ku thumba la gasi la Malampaya.
- Kodi zatsala pang'ono kutha?
- Pa kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe akugwiritsa ntchito pakali pano, dziko la Philippines lapeza pafupifupi Masabata a 6-7 mafuta otsala ngati palibe mafuta atsopano ochokera kunja omwe afika.
- Ndi kugula zinthu mwadzidzidzi komwe kukupitilira, akuluakulu aboma akuti akhoza kuwonjezera zinthuzo kuti zigwiritsidwe ntchito Juni-Julayi 2026, koma mitengo yakwera kale kawiri kapena katatu nthawi zina (dizilo yafika pa P110–P170 pa lita m'masabata aposachedwa).
- Kusowa kwa mafuta kukuonekera kale m'madera ena akutali komanso m'malo enaake amafuta (makamaka dizilo yoyendera ndi majenereta).
Mtengo wokwera pa mafuta: Sikuti patsala masiku ambiri kuti kugwa konse kuchitike, koma zolimba kwambiriPopanda kutumiza zinthu kunja, kusowa kwakukulu kungayambe kumapeto kwa Meyi mpaka kumayambiriro kwa Juni 2026Boma likukakamira kwambiri ndipo lalengeza zadzidzidzi kuti liyambe kupereka zinthu zofunika kwambiri.
Mkhalidwe wa Magetsi: Dziko la Philippines ndi osati pafupi kutha kwa magetsi mdziko lonse chifukwa cha vuto la mafuta.
- Ndi pafupifupi 1% yokha ya magetsi mdziko muno omwe amapangidwa kuchokera ku mafakitale opangira mafuta.
- Ambiri amachokera ku malasha (~60–62%) ndi gasi wachilengedwe (wochokera kumunda wa Malampaya, ~14%).
- Malasha amatumizidwa kuchokera ku Indonesia ndi Australia (osakhudzidwa ndi Hormuz).
- Kupeza gasi wachilengedwe ku Malampaya posachedwapa kukuyembekezeka kuwonjezera kuchuluka kwa gasi ndikubweretsa gasi watsopano pa intaneti pofika kotala lachinayi la 2026.
Mawonekedwe apano:
- Kupereka magetsi kwa kotala lachiwiri la 2026 (Epulo-Juni) kukuyembekezeka kukhala zokwanira koma zofooka.
- Madera osungira ndi ochepa, makamaka mu gridi ya Visayas.
- Pali chiopsezo cha kuuma kwa dayamondi m'deralo chifukwa cha kuzima kwa zomera, kufunikira kwakukulu kwa chilimwe, ndi zoletsa kutumiza kwa zomera — koma osati makamaka chifukwa cha vuto la mafuta.
- Mitengo yamagetsi ikukwera (mpaka 16–20% ikuyembekezeka mu Epulo/Meyi) chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo yoyendera malasha komanso kufunikira kwa magetsi.
Mfundo yaikulu pa magetsi: Dzikoli ndi osati magetsi atsala pang'ono kutha. Kusowa kwa magetsi kungachuluke m'malo omwe ali pachiwopsezo chachikulu (makamaka zilumba zomwe sizili ndi magetsi amagetsi omwe amadalira majenereta a dizilo), koma magetsi amagetsi ayenera kukhala ndi magetsi amagetsi ndi gasi omwe alipo. Vuto lalikulu lomwe limabwera nthawi yomweyo ndilakuti magetsi amagetsi ndi magetsi amagetsi. mabilu amagetsi okwera ndi kusowa kwa zinthu komwe kungachitike m'deralo.
Chidule cha Zonse za ku Philippines (Epulo 2026)
- mafuta: Kulimbitsa thupi mwachangu komanso kofunikira — Masabata a 6-7 ya zosungidwa pamitengo yamakono, ndi nthawi yogula zinthu zotumizidwa kunja mwadzidzidzi mpaka June/July. Mitengo yakwera kale kwambiri.
- magetsi: Zingathe kuthetsedwa pakadali pano, koma n'zofooka chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo komanso chiopsezo cha kuwonongeka kwa nthaka m'deralo. Si nkhani yokhudza kugwa kwa nthaka m'dziko lonselo.
Dziko la Philippines ndi limodzi mwa mayiko aku Asia ovutitsidwa kwambiri ku chisokonezo cha Hormuz chifukwa chodalira kwambiri mafuta ochokera ku Middle East. Boma likuyesetsa kupeza zinthu zina, koma vutoli likadali lovuta. Kodi mukufuna kudziwa zambiri (monga momwe zinthu zilili pa mayendedwe, ulimi, kapena moyo watsiku ndi tsiku) kapena kusintha zina ndi zina? Mundidziwitse.
Malasha amatumizidwa kuchokera ku Indonesia ndi Australia (osakhudzidwa ndi Hormuz).
Koma kodi ali ndi mafuta oti zombo zibweretse malasha ku Philippines?
Inde — mafuta a sitima zomwe zimanyamula malasha ku Philippines ndi vuto lenileni komanso lomwe likukula pakali pano. Yankho lalifupi: Malasha okha ndi omwe sanatsekedwe mwachindunji malinga ndi momwe zinthu zilili ku Hormuz (makamaka zimachokera ku Indonesia ndi Australia), koma mafuta a m'bunker (mafuta ofanana ndi dizilo omwe amayendetsa zombo zonyamula katundu) is zakhudzidwa kwambiri. Ndalama zotumizira katundu zakwera, ndipo kupezeka kwake kukuchepa. Izi zikuyambitsa kale kuchedwa, mitengo yokwera ya katundu, komanso chiopsezo cha kuchepa kwa malasha m'masabata/miyezi ikubwerayi.
Mkhalidwe Wapano (kuyambira pakati pa Epulo 2026) Njira Yoperekera Malasha
- Dziko la Philippines limatumiza malasha ake ambiri kuchokera ku Indonesia (kampani yaikulu kwambiri yotumiza kunja padziko lonse) ndi Australia.
- Njira izi zimachita osati kudutsa mu Strait of Hormuz, kotero kuti malasha enieni sangatsekedwe mwachindunji.
- Indonesia yatsimikizira poyera dziko la Philippines kuti lipitiliza kutumiza malasha kunja (zomwe zatsimikiziridwa mu lipoti la Marichi 2026).
Vuto Lenileni: Mafuta Osungira Sitima
- Sitima zonyamula katundu zayaka mafuta a m'nyanja (mafuta a m'nyumba), omwe ndi mafuta oyeretsedwa bwino.
- Vuto la Hormuz lasokoneza kwambiri mafuta oyeretsedwa ku Asia.
- Malo akuluakulu osungiramo zinthu ku Asia (Singapore, South Korea, Japan, China) akukumana ndi mavuto kusowa kwa zinthu ndi kukwera kwa mitengo chifukwa gawo lalikulu la unyolo wawo woperekera mafuta woyengedwa bwino unali wolumikizidwa ndi mafuta osakonzedwa bwino aku Middle East ndi mafuta oyengedwa bwino.
- Mizere yotumizira katundu ikupereka lipoti kale:
- Mitengo ya mafuta m'malo osungira mafuta yakwera kwambiri (ena akwera ndi 50–100%+ kuyambira mu February).
- Makampani ena ogulitsa zinthu akukakamiza ndalama zowonjezera za bunker pa malasha ndi katundu wina wopita ku Philippines.
- Kuchedwa ndi kuchepa kwa nthawi yoyendera sitima zikuyamba kuoneka chifukwa ogwira ntchito akusunga mafuta kapena akusinthira njira.
Zotsatira za Kutumiza Malasha ku Philippines
- Kwa kanthawi kochepa (masabata awiri mpaka asanu ndi limodzi otsatira): Kutumiza malasha kukufikirabe, koma pa mtengo wokwera ndipo chifukwa cha kuchedwa pang'ono. Boma lapeza mafuta ochokera kunja mwadzidzidzi kuti magawo ofunikira apitirize kugwira ntchito, koma mafuta a m'nyanja akadali ochepa.
- Nthawi Yapakati (Meyi–Julayi 2026)Ngati kutsekeredwa kwa Hormuz kukupitirira kapena kuipiraipira, makampani oyendetsa sitima angachepetse maulendo opita ku Philippines kapena kupereka ndalama zambiri. Izi zingayambitse kusowa kwa malasha m'mafakitale amagetsi, kukweza mitengo yamagetsi komanso kuopseza kutayika kwa magetsi.
- Dziko la Philippines lalengeza kale kuti vuto la mphamvu la dziko (Marichi 24, 2026) chifukwa cha kufooka kumeneku.
pansi Line
- Malasha okha: Sanaletsedwe ndi Hormuz.
- Zombo zonyamula malashaInde — amakhudzidwa ndi Kusowa kwa mafuta m'nyumba ya bunker ndi kukwera kwa mitengoUwu ndiye ulalo wofooka.
- Zotsatira zake ndi kukwera mtengo kwa magetsi komanso kukwera kwa magetsi omwe amapangidwa ndi malasha (omwe amapanga ~60% ya magetsi mdziko muno).
Boma likuyesetsa kupeza mafuta ena ndipo lalola kugwiritsa ntchito kwakanthawi mafuta onyansa (Euro-II) kuti achepetse ndalama zomwe zasungidwa, koma vutoli likadali loopsa.
Cuba Yopanda Magetsi ndi Madzi
Kodi anthu aku Cuba akulimbana bwanji ndi magetsi opanda (kapena ochepa kwambiri) mu Epulo 2026? Cuba ili pakati pa mavuto aakulu kwambiri a mphamvu m'zaka makumi ambiri. Pofika pakati pa Epulo 2026, gridi yamagetsi ya dziko lonse yakhala yofooka kwambiri. Kuzimitsidwa kwa magetsi kwachepa. osati nthawi zina — ndi zenizeni za tsiku ndi tsiku kwa anthu ambiri pachilumbachi omwe ali pafupifupi 11 miliyoni.
Mkhalidwe Wamakono (Epulo 2026)
- Avereji ya kuzima kwa magetsi tsiku lililonse 16-20+ maola m'madera ambiri, ndipo madera ena amakhala ndi vuto la kutsekedwa kwa magetsi pafupifupi masiku onse.
- Kufunika kwa magetsi ochuluka kwambiri kuli pafupifupi 3,000 MW, koma kupanga kwenikweni nthawi zambiri kumakhala kochepera 1,300 MW — kusowa kwakukulu kwa magetsi.
- Vutoli limayendetsedwa ndi:
- Malo opangira magetsi okalamba komanso owonongeka (mayunitsi ambiri a thermoelectric omwe sali pa intaneti).
- Kusowa kwa mafuta kwakukulu (komwe kunakulitsidwa ndi kutsekedwa kwa mafuta ku US ndi kuchepa kwa malonda ochokera ku Russia/Venezuela).
- Kulephera kufalikira kwa zomera nthawi zambiri pamene chomera chimodzi chagwa.
Mphamvu yamagetsi ikubwezeretsedwa pang'onopang'ono pambuyo pa kugwa kwakukulu kulikonse, koma ndi yosakhazikika komanso yosadalirika. Zipatala ndi malo opopera madzi zimayikidwa patsogolo, koma nazonso zimakhudzidwa.
Mmene Anthu Ambabwino a ku Cuba Amachitira Zinthu Tsiku ndi Tsiku
Anthu asintha zinthu chifukwa cha kufunikira kwawo, koma vutoli ndi lotopetsa komanso lowononga moyo:
- Moyo wa Tsiku ndi Tsiku ndi Zochita:
- Mabanja amakonzekera tsiku lawo lonse nthawi yomwe magetsi angabwerere. Anthu amadzuka m'mawa kwambiri kuti aphike, ayatse mafoni, kapena kuchapa zovala akamaona mawindo amagetsi.
- Ambiri amagona nthawi yotentha kwambiri masana ndipo amakhala maso mpaka usiku kwambiri pamene kuli kozizira komanso mphamvu yamagetsi ikugwira ntchito.
- Misewu imakhala yamdima usiku; anthu amagwiritsa ntchito tochi za pafoni, makandulo, kapena nyali zazing'ono za dzuwa.
- Chakudya & Kuphika:
- Mafiriji amawonongeka mwachangu — chakudya chimawonongeka mwachangu. Anthu amadya zomwe angathe nthawi yomweyo kapena kuphika chakudya cha anthu onse panja pogwiritsa ntchito nkhuni, makala, kapena zitofu zazing'ono za propane.
- Ambiri amadalira zakudya zam'chitini, mpunga, nyemba, ndi zipatso zatsopano zilizonse zomwe zikupezekabe (nthawi zambiri zimakhala zochepa chifukwa cha kusowa kwa mafuta komwe kumakhudza mayendedwe).
- Water:
- Kupanda magetsi kumatanthauza kuti palibe mapampu amadzi → nyumba zambiri ndi madera ambiri alibe madzi kwa masiku ambiri.
- Anthu okhala m'deralo amanyamula madzi kuchokera kwa anansi awo omwe ali ndi zitsime, denga, kapena zinthu zina zosungidwa. Kusamba ndi kutsuka zimbudzi kumakhala kovuta kwambiri.
- Thanzi & Ukhondo:
- Zipatala zimagwiritsa ntchito majenereta omwe ali ndi mafuta ochepa.
- Kutopa ndi kutentha n'kofala (makamaka m'nyengo yozizira ya Havana).
- Kusowa kwa firiji kumawonjezera chiopsezo cha matenda opatsirana ndi chakudya.
- Anthu ena okalamba ndi ofooka akuvutika kwambiri.
- Ziwonetsero ndi Kukhumudwa:
- Ziwonetsero zosachitika kawirikawiri za anthu (anthu akumenya miphika ndi ziwiya, ziwonetsero zazing'ono za m'misewu).
- Anthu ambiri aku Cuba amanena kuti atopa kwambiri: “Tiyenera kuzolowera kupulumuka” ndi maganizo ofala.
- Kusintha Kwachilengedwe:
- Ma solar panels a padenga ndi zida zazing'ono za solar zikuchulukirachulukira (ngakhale kuti ndizokwera mtengo komanso zochepa).
- Njinga zamagetsi/njinga zamoto (ngati zingathe kulipidwa) zimagwiritsidwa ntchito paulendo waufupi.
- Anthu okhala pafupi amagawana zinthu ndi mphamvu ngati zilipo.
Maganizo Onse
Anthu aku Cuba ndi olimba mtima ndipo akhala akuvutika ndi magetsi kwa zaka zambiri, koma vuto lomwe likuchitika pano (lomwe likuipiraipira chifukwa cha kusowa kwa mafuta ndi kuwonongeka kwa zomangamanga) likukankhira anthu ambiri mpaka kufika pamlingo wawo. Pali kukhumudwa kwakukulu, kutaya mtima chete, ndipo nthawi zina mkwiyo wopita ku boma ndi kukakamizidwa ndi mayiko akunja (kuphatikizapo kuletsa mafuta ku US).Sizili choncho “palibe magetsi konse” maola 24 pa sabata kulikonse, koma nthawi zambiri, nthawi yayitali yozimitsa magetsi yomwe imapangitsa moyo watsiku ndi tsiku kukhala wovuta kwambiri.
Atsogoleri akumadzulo kwa Europe Apereka Kumadzulo
Atsogoleri akumadzulo kwa Europe Apereka Kumadzulo
by Guy Millière
Dziko lonse la Kumadzulo liyenera kutenga mbali yomveka bwino.
Ulamuliro wa Iran — osasokonezedwa ndi anthu ake ozunzidwa, ambiri mwa iwo omwe akhala kupereka miyoyo yawo nsembe kuyambira mu 1999 akuyesera kuichotsa — kuyambira pomwe idakhazikitsidwa mu 1979, yawopseza "Imfa ku America" ("Satana Wamkulu") ndi "Imfa ku Israeli" ("Satana Wamng'ono").
"Mukaimba 'Imfa ku America!' si mawu okha," Mtsogoleri Wamkulu wa Iran, Ali Khamenei, yemwe anamwalira. analengeza mu 2023, "ndi mfundo." Chaka cham'mbuyomo, iye ananeneratu:
"Imfa ku America idzachitika. Mu dongosolo latsopano lomwe ndikunena, America sidzakhalanso ndi gawo lofunika."
Mu 2008, Purezidenti wa Iran panthawiyo, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, adasankhidwa kukhala Purezidenti. analonjezedwa kuti Israyeli “adzafafanizidwa pa [mapu].”
Omwe amatchedwa Purezidenti wakale wa Irani Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, "wapakati" pa "Tsiku la Al Quds," Disembala 14, 2001, anati:
"Kugwiritsa ntchito bomba limodzi la nyukiliya mkati mwa Israeli kudzawononga chilichonse .... Sikoyenera kuganizira za chochitika chotere."
Ulamuliro wa Iran, pambuyo pa kulenga gulu lake la zigawenga lotchedwa Hezbollah in 1982, sanataye nthawi ndi kusintha Lebanon yokongola kukhala dziko lolephera. Kwa zaka zambiri, Iran yakhala pakati pa wothandizira ndalama woyamba a Hezbollah, a Houthi aku Yemen ndi Palestine Islamic Jihad, komanso kupereka chithandizo chamankhwala ku Hamas ku Gaza Strip. Iran inalinso kukhudzidwa kwambiri pokonzekera kuukira Israeli ndi Hamas pa Okutobala 7, 2023.
Kwa zaka 39 zikubwerazi, Iran yakhala ikudziwika ndi mbiri yake yodziwika bwino. chizindikiro, yomwe idapatsidwa ndi Unduna wa Zachilendo wa US, ndi "boma lotsogola padziko lonse lapansi lothandizira uchigawenga." Iran, pamodzi ndi Qatar, akuti ndi katswiri wazachuma za uchigawenga wa Chisilamu padziko lonse lapansi komanso mtsogoleri wa kusokoneza mtendere padziko lonse lapansi.
Ulamuliro wa Iran uli ndi mlandu wopha asilikali 241 aku America mu 1983 kuukira pa malo osungira asilikali a US Marines ku Beirut, komanso asilikali aku America mazana ambiri ku Iraq pakati pa 2003 ndi 2011. Yakhazikitsanso ziwopsezo za zigawenga komanso kuyesa kupha anthu ku United States, kuphatikizapo Ziwopsezo za pa 11 Seputembala, 2001.
Kwa zaka zambiri, ngakhale kuti nthawi zambiri kukana ndipo monyadira kupewa kuyendera mayiko ena, boma la Iran lakhala likuyesera kupeza zida za nyukiliya. Nthumwi Yapadera ya ku US Steve Witkoff tsatanetsatane kuti oimira Iran adatsegula zokambirana ndi kulengeza kuti anali ndi uranium yokwanira yolemera kufika pa 60% — masiku angapo kuti asinthe kukhala 90% ya zida — ya mabomba 11 a nyukiliya “m’sabata imodzi, mwina masiku 10 kunja.”
Ngakhale kuti United States ndi Israel zigawenga zomwe zachitika pa malo akuluakulu a nyukiliya ku Iran mu June 2025, Iran idati ikadali ulamuliro pafupifupi makilogalamu 460 a uranium wolemera 60%.
Zikuoneka kuti Israeli ndi United States aganiza choncho, monga momwe Purezidenti wa US Franklin Roosevelt adanenera. anali Ponena za Ufumu wachitatu mu 1941, anati, “Mukawona njoka yolusa ikukonzeka kumenya, simudikira mpaka itamenya kuti muiphwanye.”
"Sabata imodzi mpaka masiku 10" a boma la Iran ayenera kuti anamveka mokwanira ngati "chiwopsezo chomwe chili pafupi" komanso "chiwopsezo chodziwikiratu chomwe chilipo" kuti boma la Trump lisankhe kuti zingakhale bwino kusokoneza boma lisanayambe kusokoneza dziko la United States.
Nkhondo, yomwe inayambika pa February 28, akanayenera kuthandizidwa ndi Free World yonse. Sizinali choncho.
Ku United States, Purezidenti Donald Trump asanasankhidwe, apurezidenti anayi omwe ali pampando - Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, Barack Obama ndi Joe Biden - komanso akuluakulu ambiri ochokera mbali zonse ziwiri, adalengeza kuti Iran siyenera kuloledwa kugula zida za nyukiliya, koma sanachitepo chilichonse chokhudza izi.
Choyipa kwambiri, Obama ndi Biden Maboma, poyesa kupereka ziphuphu ku boma la Iran kuti lichepetse kupanga zida zake za nyukiliya, m'malo mwake moyenera Ndalama ndi yathandiza izo — zonse ndi “mawu ofotokozera kulowa kwa dzuwa"Pangano la nyukiliya" la Obama la 2015 JCPOA, lomwe likanathandiza Iran movomerezeka kukhala ndi zida za nyukiliya zambiri momwe akanafunira pofika mu Okutobala 2025. Pamene Trump zimafika JCPOA mu 2018, ndiye chipolopolo chomwe adachipewa mwaluso.
Mtundu womwewo wa ziphuphu unali utabwerera m'mbuyo ku North Korea. Mu 1994, Clinton adakambirana za "Chikhazikitso Chogwirizana" ndi North Korea kuti aletse ndikuchotsa pulogalamu yake ya zida za nyukiliya yomwe inalipo kale. Kenako Clinton adatsimikiza kuti Japan ndi South Korea zigwirizane. operekedwa Mtsogoleri wa North Korea, Kim Jong II, ali ndi ndalama zoposa $4 biliyoni — zomwe zikuoneka kuti anazigwiritsa ntchito nthawi yomweyo pomaliza pulogalamu yake ya nyukiliya. Palibe amene anamuletsa.
Zaka zingapo zapitazo, Boma la Biden linkanena kuti Iran ndi ngozi yaikulu. Kenako Nduna ya Zachilendo Antony Blinken adalengeza mu Okutobala 2021 kuti nthawiyo inali “kuthamanga pang'ono"Lero, Mtsogoleri wa Ochepa a Senate ku US Chuck Schumer, yemwe adalankhula momveka bwino analemba motsutsana ndi kuthandizira mgwirizano wa nyukiliya wa Obama, limati kuti kuukira Iran isanaukire Kumadzulo ndi "nkhondo yosankha, osati yofunikira".
Panalibe chifukwa chololeza Iran kukhala North Korea ina. "Mukufuna kuona msika wamasheya ukutsika?" Trump anafunsa pa Fox News. "Tiloleni tiponyedwe mabomba awiri a nyukiliya."
Andale ena aku America atsutsa molakwika boma la Trump kuti laphwanya lamulo lomwe lingaganizidwe kuti ndi lolakwika. kusagwirizana ndi malamulo Lamulo la Mphamvu za Nkhondo la 1973. Ndime 2(c) imazindikira mphamvu za purezidenti zotumiza asilikali popanda chilolezo cha Congressional pambuyo pa "kuukira United States ... kapena asilikali ake" kwa masiku 60 popanda chilolezo cha Congressional, ndipo ikhoza kuwonjezeredwa masiku 30. Iran ili ndi mbiri yakale yoyambitsa ziwopsezo zankhondo motsutsana ndi asilikali aku US.
Trump sanapemphe asilikali kapena zida zothandizira ogwirizana ndi America. Iye anangofuna adafunsidwa kugwiritsa ntchito malo ankhondo — ena mwa iwo, monga Diego Garcia ku Indian Ocean, akugawidwa ndi UK ndi US — kapena ufulu wouluka pamwamba pa ndege.
Zimene atsogoleri ambiri akumadzulo kwa Ulaya anachita, m'mawu ofotokozera, zinali "zokhumudwitsa" — kunyalanyaza ndi wamantha — ndipo akhalabe choncho mpaka lero.
Patangopita maola ochepa kuchokera pamene Khamenei anachotsedwa, Purezidenti wa ku France Emmanuel Macron ananena kuti ntchito zankhondo motsutsana ndi Iran zinali "zoopsa kwa aliyense" ndipo ziyenera kuima nthawi yomweyo. Pamene "akudandaula" ndi ziwopsezo za Hezbollah ku Israeli, Macron analimbikitsa Israel yasiya ntchito zake zankhondo ku Lebanon ndipo ikuwoneka kuti ikufuna kupulumutsa Hezbollah. Macron adawonjezera kuti France ingochita "kuchitapo kanthu poteteza ogwirizana nawo"- motero mwachionekere anachotsa Israeli ndi United States ku mabungwe ogwirizana ndi France.
Patatha maola angapo, Nduna Yaikulu ya Britain Keir Starmer adalengeza kuti adzachita izi. chithandizo chokha "yankho lamtendere komanso lokambirana."
Chancellor wa ku Germany Friedrich Merz anatsindika kuti "Germany si mbali ya nkhondoyi" - kunyalanyaza, chifukwa Trump sanachedwetse nthawi kusonyeza, kuti dziko la US, lomwe lakhala likupereka ndalama zothandizira chitetezo cha ku Ulaya kuyambira kumapeto kwa Nkhondo Yachiwiri Yapadziko Lonse kudzera mu NATO, silinali mbali ya nkhondo ya Russia yolimbana ndi Ukraine.
Pamene, pa 15 Marichi, Trump kuyitanidwa Atsogoleri aku Europe atenga nawo mbali poteteza Strait of Hormuz, nthawi iliyonse yomaliza anakanangakhale kuti anali ochulukirapo kuposa iwo wodalira pa mafuta ndi gasi zomwe zimatumizidwa kudzera mu Strait of Hormuz kuposa US.
Trump anachenjeza mayiko aku Europe kuti kulephera kumvera pempho lake kukanatha zotsatiraPambuyo poti mlembi wamkulu wa NATO, Mark Rutte, adalimbikitsa atsogoleri aku Europe kuti aganizirenso zomwe achita, angapo, pamodzi ndi Japan, adapereka chikalata chotsimikizira kuti mawu ogwirizana pa 19 Marichi, pofotokoza “kukonzeka kwawo kupereka.”
Kenako Macron "adafotokoza" maganizo ake. France, iye ananena, mphamvu kuvomereza kulowererapo pokhapokha "gawo lalikulu la mkangano litatha" - pamene kulowererapo kwa Afalansa sikungakhale kothandiza.
Nduna ya Zachitetezo ku Germany Boris Pistorius ananena kuti Germany idzachitapo kanthu pokhapokha ngati patatha kulengezedwa kuti patha kutha kwa nkhondoyo — nkhondoyo itatha.
Starmer, pamene anali kukana, anakonza dongosolo la msonkhano ndi akuluakulu ochokera m'maiko oposa 40 kuti apeze "yankho la ukadaulo" pa vutoli. Chodabwitsa kwambiri chomwe aliyense ayenera kuti chinali chakuti palibe yankho laukadaulo lomwe lingapezeke.
Macron, akudziposa yekha, malo otsekedwa a ndege aku France ku ndege zankhondo zaku America ndi Israeli zomwe zikugwira ntchito zankhondo motsutsana ndi boma la Iran ndi Hezbollah. Nduna yayikulu ya Spain Pedro Sánchez, ndi kukana Ndege zankhondo za US zolowera ku malo a NATO ku Spain kuyambira tsiku loyamba la nkhondo, zinali zitapanga kale chisankho chomwecho. Chokhumudwitsa kwambiri n'chakuti, Prime Minister wakale wa Italy, Giorgia Meloni, yemwe nthawi zina anali wodabwitsa. anakana kulowa ku malo a NATO ku Sigonella, Sicily. Austria, mosakayikira, inapempha kuti "kusalowerera ndale" kwake komanso yatseka malo ake opumira ndege ku ndege zankhondo zaku America.
Dziko la United Kingdom likuyenera kulola ndege zoponya mabomba za ku America kugwiritsa ntchito malo ankhondo omwe ali m'dera lake makamaka pa “ntchito zodzitetezera". Poyamba, Starmer anakana kuti alole ndege zaku America kugwiritsa ntchito malo olumikizirana a ndege aku US-UK a Diego Garcia; pomaliza pake analola kuti ndege zilowe, pambuyo poti ziwomberezo za ndege zatha, koma kokha pa "ntchito zodzitetezera." Ku Germany, mpaka pano, malo olumikizirana a ndege aku Ramstein akadalipo kuti agwiritsidwe ntchito ndi US Air Force. Mwatsoka, malo olumikizirana a NATO kapena olumikizana - omwe US imaphimba malo ochulukirapo. ambiri ndalama zoyendetsera ntchito ndi kukonza — zinatsekedwa ku ndege zankhondo za ku US ndi mayiko omwe ali nazo. "Ogwirizana" a United States, omwe analetsa ntchito zake zankhondo, anali kukakamiza ndege zankhondo za ku US kuti zidutse maulendo ataliatali komanso okwera mtengo.
Trump, poyankha, ndi kubwereza Ubale wa America ndi NATO.
Macron, paulendo wake wopita ku Japan pa Epulo 1, anayesedwa kuti akalimbikitse Nduna Yaikulu Sanae Takaichi kuti asiye kudalira Washington kokha. Kenako Macron anapita ku South Korea, komwe adakachita analimbikitsa Mayiko “apakati amphamvu” kuti agwirizane motsutsana ndi US ndi China. Zikuoneka kuti sanaone kusiyana kulikonse pakati pa United States, demokalase yolimbana ndi boma loopsa, ndi China, dziko lankhanza lomwe limachirikiza ulamuliro wa Iran.
Pa Epulo 2, France, pamodzi ndi Russia ndi China — ogwirizana ndi Iran — anavota Chigamulo cha bungwe la UN Security Council, chomwe chinalembedwa ndi mayiko achiarabu ndipo chinathandizidwa ndi US, chomwe chinatsutsa zomwe Iran yachita motsutsana ndi mayiko achiarabu a ku Persian Gulf ndipo chinapempha kuti pagwiritsidwe ntchito mphamvu kuti atsegule Strait of Hormuz. Tsiku lotsatira, France analandira "mgwirizano wosiyana" kapena chilolezo chachinsinsi kudzera munjira zandale kuti sitima ya kampani, CMA CGM, yomwe ili ya wamalonda waku France-Lebanese Rodolphe Saadé, idutse mu Strait.
Kwa zaka zambiri, mayiko akumadzulo kwa Ulaya akhala kukhala moyo waulere pansi pa chitetezo cha ku America. M'malo mogwiritsa ntchito ndalama pa asilikali kuti atsimikizire chitetezo chawo, atsogoleri a ku Ulaya amanga mayiko opindulitsa kwambiri ndi kukwezedwa lingaliro kuti pafupifupi mikangano yonse ikhoza kuthetsedwa ndi kutonthoza mdani ndi kugonjera zofuna zake. Lingaliro limeneli linakula kwambiri pambuyo pa kugwa kwa Soviet Union, "tchuthi kuchokera m'mbiri," pamene bajeti ya asilikali Kumadzulo konse kunachepa kwambiri. Pakadali pano, atsogoleri akumadzulo kwa Ulaya anayamba kulankhula za apurezidenti aku America omwe ankateteza dziko la United States monyoza.
Kusamukira ku Western Europe kwa anthu ambiri achisilamu, omwe osasakanikirana konse ndipo akuwoneka odzipereka kwambiri ku kudana ndi Israeli ndi Ayuda — komanso kwa Akhristu — yathandizira kuyambiranso kwa chidani kwa Ayuda pakati pa atsogoleri andale omwe akufuna mavoti ku Western Europe konse.
Ngakhale atsogoleri onse akumadzulo kwa Ulaya adawonetsa mantha awo pambuyo pa kuphedwa kwa anthu ku Hamas pa Okutobala 7, 2023, ambiri mwachangu anaimba mlandu Israeli chifukwa cha nkhanza, pomwe kwenikweni, asilikali ake sanali kungodziteteza okha komanso kuchotsa ziwopsezo zotsutsana ndi EuropeAtsogoleri ena amachita zinthu zabodza amatsutsidwa Israeli wa “chiwawa"pomwe kwenikweni ndi Hamas, mu Article 7 ya Chikalata cha 1988, zomwe zimafuna kuwonongedwa kwa Ayuda onse - mofanana ndi mzimu waupandu wa mawu onyoza omwe anali ofala kwambiri panthawi yoipa kwambiri m'mbuyomu ku Europe.
Ambiri mwa andale awa ku Europe sanadzudzulepo zaka makumi ambiri za nkhanza zomwe boma la Iran linachita. Pa Januwale 9, 2026 — panthawi yomwe boma la Iran linkapha anthu ake osagwiritsa ntchito zida oposa 30,000 m’misewu — Starmer, Macron ndi Merz adafalitsa chikalata chogwirizana molimba mtima. kufotokoza "nkhawa yaikulu." Ndicho chimene chinalipo.
Trump anagwiritsa ntchito liwu limodzi pofotokoza atsogoleri a mayiko akumadzulo kwa Ulaya: “amantha. "
"Kumadzulo kwa Ulaya kuli ndi vuto lalikulu chifukwa cha chikhumbo cha imfa cha ndale ndi chikhalidwe cha anthu," analemba Conrad Black mwezi watha. "United States sidzawapulumutsa ku zimenezo; iwo okha ndi omwe angathe."
Chiyembekezo cha "kuchotsedwa kwa chikhalidwe" chinakwezedwanso ndi Ndondomeko ya Chitetezo cha Dziko la US ya 2025.
Israeli — yomwe atsogoleri ambiri aku West Europe omwe ali ndi mphamvu akuiona ngati yosafunika — ndiyo yodziwika bwino mnzawo wodalirika kwambiri a ku United States; ndi atsogoleri akumadzulo kwa Europe awa omwe akuyenera kunyozedwa. Pansi pa utsogoleri wawo woipa komanso wopanda mfundo, komanso kudzipereka kwawo kosalekeza kwa atsopano ofuna zinthu, Western Europe monga momwe tikudziwira ikhoza kukhala kupita ku kugwa.
Dr. Guy Millière, pulofesa wa pa yunivesite ya Paris, ndi amene analemba mabuku 27 onena za ku France ndi ku Ulaya.
Kodi Mwakonzeka Kukolola Tirigu?
Shavuot 2026:
Kodi inu okonzeka chifukwa ndi tirigu Yokolola
ndi ndi Ena Great Kutsanulira madzi?
Shavuot ili ndi mgwirizano wa chilankhulo cha Chiheberi, ndipo imachokera mwachindunji m'chinenerocho chokha:
- Shavuot (שבועות) ndi kuchuluka kwa shavu'a (שבוע) — “sabata” (nyengo ya zisanu ndi ziwiri).
- Shevuot (שבועות) ndi kuchuluka kwa shevu'ah (שבועה) — “lumbiro” kapena “pangano lolumbira.”
Mawu awiriwa amalembedwa ndi kutchulidwa mofanana. Ili ndi liwu lachiheberi lodziwika bwino (paronomasia) lomwe magwero a arabi okha amalemba mogwirizana ndi pangano la Sinai (monga anthu akulumbira kuti “Zonse zimene Yehova walankhula tidzachita” mu Eksodo 19:8 ndi 24:3,7). Talmud (Shabbat 86b–88a) ndi ndemanga za pambuyo pake zikugogomezera seweroli pofotokoza chifukwa chake Shavuot adagwirizanitsidwa ndi kukonzanso pangano ku Sinai (1379 BC mu nthawi yanu).
“Mwezi wachitatu atatuluka ana a Israyeli m’dziko la Aigupto, tsiku lomwelo, anafika ku chipululu cha Sinai.” (Eksodo 19:1)
Anthu anafika, anadziyeretsa kwa masiku atatu, ndipo pa tsiku la 50 kuchokera ku mtolo woweyula (monga mwa Levitiko 23:15-21), analumbira lumbiro lalikulu:
"Zonse zimene Yehova walankhula tidzachita!" (Eksodo 19:8; 24:3, 7)
Uku kunali kuvomereza mwalamulo pangano la ukwati (ketubah) pakati pa Yehova ndi Israyeli — ndi bingu, moto, utsi, ndi kupereka Malamulo Khumi (ndi malangizo athunthu a Torah). Chifukwa chake Shavuot ndi chikumbutso cha pachaka cha lumbiro ndi kukonzanso panganoli. Pambuyo pake miyambo ya arabi inatcha kuti Z'man Matan Torateinu ("nthawi yopereka Torah yathu"), koma Torah yokha imagwirizanitsa izi ndi zokolola ndi msonkhano ku Sinai. Izi zimakhazikitsa template: Shavuot = tsiku la lumbiro la pangano + kukonzanso pambuyo pa nthawi ya chipulumutso kapena chiweruzo.
Shavuot — Kukolola Tirigu Kwafika (Lamulo la Zaulimi)
Tiyeni tiyambe pamene Yehova akuyamba — ndi lamulo lomveka bwino mu Torah Yake Yolembedwa.
“Ndipo muziwerengera nokha kuyambira tsiku lotsatira Sabata, kuyambira tsiku limene munabweretsa mtolo wa nsembe yoweyula: Masabata asanu ndi awiri adzatha. Werengani masiku makumi asanu kufikira tsiku lotsatira Sabata lachisanu ndi chiwiri; kenako muzipereka nsembe yatsopano ya ufa kwa Yehova. Mubwere nayo kuchokera m’nyumba zanu mikate iwiri yoweyula ya magawo awiri mwa magawo khumi a efa. Idzakhala ya ufa wosalala; idzaphikidwa ndi chofufumitsa. Ndiyo zipatso zoyamba kwa Yehova.” (Levitiko 23:15-17)
izi ndi Chag HaKatzir — Phwando la Zokolola (Eksodo 23:16). Onani tsatanetsatane wa zomwe Yehova akugogomezera. Kuwerengera sikuyamba pa tsiku lokhazikika. Kumayamba ndi barele wa aviv — ngala zobiriwira zomwe ziyenera kukhwima mokwanira kuti zigwiritsidwe ntchito pa tsiku lotsatira Sabata la sabata lotsatira Paskha. Pokhapokha timawerenga masabata asanu ndi awiri athunthu (masiku 49) kuphatikiza tsiku limodzi kuti tifike pa 50 — Shavuot.
Shavuot — Phwando la Malumbiro ndi Kukonzanso Pangano
Arabi amatcha Shavuot Z'man Matan Torateinu — nthawi yopereka Torah. Zimenezo ndi zoona, koma ndi gawo chabe la nkhaniyi. Imatchedwanso kuti Phwando la Lumbiro chifukwa cha lumbiro lalikulu limene anthuwo anapanga ku Sinai.
Pa tsiku lomwelo lomwe pambuyo pake linadzakhala Shavuot, ana a Israeli anaima pansi pa phiri nalumbira kuti:
"Zonse zimene Yehova walankhula tidzachita!" (Eksodo 19:8; 24:3, 7)
Analowa mu pangano la ukwati ndi Mlengi wa chilengedwe chonse. Bingu, mphezi, moto, ndi utsi zinali denga la ukwati. Malamulo Khumi anali ketubah - mgwirizano wa ukwati. Chifukwa chake Shavuot ndi chikondwerero cha pachaka kukonzanso malonjezo amenewo.
Ichi ndichifukwa chake kuwerenga kwachikhalidwe kwa Shavuot ndi Buku la Rute. Rute, Myuda wa ku Moabu, adalumbira yekha kuti adzakhala wokhulupirika:
“Kumene mupita inenso ndipita, kumene mugona inenso ndigona; anthu anu adzakhala anthu anga, ndi Mulungu wanu adzakhala Mulungu wanga.” (Rute 1:16)
Iye analumikizidwa ku dziko la Israeli kudzera mu pangano lokhulupirika ndipo anakhala agogo aakazi a Mfumu Davide — omwe mzere wawo unatsogolera mwachindunji kwa Mesiya. Rute akuyimira nthambi za azitona zakuthengo (ife) zomwe zinalumikizidwa ku mtengo wa azitona wolimidwa (Aroma 11). Shavuot ndi phwando la kulumikizidwa kumeneko.
Shavuot akutiitananso ku Torah Yolembedwa zomwe zinaperekedwa ku Sinai ndi Ruach Zimenezi zimatipatsa mphamvu yoti tichisunge. Phwandoli silikunena za kuwonjezera ma takanot opangidwa ndi anthu; koma likunena za kubwerera ku pangano losavuta komanso lamphamvu limene Yehova anapanga nafe.
Chitsanzo cha Kukonzanso Pangano mu Nyengo ya Miyezi Yachitatu
Ngakhale kuti Torah siitchula tsiku lililonse la pangano ndi tsiku lenileni la 50, njira yomveka bwino ya nyengo imaonekera mwezi wachitatu - nyengo yomwe Shavuot imagwera ndi yomwe chochitika cha Sinai chimayikidwa momveka bwino (Eksodo 19:1).
Pambuyo pa chigumula, nthawi ya chigumula imaika nthawi zofunika kwambiri mu nthawi yomwe madzi anaphwa. Chingalawa chinaima pa mapiri a Ararati m'mwezi wachisanu ndi chiwiri (Genesis 8:4). Pofika mwezi woyamba wa chaka chotsatira, dziko lapansi linali litauma (Genesis 8:13). Kenako Nowa anatuluka m'chingalawamo, anamanga guwa lansembe, anapereka nsembe, ndipo analandira malonjezo a pangano:
Gen 8: 13 Ndipo panali chaka cha mazana asanu ndi limodzi kudza chimodzi, kuchiyambi, tsiku loyamba la mwezi, kuti madzi anaphwa padziko lapansi. Ndipo Nowa anachotsa chophimba cha chingalawa nayang’ana. ndipo taonani, padauma nkhope ya dziko;
Gen 8: 14 Ndipo mwezi waciwiri, tsiku la makumi awiri mphambu zisanu ndi ziwiri la mwezi, dziko linali louma.
Gen 8: 15 Ndipo Mulungu analankhula ndi Nowa, nati,
Gen 8: 16 Tuluka m’chingalawamo, iwe ndi mkazi wako, ana ako aamuna, ndi akazi a ana ako aamuna pamodzi ndi iwe.
Gen 8: 17 Tulutsani pamodzi ndi inu zamoyo zonse zomwe zili ndi inu, zamoyo zonse, mbalame, ziweto, ndi zokwawa zonse zakukwawa padziko lapansi, kuti zisakule kwambiri padziko lapansi, ndipo zibalane ndi kuchulukana padziko lapansi.
Gen 8: 18 Ndipo Nowa anatuluka, ndi ana ake aamuna, ndi mkazi wake, ndi akazi a ana ake aamuna pamodzi naye.
Gen 8: 19 Nyama zonse, mbalame zonse, ndi zokwawa zonse, zonse zokwawa padziko lapansi monga mwa mabanja awo, zinatuluka m’chingalawamo.
Pangano la Mulungu ndi Nowa
Gen 8: 20 Ndipo Nowa anamanga guwa la nsembe la Yehova, natenga nyama zonse zoyera, ndi mbalame zonse zoyera, napereka nsembe zopsereza pa guwa la nsembe.
“Ndipo Yehova anamva fungo lokoma. Ndipo Yehova anati mumtima mwake, Sindidzatembereranso nthaka chifukwa cha munthu, pakuti malingaliro a mtima wa munthu ndi oipa kuyambira pa unyamata wake. Ndipo sindidzaphanso zamoyo zonse monga momwe ndachitira. Masiku onse a dziko lapansi, nthawi yobzala ndi yokolola, kuzizira ndi kutentha, chilimwe ndi nyengo yozizira, usana ndi usiku sizidzatha.” (Genesis 8:21-22)
Panganoli limaphatikizapo kudzipereka kwa onse awiri: anthu ayenera kulemekeza moyo (osadya magazi), ndipo Yehova walumbira kuti sadzasefukiranso dziko lapansi. Ili linali lumbiro lomveka bwino lomwe linapangidwa pambuyo pa chiweruzo cha dziko lonse, ndi chiyambi chatsopano cha anthu. Nthawi ya mwezi wachitatu ikugwirizana ndi nyengo yaulimi ndi zikondwerero zomwe pambuyo pake zidalamulidwa za Shavuot. Mavesi a m'Baibulo omwe adabwera pambuyo pake, monga kukonzanso pangano pansi pa Mfumu Asa m'mwezi wachitatu (2 Mbiri 15:10-15), akuwonetsa izi ngati nyengo yobwerezabwereza yodziperekanso kwa Yehova.
Abrahamu ndi Chitsimikizo cha Pangano mu Mwezi Wachitatu
Torah imagwirizanitsanso Abrahamu ndi mitu ya zipatso zoyamba ndi nthawi ya pangano m'mwezi wachitatu ndi kumayambiriro kwa nyengo yachilimwe. Genesis 15 imalemba pangano la zidutswazo, ndi kutsimikizira kwake kodabwitsa konga lumbiro - chofukizira moto ndi nyali yoyaka moto ikudutsa pakati pa nyama zogawanika. Genesis 17 imalemba pangano la mdulidwe ngati chizindikiro m'thupi, pamodzi ndi lonjezo la mbewu ndi mitundu yochulukira. Izi zimachitika Abrahamu ali ndi zaka 99, ndipo nthawi ya zochitika zokhudzana nazo (kuphatikizapo kubadwa kwa Isake chaka chotsatira) imagwera mkati mwa nthawi yokolola ndi nthawi ya zipatso zoyamba.
Moyo wa Abrahamu uli wodzaza ndi kumanga guwa la nsembe, nsembe, ndi malumbiro (mwachitsanzo, chitsime cha lumbiro ku Beersheba mu Genesis 21:31, kumene ana a nkhosa asanu ndi awiri akuyimira lumbiro ndipo amabwereza mawu akuti "masabata"/malumbiro a Shavuot). Ngakhale kuti Torah siimatchula tsatanetsatane uliwonse pa tsiku lenileni la 50, nyengo ya mwezi wachitatu imawonekera mobwerezabwereza kuti pakhale kutsimikizira pangano ndi mitu ya zipatso zoyambirira. Kukhulupirika kwa Abrahamu kumapereka chitsanzo cha kusunga lumbiro komwe Shavuot akutiitana kuti tikonzenso chaka chilichonse.
Zitsanzo zonsezi zikuwonetsa kayimbidwe ka Torah kogwirizana: pambuyo pa chiweruzo kapena kuyesedwa kumabwera nyengo yotsimikizira pangano, kulumbira, ndi kuyamba kwatsopano. Kayimbidwe kameneka kamafika pomveka bwino komanso mwatsatanetsatane ku Sinai mu 1379 BC ndipo kamapitirira mu kutsanulidwa kwa Pangano Latsopano pa Shavuot mu 31 CE
Kukwaniritsidwa kwa Pangano Latsopano — Machitidwe 2 ndi Kulemba Pamtima
Pitani ku Yerusalemu pafupifupi zaka 1,500 patsiku lomwelo — Shavuot.
Ophunzira anasonkhana pamodzi, akuwerenga Omeri monga momwe Levitiko analamulira. Mwadzidzidzi:
“Panamveka phokoso lochokera kumwamba, ngati la mphepo yamphamvu, ndipo linadzaza nyumba yonse imene anali kukhala. Pamenepo anaonekera kwa iwo malilime ogawanika, ngati a moto, ndipo anakhala pa aliyense wa iwo. Ndipo onse anadzazidwa ndi Mzimu Woyera...” (Machitidwe 2:2-4)
Anthu zikwi zitatu anawonjezedwa tsiku limenelo. Chomwe chinachitika chinali kukwaniritsidwa mwachindunji kwa lonjezo la mu Yeremiya 31:31-34 ndi Ezekieli 36:26-27: Torah sidzakhalanso pa miyala yokha koma yolembedwa pa mitima ya thupi. Ruach HaKodesh sanachotse Torah — Iye anatipatsa mphamvu zoyendera mmenemo.
Ili ndi “pangano labwino kwambiri” lomwe Yeshua anakhazikitsa (Ahebri 8:6). Moto womwewo womwe unatsika pa Sinai tsopano ukutsika pa mitima ya anthu. Lumbiro lomwelo lomwe tinalumbira pa phirili tsopano lasindikizidwa ndi mwazi wa Mwanawankhosa ndi mphamvu ya Mzimu.
Gawo la Ulosi — Kukolola Komaliza ndi Chikondwerero cha Zaka 120
Shavuot sikuti imangoyang'ana m'mbuyo kokha, komanso imayang'ana kutsogolo mwamphamvu. Mtumwi Paulo akugwirizanitsa izi mwachindunji ndi kuuka kwa akufa:
“Koma tsopano Khristu wauka kwa akufa, ndipo wakhala chipatso choyamba cha iwo akugona… Koma aliyense m’dongosolo lake: Mesiya chipatso choyamba, kenako iwo amene ali a Khristu pakubwera kwake… M’kamphindi, m’kuthwanima kwa diso, pa lipenga lomaliza.” (1 Akorinto 15:20-23, 51-52)
Mikate iwiri yoweyulidwa ku Shavuot ndi zipatso zoyamba za zokolola zazikulu zomwe zidzachitike lipenga lomaliza litalira. Tikukhala m'zaka zomaliza za Jubilee ya 120. Jubilee ya 120 ndi yomwe imabweretsa kubwezeretsedwa komaliza. Ululu wobereka ndi wosadziwika: mayiko akuukira mayiko, Strait of Hormuz yatsekedwa, kusowa kwa feteleza kukuopseza chakudya cha padziko lonse mu 2026 ndi kupitirira apo, kugwedezeka kwachuma, ndi zizindikiro kumwamba ndi padziko lapansi. Izi ndi zomwe Yeshua anatiuza kuti tiziyang'anira mu Mateyu 24 ndi Luka 21.
Minda ya tirigu yayera kale kuti ikololedwe. Yehova akufunafuna tirigu wokhwima — anthu omwe alola mayesero a masiku otsiriza ano kubala chipatso cha Mzimu: chikondi, chimwemwe, mtendere, kuleza mtima, kukoma mtima, ubwino, kukhulupirika, kufatsa, kudziletsa (Agalatiya 5:22-23). Tirigu wokhwima yekha ndi amene angapunthidwe kukhala mkate wodyetsa mitundu yonse.
Israyeli—Zipatso Zoyamba za Yehova
Yehova mwiniwake anaitana Aisiraeli Zipatso zake zoyambirira — gawo lopatulika, lopatulika la zokolola Zake.
“Israyeli anali woyera kwa Yehova, zipatso zoyamba za zipatso zake [kapena “zoyamba za zokolola Zake”]: onse omudya adzakhala ndi mlandu; choipa chidzawagwera, ati Yehova.” (Yeremiya 2:3)
Mu Chiheberi, mawuwa ndi akuti reishit tevuatoh — gawo loyamba la zipatso Zake. Monga momwe nsembe zoyamba mu Levitiko zinali zopatulidwira Yehova yekha ndipo sizikanadyedwa ndi ena popanda mlandu (Levitiko 22:10, 16; 23:10-14), momwemonso Israyeli anapatulidwira kwa Iye yekha m'masiku oyambirira pambuyo pa ulendo wa ku Eksodo.
Chilengezo ichi mu Yeremiya 2:3 si fanizo lachikale. Chimawunikira mwachindunji chizindikiro chachikulu cha Shavuot — mikate iwiri yozungulira ya mkate wofufumitsa tirigu. Levitiko 23:17 akunena momveka bwino kuti: “Ndiwo zipatso zoyamba kwa Yehova.” Mikate iwiri iyi, yophikidwa ndi chofufumitsa chifukwa ikuyimira anthu oomboledwa koma osachimwa, imaweyulidwa pamaso pa Yehova pa phwandoli. Mkate umodzi ukuimira Yuda; wina ukuimira Efraimu (nyumba yobalalika ya Israyeli). Pamodzi amapanga gulu la zipatso zoyamba — mtundu womwe Yehova anautcha “zoyamba za zokolola Zake” mu Yeremiya 2:3.
Pa Sinai mu 1379 BC, Israyeli wonse anapatulidwa kukhala woyera ndipo analumbira lumbiro la pangano, nakhala anthu oyamba odzipereka a Yehova. Mikate iwiriyo inagwedezeka pa Shavuot iliyonse imatikumbutsa za kudzipereka kumeneko ndipo imasonyeza kukwaniritsidwa kwakukulu: oomboledwa kuchokera m'nyumba zonse ziwiri za Israyeli, kuphatikizapo omwe analumikizidwa kuchokera ku mitundu, omwe anaperekedwa ngati zokolola zoyambirira kusanachitike kusonkhanitsa kwathunthu kumapeto kwa nthawi.
Kulumikizana kumeneku kukulimbitsa kufunika kwa kukonzekera kwathu. Ngati Israyeli wakale anali zipatso zoyamba za Yehova, ndiye kuti m'zaka zomaliza za Jubilee ya 120 tiyenera kukhala ngati tirigu wokhwima - wopatulidwa, womvera, ndi wobala zipatso za Mzimu. Pokhapokha tidzakhala okonzeka kuwombedwa ngati gawo la gulu lomaliza la zipatso zoyamba lipenga lomaliza likadzalira.
Yehova amatchanso Israyeli mwana wake woyamba kubadwa (Eksodo 4:22), ali ndi lingaliro lomwelo la "woyamba ndi wopatulika". Chipangano Chatsopano chimamanga pa maziko awa: Yakobo 1:18 amalankhula za okhulupirira ngati "mtundu wa zipatso zoyamba za zolengedwa Zake," ndipo Chivumbulutso 14:4 chimalongosola 144,000 ngati "zipatso zoyamba za Mulungu ndi Mwanawankhosa." Ndime izi zikugwirizana ndi chithunzi cha Yeremiya ndipo zimachikulitsa ku banja lalikulu loomboledwa.
Choonadi ichi chimalimbitsa uthenga wathu wa Shavuot mwamphamvu: Yehova nthawi zonse amaona anthu ake a pangano ngati zipatso zopatulika zomwe ndi zake zokha. M'sabata yomaliza ya Omer iyi, funso likutsalira - kodi tikukhala ngati zipatso zoyera, zodzipereka zokonzekera kukolola kwakukulu?
Zimene Muyenera Kuchita Sabata Lomaliza la Omer
Tatsala ndi masiku asanu ndi awiri. Agwiritseni ntchito mwanzeru.
- Unikani mtima wanu. Pemphani Mzimu Woyera kuti akufufuzeni. Kodi mukuyenda momvera? Kodi mukupanga tirigu kapena mankhusu okha?
- Konzani lumbiro lanu. Werengani Eksodo 19-24 mokweza. Imani m'chipinda chanu chopemphereramo ndipo lumbirani kachiwiri kuti: “Zonse zimene Yehova wanena, ndidzachita — mwa Mzimu Wanu.”
- Werengani Rute ndi Machitidwe 2 mbali ndi mbali. Onani chitsanzo chokongola cha chiwombolo.
- Pemphererani zokolola. Pempherani nkhosa zobalalika za Israyeli ndi iwo omwe akadali kunja kwa pangano.
- Chitani phwando molingana ndi mwezi womwe mwawona. Tsimikizirani mwezi watsopano ndi barele wa aviv. Musatsatire miyambo yomwe imaswa ulalo wa dzikolo.
- Konzekerani mwachidwi. Sungani zomwe mungathe pa zosatsimikizika zomwe zikubwera, koma koposa zonse sungani mtima wanu pa Mawu.
Abale, nthawi yokolola tirigu ikubwera. Yehova akukonzekera zipatso zake zoyambirira. Minda yayera ndipo yakonzeka. Chikwakwa chili m'manja mwa Iye amene akukonzekera kusonkhanitsa.
Kodi mudzawerengedwa pakati pa omwe adzakhale okonzeka lipenga lomaliza la Shavuot litamveka?
Chag Shavuot Sameach mopangiratu!
Tiyeni tonse tipezeke okonzeka monga Mkwatibwi akudziyeretsa yekha kwa Mkwati.
Masiku Khumi Pambuyo pa Kukwera Kumwamba & Masiku Khumi a Kudabwitsa
Masiku Khumi Pambuyo pa Kukwera Kumwamba & Masiku Khumi a Kudabwitsa
Tsopano tili mu sabata yomaliza ya chiwerengero cha Omer mu 2026, masiku ochepa chabe kuti ShavuotYesu, Mesiya wathu, anauka kwa akufa pa tsiku la mtolo wa mafunde ndipo anakhala ndi ophunzira ake kwa masiku 40, akuwaphunzitsa za Ufumu. Pa tsiku la 40 anakwera kwa Atate. Pa tsiku lotsatira masiku khumi Ophunzira anasonkhana m’chipinda chapamwamba ku Yerusalemu, akupitiriza “ndi mtima umodzi m’pemphero ndi pembedzero” (Machitidwe 1:14). Pa tsiku la 50 — Shavuot — Ruach HaKodesh inatsanulidwa ndi mphamvu, Torah inalembedwa pa mitima, ndipo zokolola zoyambirira za Pangano Latsopano zinayamba.
Nthawi ya masiku khumi iyi pambuyo pa kukwera kumwamba si nthawi yopanda kanthu. Ndi nyengo yokonzekera mwadala yoyembekezera, umodzi, ndi kukonzekera. Tikayika pambali ndi 10 Masiku Odabwitsa (Yamim Noraim) m'dzinja — kuyambira pa Phwando la Malipenga (Yom Teruah) mpaka pa Yom Kippur — pali kufanana kwakukulu. Yehova wapanga mapangidwe ofanana mu kalendala Yake omwe amatiphunzitsa momwe tingakhalire m'masiku otsiriza ano.
Chitsanzo cha Masika: Masiku Khumi Omaliza Pambuyo pa Kukwera Kumwamba
- Tsiku la 40th — Yeshua akukwera kumwamba (Machitidwe 1:9).
- Masiku khumi otsatira — ophunzira akudikira pamodzi m’pemphero, kulowa m’malo mwa Yudasi, kufufuza Malemba, ndi kukonzekera mitima yawo.
- Tsiku la 50 (Shavuot) — mphepo yamphamvu yothamanga, malilime a moto, kutsanulira kwa Mzimu Woyera, ndi miyoyo 3,000 yowonjezedwa tsiku limodzi (Machitidwe 2).
Uwu ndi mlatho wochokera ku kukhalapo kooneka kwa Mfumu kupita ku mphamvu ya Mzimu—kuchokera ku kuphunzitsa munthu payekha kupita ku mphamvu ya gulu kuti akolole.
Chitsanzo cha Kugwa: Masiku Khumi a Mantha
- Phwando la Malipenga (Yom Teruah) — shofar ikuwomba mwadzidzidzi, ngati mbala usiku. Ambiri amaona izi ngati tsiku lomwe likuyimira kubweranso kwa Mkulu wa Ansembe ndi Mfumu, Yeshua. Sitimuwona akubwera m'njira yomwe dziko lapansi likuyembekezera; akubwera mosayembekezereka, ngati mbala (1 Atesalonika 5:2; Chivumbulutso 16:15; Mateyu 24:36 — “Za tsiku limenelo ndi ola limenelo palibe amene akudziwa,” mawu omwe ambiri amagwirizanitsidwa ndi kusatsimikizika kwa kuwona Malipenga mwezi watsopano).
- Masiku khumi otsatira (Masiku a Chidwi) — nyengo yodzifufuza mozama, kulapa (teshuvah), kupemphera, kusala kudya, kufunafuna nkhope ya Mulungu, ndi kukonza zinthu. Ndi nthawi yoopa Mulungu ndi kumuopa.
- Yom Kippur — chimaliziro: chitetezero chapangidwa, tsogolo lasindikizidwa, anthu ayeretsedwa, ndipo kukonzekera kwatha kuti Sukkot asangalale.
Mapangidwe Okongola ndi Owoneka Bwino Omwe Tingasonkhanitse
Tikayerekeza masiku awiriwa a masiku khumi limodzi, nthawi yokongola kwambiri kapangidwe ka chiastic (kofanana ndi magalasi) akutuluka — ABBA — amene akuvumbula njira yokhazikika ya Yehova yokonzekeretsa anthu Ake:
A — Kuchoka Mwadzidzidzi / Kusintha Kosaoneka
Kukwera Kumwamba: Yeshua akuchoka moonekera pa tsiku la 40 ndipo akubwerera kwa Atate. Pali masiku 10 kuti Shavuot abwere.
Malipenga: Yeshua akubweranso monga Mkulu wa Ansembe ndi Mfumu “monga mbala usiku” — mwadzidzidzi, mosayembekezereka, komanso mosaoneka ndi dziko logona. Pali masiku 10 kuti chiweruzo chomaliza cha Yom Kippur chichitike
B — Masiku Khumi a Kudikira, Pemphero, ndi Kukonzekera Mtima
Masika: Ophunzira akudikira mogwirizana m'pemphero ndi kupembedzera.
Kugwa: Anthu akudikira ndi mantha, kulapa, kudzifufuza, ndi kufunafuna nkhope ya Yehova.
B' — Chimaliziro cha Kutsanulira / Kusindikiza ndi Kuyeretsa kwa Mulungu
Masika: Shavuot — Ruach HaKodesh watsanulidwa, Torah yalembedwa pa mitima, ndipo mphamvu yatulutsidwa kuti ikhale zipatso zoyamba. Pangano lavomerezedwa.
Kugwa: Yom Kippur — chitetezero chimatha, kuyeretsa kumachitika, ndipo tsogolo limasindikizidwa msonkhano waukulu usanayambe. Osasunga Pangano amachotsedwa.
A' — Kupatsa Mphamvu / Kubwezeretsa Zokolola Zonse
Masika: Gulu la zipatso zoyambirira (mikate iwiri) limatumizidwa kukasonkhanitsa zokolola zambiri.
Kugwa: Pambuyo pa Yom Kippur pamabwera chisangalalo cha Sukkot — kukhala ndi Mulungu, kusonkhanitsa komaliza, ndi kudzaza kwa Ufumu.
Galasi lokongola ili likusonyeza kuti Yehova amagwiritsa ntchito nyengo khumi zokonzekera nthawi ya masika ndi nthawi yophukira kuti akonzekeretse anthu Ake ntchito yaikulu ya Mulungu. Munthu amakonzekera kutsanulira zipatso zoyamba (Shavuot); winayo akukonzekera chitetezero chomaliza ndi kusonkhanitsa (Yom Kippur ndi Sukkot). Pamodzi amapanga kalembedwe kamodzi kogwirizana: kukhalapo → kuchoka/kudzuka → kudikira/kufunafuna → kutsanulira/kutseka → kukolola/kubwezeretsa.
Kodi Izi Zikutanthauza Chiyani kwa Ife mu 2026 ndi Pambuyo Pake?
Tikukhala m'zaka zomaliza za Jubilee ya 120. Ululu wobereka ukukulirakulira — nkhondo, kutsekedwa kwa zitseko ku Strait of Hormuz, kusowa kwa feteleza komwe kukuopseza chakudya, ndi kugwedezeka kwa dziko lonse. Izi ndi zizindikiro zomwe Yeshua anatiuza kuti tiziyang'anira.
Masiku khumi pambuyo pa kukwera kumwamba m'nyengo ya masika ndi masiku khumi a mantha m'dzinja zonse zimatiphunzitsa phunziro lofunika lomwelo: Musagone kuntchito. Khalani maso, khalani maso, konzanso lumbiro lanu ("Zonse zimene Yehova wanena, tidzachita"), ndipo konzani mitima yanu kudzera mu pemphero ndi kumvera. Mkulu wa Ansembe akubwera — kaya akujambulidwa mu chitsanzo cha masika cha kukwera kumwamba ndi kutsanulira kapena mu chitsanzo cha nthawi yophukira ya lipenga ndi chitetezero. M'zochitika zonsezi kuitana kuli komveka bwino: khalani pakati pa omwe akuyang'anira ndi kugwira ntchito, osati pakati pa omwe agwidwa akugona.
Pamene tikumaliza kuwerengera kwa Omer mu 2026, tiyeni titsanzire ophunzira m'masiku khumi aja atakwera kumwamba. Sonkhanani mu pemphero, fufuzani mayendedwe athu, pemphererani nkhosa zobalalika za Israyeli, ndi kulira kuti Mzimu Woyera atuluke mwatsopano. Chitsanzo chomwecho chomwe chinatsogolera ku mphamvu ya Shavuot chidzatitsogolera kudutsa Masiku omaliza a Mantha ndi kukwaniritsidwa kwakukulu komwe kukuyandikira 2033.
Mikate iwiri yoweyulidwa pa Shavuot ikuyimira ife — gulu loyamba kuchokera m'nyumba zonse ziwiri za Israeli ndi ophatikizidwamo. Nyengo khumi zomwe zikuonetsedwa zikutisonyeza momwe tingakonzekerere kuweyulidwa ngati tirigu wokhwima lipenga lomaliza likamveka.
Abale, kalendala ya Yehova si yachisawawa. Magalasi ozungulira omwe amamangidwa m'maphwando alipo kuti tipezepo. M'sabata yomaliza ya Omer iyi, tiyeni tigwiritse ntchito chitsanzo chimene Iye wapereka: kuyembekezera moyembekezera, kufunafuna nkhope Yake, kukonzanso pangano, ndi kukhala okonzeka.
Vuto lina kuno ku US ndi mafakitale oyeretsera mafuta. Kutengera komwe mafuta amapopedwa, mafakitale oyeretsera mafuta alibe zida zoyeretsera mafuta ku US. Timatumiza mafutawo ndipo timadalira mafuta akunja omwe amafunika kutsukidwa pang'ono komwe mafakitale oyeretsera mafuta aku US amakonza. Zimatengera zaka 6 kuti amange fakitale yoyeretsera mafuta akunja kuno, ndipo zimatenga zaka 25 kuti zitheke bwino pamtengo wogulira fakitale yatsopano. Ndi kukakamiza njira zina padziko lonse lapansi, amakhulupirira kuti msika sudzakhala woyenera mtengo wa mafakitale atsopano oyeretsera mafuta! Sitikukonzekera bwino!! Izi zikuwonjezera mavuto onse chifukwa dziko lino silikufuna Mulungu koma likudalira zikhulupiriro zawo. Ziribe kanthu momwe timaonera, pokhapokha dziko lino litabwerera m'mbuyo ndi kulapa, kuchuluka kwa kugwa kukukwera kwambiri. Zonsezi zikuchitika monga momwe ulosi unanenera. Padzakhala mayankho ambiri omwe akufunafuna kwambiri ndipo tiyenera kukhala okonzeka kupereka yankho! Pempherani! Mverani! Phunzirani! Khalani okonzeka! Mavuto sakubwera, alipo. Koposa zonse, pamene izi zikuchitika, mtendere wa Khristu woposa chidziwitso uteteze mitima yathu ndi malingaliro athu, chimwemwe cha Ambuye wa zotsatira zake chikhale mphamvu yathu pamene tikupitiriza. Chikondi cha ambiri chidzazilala chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwa kusayeruzika. Gwirani mwamphamvu, konzekerani, yandikirani kwa Yehova, pempherani, mverani, tamandani Yehova pakati pakuti Iye yekha ndiye wolamulira. Iye ndiye wotipatsa ndi woteteza. Tiyenera kukumbutsana ndi kumangana wina ndi mnzake. Pakuti diso silinaone, kapena khutu silinamve, ulemerero womwe ukubwera! Kodi zaka zochepa za moyo wathu ndi ziti poyerekeza ndi nthawi yosatha ya Yehova! Chikhulupiriro CHIKHALE chitsimikizo cha zinthu zoyembekezeredwa, chikhazikitso cha zinthu zosaoneka! Aleluya!